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ScenarioSM Study for June Gold(CMX) as of Jan 01, 2013 | ||||||||||||
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Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May |
Tested Years | 37 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | |
Closed Higher | 18 | 19 | 25 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 19 | 13 | 16 | 16 | |
Exceeded High | 13 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 11 | |
Scenario Percentage | 72% | 84% | 68% | 88% | 84% | 79% | 69% | 58% | 62% | 75% | 69% | |
Avg Max Increase | 13.61% | 11.95% | 9.45% | 7.73% | 11.47% | 12.42% | 6.00% | 4.95% | 9.59% | 6.93% | 3.81% | |
Max Increase | 39.45% | 36.10% | 22.87% | 17.87% | 103.28% | 59.53% | 11.38% | 11.23% | 24.77% | 14.45% | 15.74% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 17 | 19 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 12 | |
Avg Max Decline | -1.92% | -0.44% | -1.62% | -1.58% | -1.66% | -1.79% | -2.54% | -1.48% | -1.11% | -1.15% | -1.11% | |
Max Decline | -4.27% | -3.52% | -6.24% | -6.23% | -8.99% | -9.14% | -6.94% | -3.04% | -1.99% | -5.25% | -2.79% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 7 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 4 | |
2012 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||||
Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | No | Yes |
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