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ScenarioSM Study for April Platinum(NYMEX) as of Jan 01, 2009 | ||||||||||||
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Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Feb | Feb | Feb | Feb | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar |
Tested Years | 32 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 37 | 38 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | |
Closed Higher | 18 | 12 | 16 | 13 | 18 | 16 | 23 | 19 | 23 | 24 | 16 | |
Exceeded High | 14 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 16 | 22 | 18 | 11 | |
Scenario Percentage | 78% | 92% | 50% | 69% | 83% | 81% | 78% | 84% | 96% | 75% | 69% | |
Avg Max Increase | 7.90% | 10.61% | 10.68% | 14.79% | 8.87% | 9.58% | 13.77% | 21.15% | 11.69% | 7.98% | 7.86% | |
Max Increase | 19.15% | 44.15% | 45.59% | 42.20% | 34.53% | 14.05% | 78.46% | 77.88% | 51.68% | 22.55% | 14.83% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 18 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 16 | |
Avg Max Decline | -2.46% | -2.54% | -2.28% | -0.61% | -2.32% | -2.17% | -2.20% | -2.81% | -2.39% | -2.36% | -1.63% | |
Max Decline | -7.97% | -11.01% | -7.19% | -2.57% | -8.59% | -9.88% | -8.40% | -8.21% | -8.76% | -9.84% | -6.36% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 3 | |
2008 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||||
Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
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