MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for March Soybeans(CBOT) as of Jul 08, 2025 | ||||||||||||
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| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb |
| Tested Years | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
| Closed Higher | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 26 | 26 | 20 | 21 | 25 | |
| Exceeded High | 16 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 14 | 22 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 80% | 95% | 75% | 60% | 81% | 74% | 85% | 69% | 90% | 81% | 64% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 11.25% | 10.28% | 12.32% | 11.15% | 9.06% | 10.23% | 7.56% | 6.80% | 8.18% | 7.58% | 3.89% | |
| Max Increase | 40.52% | 25.31% | 51.69% | 31.98% | 35.74% | 20.64% | 26.03% | 22.83% | 31.79% | 23.26% | 8.98% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 16 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 20 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 6 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -2.32% | -1.87% | -0.52% | -2.63% | -1.21% | -2.26% | -2.75% | -2.17% | -2.10% | -1.36% | -0.61% | |
| Max Decline | -9.12% | -6.23% | -4.89% | -7.06% | -3.22% | -6.41% | -10.06% | -6.18% | -8.91% | -4.36% | -2.27% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2025 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||||
| Action | No | No | Yes | Yes | ||||||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
