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ScenarioSM Study for January Platinum(NYMEX) as of Jan 01, 2014 | ||||||||||||
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Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Tested Years | 36 | 36 | 39 | 40 | 43 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
Closed Higher | 23 | 15 | 12 | 25 | 14 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 26 | 21 | |
Exceeded High | 14 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 15 | 20 | 13 | |
Scenario Percentage | 61% | 73% | 67% | 72% | 93% | 65% | 75% | 82% | 83% | 77% | 62% | |
Avg Max Increase | 7.52% | 9.42% | 8.25% | 9.67% | 11.24% | 9.54% | 12.33% | 9.62% | 9.46% | 13.00% | 10.54% | |
Max Increase | 15.02% | 17.12% | 12.18% | 25.18% | 44.34% | 45.95% | 42.59% | 35.94% | 14.21% | 75.17% | 37.89% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 14 | 21 | 20 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 16 | |
Avg Max Decline | -1.85% | -2.38% | -2.43% | -1.89% | -3.04% | -2.40% | -1.72% | -2.51% | -2.44% | -3.11% | -1.05% | |
Max Decline | -6.01% | -11.64% | -5.69% | -8.35% | -10.69% | -6.55% | -5.21% | -8.91% | -9.77% | -11.25% | -5.16% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 6 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 4 | |
2013 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||||
Action | No | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
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