MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for December Palladium(NYMEX) as of May 10, 2021 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov |
| Tested Years | 37 | 38 | 38 | 40 | 42 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 44 | |
| Closed Higher | 27 | 21 | 23 | 20 | 17 | 16 | 26 | 18 | 25 | 24 | 23 | |
| Exceeded High | 24 | 13 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 22 | 16 | 22 | 18 | 19 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 89% | 62% | 78% | 65% | 71% | 94% | 85% | 89% | 88% | 75% | 83% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 16.28% | 11.13% | 9.84% | 12.92% | 9.89% | 13.54% | 11.96% | 12.79% | 13.20% | 16.41% | 11.68% | |
| Max Increase | 53.95% | 31.10% | 25.15% | 34.77% | 22.74% | 32.52% | 33.42% | 41.40% | 35.19% | 50.48% | 22.29% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 17 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 15 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -1.62% | -2.27% | -1.39% | -4.02% | -4.76% | -1.28% | -3.07% | -1.93% | -3.26% | -2.35% | -0.61% | |
| Max Decline | -8.33% | -11.25% | -5.29% | -11.27% | -14.96% | -10.16% | -9.56% | -4.49% | -15.38% | -13.14% | -4.08% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 9 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | |
| 2020 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||
| Action | Yes | No | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Not Yet | |||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
