MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for September Copper(CMX) as of Jan 01, 2013 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug |
| Tested Years | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
| Closed Higher | 19 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 30 | 22 | 20 | 23 | 29 | 22 | |
| Exceeded High | 15 | 19 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 20 | 16 | 17 | 22 | 19 | 15 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 79% | 86% | 96% | 96% | 85% | 67% | 73% | 85% | 96% | 66% | 68% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 9.65% | 10.94% | 11.74% | 11.78% | 11.53% | 11.48% | 10.68% | 12.60% | 9.80% | 8.68% | 7.28% | |
| Max Increase | 21.17% | 40.41% | 43.40% | 38.84% | 43.92% | 62.57% | 25.75% | 35.70% | 30.55% | 24.78% | 15.61% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 20 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 22 | 17 | 16 | 17 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -1.89% | -1.93% | -1.43% | -2.64% | -2.28% | -2.49% | -2.56% | -2.88% | -2.24% | -2.77% | -1.75% | |
| Max Decline | -5.37% | -9.39% | -7.91% | -9.20% | -10.00% | -7.15% | -15.57% | -11.24% | -8.78% | -7.11% | -5.83% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 12 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 5 | |
| 2012 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||||
| Action | No | Yes | No | Yes | Yes | |||||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
