MRCI Online
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| ScenarioSM Study for February Gold(CMX) as of Jan 01, 2013 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan |
| Tested Years | 37 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 38 | |
| Closed Higher | 13 | 16 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 24 | 16 | 20 | 18 | 16 | |
| Exceeded High | 9 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 12 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 69% | 69% | 72% | 64% | 82% | 84% | 75% | 81% | 80% | 83% | 75% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 8.58% | 6.35% | 6.51% | 5.84% | 13.05% | 12.13% | 9.23% | 7.56% | 11.62% | 12.31% | 4.67% | |
| Max Increase | 24.03% | 13.38% | 26.39% | 12.82% | 42.74% | 36.10% | 21.89% | 17.86% | 102.79% | 61.37% | 11.74% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 16 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 14 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -0.86% | -1.10% | -1.34% | -1.13% | -1.89% | -0.73% | -1.61% | -1.37% | -2.08% | -1.85% | -1.98% | |
| Max Decline | -1.91% | -5.03% | -4.28% | -3.92% | -4.04% | -3.70% | -6.39% | -3.39% | -9.50% | -9.36% | -4.33% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 6 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 4 | |
| 2012 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||
| Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | No | Yes | |||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
