MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for March Palladium(NYMEX) as of Jun 08, 2020 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb |
| Tested Years | 30 | 31 | 32 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 43 | 44 | |
| Closed Higher | 16 | 11 | 13 | 23 | 16 | 26 | 22 | 23 | 26 | 34 | 25 | |
| Exceeded High | 9 | 9 | 12 | 20 | 14 | 23 | 17 | 21 | 23 | 28 | 12 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 56% | 82% | 92% | 87% | 88% | 88% | 77% | 91% | 88% | 82% | 48% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 10.73% | 7.74% | 12.09% | 10.49% | 13.61% | 13.96% | 13.16% | 20.33% | 25.09% | 17.63% | 8.02% | |
| Max Increase | 34.24% | 18.37% | 27.79% | 32.84% | 43.03% | 35.66% | 32.67% | 86.19% | 85.89% | 72.27% | 26.13% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 18 | 13 | 20 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 16 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -4.72% | -2.62% | -0.79% | -3.19% | -0.94% | -2.53% | -2.60% | -4.15% | -2.33% | -2.65% | -3.11% | |
| Max Decline | -10.81% | -11.93% | -6.65% | -9.29% | -4.50% | -15.11% | -13.35% | -15.60% | -7.88% | -9.85% | -8.11% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 13 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 4 | |
| 2020 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||
| Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Not Yet | |||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
