MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for April Platinum(NYMEX) as of Jan 01, 2019 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar |
| Tested Years | 36 | 36 | 36 | 38 | 42 | 43 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
| Closed Higher | 18 | 13 | 20 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 23 | 20 | 30 | 28 | 16 | |
| Exceeded High | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 27 | 19 | 13 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 78% | 100% | 60% | 65% | 89% | 75% | 83% | 95% | 90% | 68% | 81% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 7.50% | 10.61% | 9.69% | 13.36% | 8.71% | 8.86% | 14.28% | 19.39% | 11.09% | 8.78% | 7.97% | |
| Max Increase | 19.15% | 44.15% | 45.59% | 42.20% | 34.53% | 14.05% | 78.46% | 77.88% | 51.68% | 22.55% | 14.83% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 16 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 17 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -2.35% | -1.58% | -1.78% | -0.49% | -1.72% | -2.07% | -3.65% | -2.64% | -2.10% | -2.23% | -1.57% | |
| Max Decline | -7.97% | -7.77% | -6.49% | -2.57% | -8.59% | -9.88% | -11.07% | -9.16% | -8.76% | -9.84% | -6.36% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 6 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |
| 2018 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||
| Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | No | ||||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
