Moore Research Center, Inc.

  • Increase font size
  • Default font size
  • Decrease font size
Home Help Pages Frequently Asked Questions General What happens if LT is within suggested trading days?

What happens if LT is within suggested trading days?

E-mail Print

On the daily charts for each trading strategy are little boxes that say "LT" and, in some cases, "FN."  Of course, they stand for "Last Trading Day" and "First Notice Day", respectively, for contracts of earlier expiry or delivery.  They are meant to illustrate how the market tends to behave (usually temporarily) when those earlier contracts are subject to such otherwise artificial dynamics.  For example, you may notice in such charts for most markets settled by delivery that most of its contracts will tend to decline moderately beforehand because long speculators must liquidate their positions in the soon-to-be-deliverable contract in order to avoid being delivered upon.  Thus, you may notice a seasonal pattern for July Soybeans, for example, portrays a modest decline going into March 1 ---- the first delivery date for March Soybeans --- because bullish speculators are exiting long positions in March Soybeans before they can be delivered upon.  Shortly thereafter, the market may rebound as that "artificial" selling pressure dries up and bullish speculators reinstate their long positions into the May or July contracts.

Thus, look to see if the seasonal pattern has an interim peak or valley right around these dates denoted with "LT" or "FN."  Those peaks or valleys can often provide an opportunity.

Last Updated on Thursday, 15 December 2011 13:15  
Banner

Subscribe Today

Subscribe Today

Subscribe to our FREE Newsletters

Email:

Newsflash

The world will still run for decades on fossil-fuel energy --- crude oil, gasoline, heating oil, natural gas.  Buy 'em?  Sell 'em?  When?  Just since 2008, crude oil traded at $147/barrel, collapsed to -$40.32/barrel in 2020, ran to higher than $130 in early 2022, and the traded less than half that in May!

MRCI's newest special report is complete with seasonal patterns & weekly charts: for each delivery month and several spreads against each; for product spreads; for cash & basis; and for 3/2/1 and 2/1/1 crack spreads.  Better yet, this 284-page volume presents 190 seasonal & spread strategies to anticipate throughout the next 12-months. Order your copy today! https://www.mrci.com/products/energy