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ScenarioSM Study for January Platinum(NYMEX) as of Aug 18, 2023 | ||||||||||||
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Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Tested Years | 38 | 38 | 40 | 41 | 44 | 44 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
Closed Higher | 23 | 15 | 15 | 24 | 13 | 24 | 23 | 18 | 23 | 24 | 20 | |
Exceeded High | 14 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 12 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 17 | |
Scenario Percentage | 61% | 80% | 67% | 71% | 92% | 79% | 70% | 89% | 78% | 79% | 85% | |
Avg Max Increase | 8.12% | 9.49% | 6.92% | 8.03% | 11.27% | 9.95% | 11.59% | 10.16% | 8.88% | 13.12% | 9.11% | |
Max Increase | 17.83% | 17.12% | 14.27% | 25.18% | 44.34% | 45.95% | 42.59% | 35.94% | 15.85% | 75.17% | 37.89% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 15 | 20 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 16 | |
Avg Max Decline | -1.72% | -2.70% | -1.46% | -1.87% | -2.22% | -1.91% | -1.38% | -1.62% | -2.14% | -4.26% | -1.38% | |
Max Decline | -7.12% | -11.64% | -6.66% | -8.35% | -8.04% | -6.01% | -5.21% | -5.50% | -9.77% | -11.25% | -5.16% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 6 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 5 | |
2023 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||
Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
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