MRCI - Catalog

2025 Lean Hog / Cattle-Hog Spreads

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Nearby Hog futures traded above $1.20/pound in both 2021 and 2022 but have traded sideways/lower since. In fact, they fell below $0.65 in the first week of 2024 (when slaughter is at or near its annual peak) but then recovered to $1.00 by May (when slaughter is at or near its annual nadir). So prices do move, and for those traders and hedgers who know when and in which direction they tend to move can also anticipate the ample opportunities that presents.

And how do hogs trade compared to cattle? MRCI does not presume to know what the new year will bring, but this 2025 Historical Lean Hogs/Cattle-Hogs Spreads report does illustrate and quantify price movement not only in Hogs but also in spreads between cattle and hogs over the last 15 years.

Both traders and commercial interests can derive benefit from knowing past market tendencies before trying to anticipate the future. As they say, how can you know where you are going if you do not understand where you have been?

This 126-page volume contains 15-year seasonal patterns for both live hogs and for hog/cattle spreads, 16 years of historical daily charts for each delivery month of lean hogs, 24 years of historical daily charts for spreads between matching delivery months of hogs/cattle, and 46 historically reliable trading ideas in lean hogs and 30 for hog/cattle spreads to help anticipate price movement throughout the year.

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