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| ScenarioSM Study for April Feeder Cattle(CME) as of Jul 09, 2025 | ||||||||||||
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| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar |
| Tested Years | 24 | 39 | 44 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
| Closed Higher | 15 | 25 | 32 | 20 | 23 | 20 | 26 | 31 | 26 | 25 | 19 | |
| Exceeded High | 14 | 22 | 24 | 15 | 18 | 15 | 24 | 28 | 23 | 19 | 16 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 93% | 88% | 75% | 75% | 78% | 75% | 92% | 90% | 88% | 76% | 84% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 5.45% | 4.62% | 3.79% | 3.79% | 4.66% | 4.58% | 4.32% | 4.19% | 4.70% | 5.27% | 2.78% | |
| Max Increase | 11.53% | 9.99% | 8.89% | 10.58% | 9.69% | 10.93% | 8.72% | 13.94% | 9.66% | 12.15% | 6.09% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 19 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 18 | 21 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 12 | 12 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -1.78% | -0.90% | -1.30% | -1.24% | -0.97% | -1.47% | -1.78% | -1.54% | -1.55% | -1.60% | -0.88% | |
| Max Decline | -4.71% | -2.55% | -4.24% | -5.68% | -2.46% | -3.54% | -4.91% | -6.72% | -4.45% | -4.58% | -4.66% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 7 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2025 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||
| Action | Yes | No | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
