|
ScenarioSM Study for March Palladium(NYMEX) as of Aug 18, 2023 | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb |
Tested Years | 32 | 33 | 34 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
Closed Higher | 18 | 12 | 13 | 25 | 17 | 27 | 22 | 24 | 28 | 34 | 26 | |
Exceeded High | 10 | 10 | 12 | 22 | 15 | 24 | 17 | 21 | 25 | 28 | 17 | |
Scenario Percentage | 56% | 83% | 92% | 88% | 88% | 89% | 77% | 88% | 89% | 82% | 65% | |
Avg Max Increase | 9.75% | 9.22% | 12.09% | 10.47% | 13.29% | 12.74% | 12.64% | 19.51% | 24.89% | 18.64% | 9.41% | |
Max Increase | 34.24% | 22.57% | 27.79% | 32.84% | 43.03% | 35.66% | 32.67% | 86.19% | 85.89% | 72.27% | 26.13% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 16 | 15 | 20 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | |
Avg Max Decline | -4.16% | -3.00% | -0.79% | -3.18% | -1.08% | -2.61% | -2.44% | -4.05% | -2.48% | -2.96% | -2.57% | |
Max Decline | -10.81% | -11.93% | -6.65% | -9.29% | -4.50% | -15.11% | -13.35% | -15.60% | -7.88% | -9.85% | -8.11% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 12 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 4 | |
2023 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||||
Action | No | Yes | Yes | No |
Copyright © 1989- Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved. |
---|
Copyright © 2024 Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | ||
www.mrci.com | sales@mrci.com | |
Phone: 541-525-0521 |