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ScenarioSM Study for April Platinum(NYMEX) as of Sep 16, 2022 | ||||||||||||
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Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar |
Tested Years | 36 | 36 | 36 | 38 | 42 | 43 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
Closed Higher | 17 | 11 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 30 | 28 | 17 | |
Exceeded High | 12 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 27 | 20 | 14 | |
Scenario Percentage | 71% | 100% | 74% | 63% | 94% | 78% | 83% | 100% | 90% | 71% | 82% | |
Avg Max Increase | 5.70% | 10.28% | 10.15% | 12.84% | 8.89% | 8.44% | 14.56% | 16.17% | 9.87% | 11.68% | 11.16% | |
Max Increase | 14.45% | 44.15% | 45.59% | 42.20% | 34.53% | 14.05% | 78.46% | 45.18% | 32.89% | 72.01% | 61.16% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 16 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 16 | |
Avg Max Decline | -2.71% | -1.93% | -1.76% | -0.45% | -1.23% | -2.08% | -3.66% | -3.08% | -2.31% | -2.42% | -1.48% | |
Max Decline | -7.97% | -7.77% | -6.49% | -2.57% | -3.81% | -9.88% | -11.07% | -9.16% | -8.76% | -9.84% | -6.36% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 7 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |
2022 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||||
Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
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