MRCI Online
|
| ScenarioSM Study for March Feeder Cattle(CME) as of Jul 11, 2025 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb |
| Tested Years | 24 | 39 | 44 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
| Closed Higher | 14 | 23 | 30 | 30 | 22 | 24 | 19 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 23 | |
| Exceeded High | 12 | 18 | 27 | 22 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 22 | 26 | 18 | 12 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 86% | 78% | 90% | 73% | 68% | 71% | 74% | 92% | 87% | 86% | 52% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 5.75% | 5.29% | 4.61% | 3.89% | 3.97% | 5.04% | 4.50% | 4.56% | 4.44% | 4.89% | 3.63% | |
| Max Increase | 15.13% | 11.81% | 9.73% | 9.12% | 11.69% | 9.97% | 10.12% | 8.84% | 14.25% | 9.32% | 8.33% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 19 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 13 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -1.81% | -1.79% | -0.90% | -1.63% | -1.52% | -1.04% | -1.45% | -2.08% | -1.70% | -1.39% | -0.80% | |
| Max Decline | -7.26% | -5.13% | -2.93% | -4.80% | -5.65% | -2.70% | -4.75% | -5.65% | -8.05% | -4.56% | -1.96% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 7 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |
| 2025 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||
| Action | Yes | No | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||
| Copyright © 1989- Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved. |
|---|
Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
