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ScenarioSM Study for June US Dollar Index(ICE) as of Jan 01, 2019 | ||||||||||||
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Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Feb | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May |
Tested Years | 30 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | |
Closed Higher | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 13 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 10 | 21 | |
Exceeded High | 9 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 15 | |
Scenario Percentage | 60% | 57% | 100% | 85% | 67% | 92% | 72% | 93% | 88% | 80% | 71% | |
Avg Max Increase | 3.39% | 4.21% | 3.71% | 2.91% | 3.31% | 3.26% | 3.25% | 3.37% | 3.69% | 3.67% | 1.54% | |
Max Increase | 9.23% | 13.23% | 12.46% | 5.46% | 8.65% | 8.79% | 6.44% | 11.75% | 7.79% | 8.31% | 3.39% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 15 | 20 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 20 | 14 | 9 | |
Avg Max Decline | -0.33% | -0.83% | -0.68% | -0.52% | -1.15% | -0.62% | -1.45% | -0.58% | -1.22% | -0.72% | -0.65% | |
Max Decline | -1.21% | -2.26% | -2.60% | -2.54% | -2.70% | -3.15% | -2.98% | -1.80% | -3.17% | -1.69% | -2.01% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 5 | 5 | |
2018 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||||||
Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
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