MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for April Platinum(NYMEX) as of Jan 21, 2022 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar |
| Tested Years | 36 | 36 | 36 | 38 | 42 | 43 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
| Closed Higher | 18 | 12 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 22 | 24 | 20 | 30 | 28 | 17 | |
| Exceeded High | 13 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 27 | 20 | 14 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 72% | 100% | 74% | 63% | 89% | 77% | 83% | 100% | 90% | 71% | 82% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 6.26% | 9.99% | 10.15% | 12.84% | 8.89% | 8.41% | 14.56% | 16.13% | 9.43% | 11.02% | 11.18% | |
| Max Increase | 14.45% | 44.15% | 45.59% | 42.20% | 34.53% | 14.05% | 78.46% | 45.18% | 32.89% | 72.01% | 61.16% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 15 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 17 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -2.54% | -1.86% | -1.76% | -0.45% | -1.23% | -2.20% | -3.66% | -2.99% | -2.26% | -2.49% | -1.48% | |
| Max Decline | -7.97% | -7.77% | -6.49% | -2.57% | -3.81% | -9.88% | -11.07% | -9.16% | -8.76% | -9.84% | -6.36% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 7 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2021 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||
| Action | Yes | Yes | No | Yes | Yes | Not Yet | Yes | |||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
