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ScenarioSM Study for April Platinum(NYMEX) as of Oct 20, 2019 | ||||||||||||
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Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar |
Tested Years | 36 | 36 | 36 | 38 | 42 | 43 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
Closed Higher | 18 | 12 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 23 | 19 | 30 | 28 | 16 | |
Exceeded High | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 27 | 20 | 13 | |
Scenario Percentage | 72% | 100% | 63% | 65% | 89% | 76% | 83% | 95% | 90% | 71% | 81% | |
Avg Max Increase | 6.61% | 10.25% | 9.69% | 13.36% | 8.84% | 8.59% | 14.28% | 16.14% | 9.43% | 8.53% | 7.97% | |
Max Increase | 18.91% | 44.15% | 45.59% | 42.20% | 34.53% | 14.05% | 78.46% | 45.18% | 32.89% | 22.55% | 14.83% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 15 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 17 | |
Avg Max Decline | -2.20% | -1.66% | -1.78% | -0.49% | -1.66% | -1.90% | -3.65% | -2.83% | -2.26% | -2.49% | -1.57% | |
Max Decline | -7.97% | -7.77% | -6.49% | -2.57% | -8.59% | -9.88% | -11.07% | -9.16% | -8.76% | -9.84% | -6.36% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 6 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 3 | |
2019 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||||
Action | No | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
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