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ScenarioSM Study for December Palladium(NYMEX) as of Jan 01, 2013 | ||||||||||||
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Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov |
Tested Years | 29 | 30 | 30 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 | |
Closed Higher | 23 | 15 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 13 | 18 | 19 | 17 | |
Exceeded High | 20 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 14 | 14 | |
Scenario Percentage | 87% | 60% | 74% | 64% | 62% | 92% | 81% | 85% | 83% | 74% | 82% | |
Avg Max Increase | 16.51% | 13.62% | 10.84% | 15.48% | 10.42% | 13.81% | 12.96% | 13.90% | 15.07% | 18.45% | 13.64% | |
Max Increase | 53.95% | 31.10% | 25.15% | 34.77% | 18.77% | 32.52% | 33.42% | 41.40% | 35.19% | 44.44% | 22.29% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 11 | |
Avg Max Decline | -1.66% | -2.74% | -1.19% | -3.71% | -5.69% | -1.48% | -3.22% | -1.41% | -2.35% | -2.07% | -0.22% | |
Max Decline | -8.33% | -11.25% | -5.29% | -11.27% | -14.96% | -10.16% | -9.56% | -4.49% | -6.33% | -13.14% | -3.52% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 7 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 2 | |
2012 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||
Action | Yes | No | No | Yes | Yes | No | Yes |
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