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ScenarioSM Study for April Platinum(NYMEX) as of Jul 11, 2025 | ||||||||||||
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Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar |
Tested Years | 36 | 36 | 36 | 38 | 42 | 43 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
Closed Higher | 17 | 11 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 24 | 23 | 20 | 28 | 25 | 20 | |
Exceeded High | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 25 | 18 | 16 | |
Scenario Percentage | 71% | 100% | 68% | 63% | 94% | 79% | 83% | 95% | 89% | 72% | 80% | |
Avg Max Increase | 5.64% | 10.28% | 10.51% | 9.49% | 8.01% | 8.87% | 10.14% | 13.38% | 8.73% | 8.85% | 8.21% | |
Max Increase | 14.45% | 44.15% | 45.59% | 24.59% | 23.88% | 17.26% | 29.92% | 45.18% | 32.89% | 22.55% | 14.83% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 14 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | |
Avg Max Decline | -2.08% | -1.93% | -1.40% | -0.28% | -1.35% | -2.26% | -4.03% | -3.45% | -2.46% | -2.73% | -1.45% | |
Max Decline | -7.04% | -7.77% | -5.66% | -2.28% | -3.81% | -10.60% | -11.07% | -9.16% | -8.76% | -9.84% | -6.36% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 7 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |
2025 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||||
Action | No | Yes | No | Yes | Not Yet |
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.