Moore Research Center, Inc.

  • Increase font size
  • Default font size
  • Decrease font size
Home MRCI Online
Print
New Windows

MRCI's Scenario Study

MRCI Logo
MRCI's ScenarioSM Study
ScenarioSM Study for September British Pound(CME) as of Dec 06, 2024
Condition 1: Higher Monthly Close.
Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months.
Tested Month Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug
Tested Years   31 33 36 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45
Closed Higher   14 13 19 17 21 21 30 15 25 23 17
Exceeded High   10 12 11 12 14 18 21 12 19 16 13
Scenario Percentage   71% 92% 58% 71% 67% 86% 70% 80% 76% 70% 76%
Avg Max Increase   4.07% 3.76% 3.37% 3.02% 3.76% 3.84% 3.63% 5.18% 3.92% 3.30% 2.48%
Max Increase   8.34% 9.04% 7.13% 8.91% 9.44% 12.83% 12.95% 12.35% 13.11% 10.35% 7.99%
Avg Days To Max Increase   15 18 19 15 19 18 20 20 17 11 9
Avg Max Decline   -0.78% -0.91% -0.57% -0.84% -1.13% -1.30% -1.57% -1.31% -0.88% -1.32% -0.31%
Max Decline   -2.54% -2.87% -1.75% -3.13% -2.55% -4.48% -9.39% -3.02% -3.08% -3.63% -1.60%
Avg Days to Max Decline   4 10 7 8 9 6 12 9 9 7 4
2024 Contract Condition     Yes Yes     Yes   Yes   Yes Yes
Action     Yes No     No   Yes   Yes Not Yet
Copyright © 1989- Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Condition 2: Lower Monthly Close.
Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
Tested Month Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug
Tested Years   31 33 36 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45
Closed Lower   16 20 17 28 24 24 15 30 20 22 28
Penetrated Low   10 14 14 23 20 16 14 20 16 17 15
Scenario Percentage   63% 70% 82% 82% 83% 67% 93% 67% 80% 77% 54%
Avg Max Decline   3.46% 3.86% 4.57% 4.14% 3.66% 3.55% 5.21% 4.64% 3.30% 3.81% 2.54%
Max Decline   10.06% 12.22% 11.58% 13.77% 12.12% 8.21% 11.56% 12.29% 9.00% 11.74% 6.70%
Avg Days To Max Decline   20 21 18 18 18 17 16 14 13 12 8
Avg Max Increase   -0.83% -1.20% -0.61% -0.77% -1.24% -1.19% -0.78% -1.13% -0.94% -0.96% -0.41%
Max Increase   -4.68% -3.12% -5.20% -3.23% -4.15% -3.41% -2.18% -3.77% -3.47% -3.52% -1.05%
Avg Days to Max Increase   4 11 4 7 11 9 6 6 9 8 2
2024 Contract Condition   Yes     Yes Yes   Yes   Yes    
Action   No     Yes Yes   No   No    
High 126.72 123.49 127.45 128.32 127.85 127.75 128.89 127.22 128.08 128.68 130.50 132.70
Low 121.35 120.61 121.24 125.23 126.07 125.43 125.90 123.24 124.60 126.20 126.22 126.70
Close/Last 122.23 121.77 126.35 127.53 127.17 126.25 126.35 125.16 127.38 126.49 128.61 131.25

Banner

Newsflash

Its stability & liquidity make it a trader’s dream. With 2025’s geopolitical storms brewing, MRCI’s Brent Oil Report shows you how to ride seasonal waves as you manage risk. Intrigued?