MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for May Wheat(KCBT) as of Jul 08, 2025 | ||||||||||||
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| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr |
| Tested Years | 38 | 43 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
| Closed Higher | 11 | 21 | 22 | 27 | 24 | 17 | 19 | 24 | 16 | 22 | 24 | |
| Exceeded High | 9 | 16 | 14 | 24 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 10 | 16 | 17 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 82% | 76% | 64% | 89% | 67% | 76% | 84% | 71% | 63% | 73% | 71% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 17.39% | 12.65% | 11.42% | 6.87% | 7.73% | 8.08% | 11.48% | 10.60% | 16.70% | 11.80% | 8.63% | |
| Max Increase | 50.46% | 40.52% | 29.39% | 20.30% | 17.58% | 20.09% | 51.63% | 42.06% | 45.60% | 42.53% | 16.64% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 17 | 19 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 8 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -2.00% | -1.27% | -1.76% | -2.03% | -2.29% | -3.05% | -3.13% | -1.91% | -2.23% | -4.05% | -1.52% | |
| Max Decline | -10.19% | -6.62% | -8.38% | -12.37% | -10.64% | -7.98% | -9.52% | -7.65% | -11.00% | -12.33% | -10.07% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 4 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 1 | |
| 2025 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||||||
| Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
