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ScenarioSM Study for April Platinum(NYMEX) as of Jan 01, 2018 | ||||||||||||
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Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar |
Tested Years | 35 | 35 | 35 | 37 | 42 | 43 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
Closed Higher | 17 | 13 | 19 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 23 | 21 | 29 | 29 | 16 | |
Exceeded High | 13 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 14 | 19 | 20 | 27 | 20 | 13 | |
Scenario Percentage | 76% | 100% | 58% | 63% | 89% | 74% | 83% | 95% | 93% | 69% | 81% | |
Avg Max Increase | 7.98% | 10.61% | 9.80% | 14.47% | 8.71% | 9.19% | 14.16% | 19.39% | 11.09% | 8.83% | 7.97% | |
Max Increase | 19.15% | 44.15% | 45.59% | 42.20% | 34.53% | 14.05% | 78.46% | 77.88% | 51.68% | 22.55% | 14.83% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 17 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 17 | |
Avg Max Decline | -2.36% | -1.58% | -2.02% | -0.56% | -1.72% | -2.20% | -3.27% | -2.89% | -2.10% | -2.10% | -1.57% | |
Max Decline | -7.97% | -7.77% | -6.49% | -2.57% | -8.59% | -9.88% | -11.07% | -9.16% | -8.76% | -9.84% | -6.36% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 7 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |
2017 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||||
Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | Not Yet |
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