Condition 2:
Lower Monthly Close. | Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months. Tested Month |
Apr |
May |
Jun |
Jul |
Aug |
Sep |
Oct |
Nov |
Dec |
Jan |
Feb |
Mar |
Tested Years |
|
36 |
36 |
36 |
38 |
42 |
43 |
45 |
45 |
45 |
45 |
45 |
Closed Lower |
|
19 |
25 |
17 |
18 |
26 |
20 |
21 |
24 |
16 |
19 |
26 |
Penetrated Low |
|
15 |
17 |
14 |
12 |
20 |
15 |
15 |
12 |
11 |
13 |
13 |
Scenario Percentage |
|
79% |
68% |
82% |
67% |
77% |
75% |
71% |
50% |
69% |
68% |
50% |
Avg Max Decline |
|
8.49% |
7.27% |
8.42% |
9.76% |
8.67% |
7.03% |
9.50% |
9.08% |
11.16% |
8.65% |
3.72% |
Max Decline |
|
19.41% |
14.87% |
14.91% |
20.32% |
26.64% |
17.72% |
32.80% |
25.33% |
41.57% |
35.01% |
10.16% |
Avg Days To Max Decline |
|
19 |
14 |
19 |
19 |
17 |
14 |
19 |
16 |
11 |
11 |
10 |
Avg Max Increase |
|
-2.58% |
-1.79% |
-3.47% |
-2.15% |
-3.76% |
-2.67% |
-2.46% |
-1.93% |
-2.85% |
-1.52% |
-0.97% |
Max Increase |
|
-6.06% |
-9.37% |
-12.61% |
-9.49% |
-12.67% |
-5.52% |
-7.84% |
-6.68% |
-11.78% |
-8.00% |
-2.39% |
Avg Days to Max Increase |
|
10 |
9 |
11 |
10 |
13 |
9 |
6 |
9 |
7 |
6 |
3 |
2025 Contract Condition |
|
|
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Action |
|
|
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
High |
1049.6 |
1135.7 |
1087.3 |
1069.3 |
1011.2 |
1038.7 |
1073.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Low |
938.6 |
973.0 |
981.9 |
958.1 |
930.9 |
920.9 |
962.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Close/Last |
979.6 |
1075.0 |
1035.4 |
1009.8 |
951.8 |
1000.0 |
1008.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|