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ScenarioSM Study for April Platinum(NYMEX) as of Jun 08, 2020 | ||||||||||||
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Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar |
Tested Years | 36 | 36 | 36 | 38 | 42 | 43 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
Closed Higher | 18 | 13 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 22 | 23 | 20 | 30 | 27 | 16 | |
Exceeded High | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 27 | 20 | 13 | |
Scenario Percentage | 72% | 100% | 68% | 67% | 89% | 77% | 83% | 95% | 90% | 74% | 81% | |
Avg Max Increase | 6.61% | 10.38% | 10.00% | 12.84% | 8.89% | 8.41% | 14.28% | 15.66% | 9.43% | 11.02% | 11.67% | |
Max Increase | 18.91% | 44.15% | 45.59% | 42.20% | 34.53% | 14.05% | 78.46% | 45.18% | 32.89% | 72.01% | 61.16% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 15 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 17 | |
Avg Max Decline | -2.20% | -1.83% | -2.01% | -0.45% | -1.23% | -2.20% | -3.65% | -2.82% | -2.26% | -2.49% | -1.57% | |
Max Decline | -7.97% | -7.77% | -6.49% | -2.57% | -3.81% | -9.88% | -11.07% | -9.16% | -8.76% | -9.84% | -6.36% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 6 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 3 | |
2020 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||||
Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
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