Condition 2:
Lower Monthly Close. | Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months. Tested Month |
Apr |
May |
Jun |
Jul |
Aug |
Sep |
Oct |
Nov |
Dec |
Jan |
Feb |
Mar |
Tested Years |
|
36 |
36 |
36 |
38 |
42 |
43 |
45 |
45 |
45 |
45 |
45 |
Closed Lower |
|
19 |
25 |
17 |
19 |
25 |
20 |
21 |
24 |
14 |
17 |
28 |
Penetrated Low |
|
15 |
16 |
14 |
11 |
19 |
15 |
15 |
12 |
9 |
12 |
14 |
Scenario Percentage |
|
79% |
64% |
82% |
58% |
76% |
75% |
71% |
50% |
64% |
71% |
50% |
Avg Max Decline |
|
8.19% |
7.35% |
8.10% |
10.36% |
8.70% |
7.03% |
9.50% |
9.08% |
11.62% |
9.23% |
3.99% |
Max Decline |
|
19.41% |
14.87% |
14.91% |
20.32% |
26.64% |
17.72% |
32.80% |
25.33% |
41.57% |
35.01% |
10.16% |
Avg Days To Max Decline |
|
18 |
14 |
20 |
21 |
17 |
14 |
19 |
16 |
11 |
12 |
10 |
Avg Max Increase |
|
-2.33% |
-1.45% |
-3.01% |
-2.38% |
-3.76% |
-2.67% |
-2.46% |
-1.93% |
-3.19% |
-1.57% |
-0.90% |
Max Increase |
|
-6.06% |
-6.25% |
-12.61% |
-9.49% |
-12.67% |
-5.52% |
-7.84% |
-6.68% |
-11.78% |
-8.00% |
-2.39% |
Avg Days to Max Increase |
|
9 |
9 |
11 |
11 |
12 |
9 |
6 |
9 |
8 |
6 |
3 |
2023 Contract Condition |
|
|
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Action |
|
|
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
High |
1030.7 |
993.7 |
1040.0 |
894.9 |
963.8 |
935.6 |
971.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
Low |
916.0 |
931.0 |
892.0 |
814.0 |
833.9 |
807.4 |
860.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Close/Last |
948.7 |
975.5 |
903.4 |
894.9 |
833.9 |
860.9 |
927.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|