MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for March Palladium(NYMEX) as of Sep 16, 2022 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb |
| Tested Years | 32 | 33 | 34 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
| Closed Higher | 17 | 12 | 13 | 24 | 17 | 27 | 23 | 24 | 28 | 35 | 26 | |
| Exceeded High | 10 | 10 | 12 | 21 | 15 | 24 | 18 | 22 | 25 | 29 | 17 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 59% | 83% | 92% | 88% | 88% | 89% | 78% | 92% | 89% | 83% | 65% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 9.75% | 9.22% | 12.09% | 10.62% | 13.29% | 13.73% | 13.09% | 19.65% | 24.89% | 18.30% | 9.41% | |
| Max Increase | 34.24% | 22.57% | 27.79% | 32.84% | 43.03% | 35.66% | 32.67% | 86.19% | 85.89% | 72.27% | 26.13% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 16 | 15 | 20 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 18 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -4.16% | -3.00% | -0.79% | -3.06% | -1.08% | -2.67% | -2.47% | -4.30% | -2.48% | -3.04% | -2.57% | |
| Max Decline | -10.81% | -11.93% | -6.65% | -9.29% | -4.50% | -15.11% | -13.35% | -15.60% | -7.88% | -9.85% | -8.11% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 12 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 4 | |
| 2022 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||||
| Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
