|
ScenarioSM Study for December Gold(CMX) as of Jan 01, 2014 | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov |
Tested Years | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 | |
Closed Higher | 16 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 19 | 21 | 25 | 17 | 20 | |
Exceeded High | 12 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 14 | 14 | |
Scenario Percentage | 75% | 56% | 64% | 75% | 76% | 69% | 84% | 81% | 76% | 82% | 70% | |
Avg Max Increase | 5.60% | 4.89% | 8.80% | 6.52% | 6.57% | 6.72% | 12.72% | 11.84% | 8.67% | 7.29% | 4.86% | |
Max Increase | 11.01% | 11.10% | 24.83% | 13.41% | 26.11% | 14.27% | 43.18% | 36.06% | 21.45% | 17.88% | 21.69% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 9 | 10 | |
Avg Max Decline | -2.23% | -1.45% | -1.05% | -1.29% | -1.65% | -1.47% | -2.07% | -0.78% | -1.64% | -1.29% | -1.30% | |
Max Decline | -6.75% | -2.96% | -2.01% | -5.22% | -4.98% | -4.24% | -4.30% | -3.76% | -6.62% | -3.23% | -9.34% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 8 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | |
2013 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||||||
Action | No | Yes | No |
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