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ScenarioSM Study for October Platinum(NYMEX) as of Jun 08, 2020 | ||||||||||||
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Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep |
Tested Years | 36 | 36 | 38 | 41 | 43 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
Closed Higher | 15 | 13 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 17 | 26 | 17 | 25 | 22 | 17 | |
Exceeded High | 12 | 12 | 22 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 19 | 15 | 19 | 15 | 12 | |
Scenario Percentage | 80% | 92% | 92% | 69% | 83% | 76% | 73% | 88% | 76% | 68% | 71% | |
Avg Max Increase | 14.86% | 13.33% | 8.14% | 7.62% | 10.71% | 6.81% | 8.05% | 11.04% | 9.64% | 13.77% | 7.33% | |
Max Increase | 76.31% | 48.86% | 29.18% | 18.07% | 24.60% | 14.50% | 24.15% | 44.96% | 45.94% | 64.59% | 23.17% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 20 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 19 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 15 | |
Avg Max Decline | -3.18% | -2.45% | -1.70% | -1.72% | -2.10% | -1.97% | -1.71% | -2.28% | -2.11% | -1.42% | -0.59% | |
Max Decline | -8.30% | -8.90% | -7.25% | -7.72% | -10.63% | -6.25% | -8.62% | -8.19% | -5.84% | -5.53% | -3.24% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 12 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | |
2019 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||
Action | Yes | Yes | No | Yes | Yes | Yes |
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