|
ScenarioSM Study for June Gold(CMX) as of Jan 01, 2009 | ||||||||||||
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Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May |
Tested Years | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | |
Closed Higher | 16 | 17 | 22 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 14 | |
Exceeded High | 11 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 9 | |
Scenario Percentage | 69% | 82% | 64% | 85% | 87% | 82% | 64% | 60% | 58% | 71% | 64% | |
Avg Max Increase | 13.81% | 12.53% | 9.21% | 7.31% | 12.53% | 12.31% | 6.06% | 4.19% | 9.60% | 7.47% | 4.05% | |
Max Increase | 39.45% | 36.10% | 22.87% | 14.68% | 103.28% | 59.53% | 11.38% | 7.05% | 24.77% | 14.45% | 15.74% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 18 | 20 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 13 | |
Avg Max Decline | -1.96% | -0.42% | -1.39% | -1.70% | -1.30% | -1.27% | -2.44% | -1.25% | -1.00% | -1.07% | -1.01% | |
Max Decline | -4.27% | -3.52% | -4.84% | -6.23% | -5.47% | -6.10% | -6.94% | -2.92% | -1.99% | -5.25% | -2.79% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 7 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | |
2008 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||
Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Not Yet |
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