|
ScenarioSM Study for June Gold(CMX) as of Oct 20, 2019 | ||||||||||||
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Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May |
Tested Years | 44 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
Closed Higher | 22 | 24 | 27 | 18 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 16 | 19 | 19 | |
Exceeded High | 16 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 13 | |
Scenario Percentage | 73% | 79% | 67% | 83% | 86% | 82% | 68% | 64% | 63% | 68% | 68% | |
Avg Max Increase | 12.72% | 10.83% | 8.99% | 7.57% | 11.04% | 11.44% | 6.65% | 4.96% | 8.56% | 6.79% | 4.12% | |
Max Increase | 39.45% | 36.10% | 22.87% | 17.87% | 103.28% | 59.53% | 15.31% | 11.23% | 24.77% | 14.45% | 15.74% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 18 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 17 | 13 | |
Avg Max Decline | -1.89% | -0.51% | -1.55% | -1.57% | -1.70% | -1.61% | -2.03% | -1.55% | -1.13% | -1.61% | -1.01% | |
Max Decline | -4.27% | -3.52% | -6.24% | -6.23% | -8.99% | -9.14% | -6.94% | -4.71% | -2.05% | -7.09% | -2.79% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 7 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 3 | |
2019 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||||
Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
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