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MRCI's Scenario Summary

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MRCI's ScenarioSM Summary

Copyright © 1989- Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
ScenarioSM Summary Sep 30, 2012
Historical Data Scenario Data Current Market Data

Mkt

Cond

Month
Prev
Close
Month
High
Month
Low
Month
Close
Pct
Range
Total
Years
Cond
Years
Action
Years

Pct
Scenario
Objective
Average
Objective
Last
Price
#UTIL Higher Sep 468.21 478.48 466.37 475.75 77% 42 22 20 91% 478.48 503.76 475.75
#OEX Higher Sep 646.40 676.65 641.90 663.80 63% 36 13 12 92% 676.65 715.32 663.80
#NDX Higher Sep 2772.20 2878.40 2744.30 2799.20 41% 26 16 16 100% 2878.40 3114.78 2799.20
#MID Higher Sep 971.55 1030.00 965.35 989.00 37% 31 16 14 88% 1030.00 1087.80 989.00
#VLE Higher Sep 2973.00 3171.80 2949.40 3058.00 49% 29 14 13 93% 3171.80 3325.96 3058.00
#SSNI Higher Sep 8840 9289 8646 8870 35% 30 10 10 100% 9289 9752 8870
#SP Higher Sep 1406.60 1474.50 1396.55 1440.65 57% 45 20 18 90% 1474.50 1562.97 1440.65
SPZ2 Higher Sep 1398.00 1467.50 1390.00 1434.20 57% 30 13 13 100% 1467.50 1540.31 1434.20
SPH3 Higher Sep 1391.10 1458.50 1384.10 1427.40 58% 30 14 14 100% 1458.50 1528.51 1427.40
NDZ2 Higher Sep 2763.50 2872.00 2738.00 2792.00 40% 16 10 10 100% 2872.00 3148.40 2792.00
NDH3 Higher Sep 2758.00 2860.00 2755.00 2785.30 29% 16 10 10 100% 2860.00 3125.72 2785.30
TYH3 Higher Sep 132~280 133~000 130~105 132~285 96% 30 24 22 92% 133~000 136~116 132~285
EDZ2 Higher Sep 99.645 99.690 99.620 99.680 86% 30 20 18 90% 99.690 100.087 99.680
EDH3 Higher Sep 99.645 99.690 99.600 99.675 83% 30 21 20 95% 99.690 100.167 99.675
EDM3 Higher Sep 99.635 99.675 99.575 99.660 85% 30 23 21 91% 99.675 100.287 99.660
SFZ2 Higher Sep 105.01 108.38 104.30 106.49 54% 37 25 21 84% 108.38 112.71 106.49
SFH3 Higher Sep 105.26 108.18 105.10 106.67 51% 37 25 22 88% 108.18 112.55 106.67
EUZ2 Higher Sep 125.96 131.83 125.20 128.62 52% 13 8 7 88% 131.83 136.42 128.62
EUH3 Higher Sep 126.12 131.88 125.88 128.75 48% 13 7 7 100% 131.88 136.37 128.75
JYZ2 Higher Sep 127.78 129.77 126.31 128.32 58% 35 19 17 89% 129.77 137.56 128.32
JYH3 Higher Sep 127.93 129.50 126.46 128.47 66% 36 20 17 85% 129.50 137.33 128.47
ADZ2 Higher Sep 102.28 105.37 100.77 103.03 49% 25 13 12 92% 105.37 109.71 103.03
ADH3 Higher Sep 101.52 104.70 100.10 102.29 48% 23 13 11 85% 104.70 109.19 102.29
DXZ2 Lower Sep 81.530 81.950 78.725 80.025 40% 26 16 15 94% 78.725 75.752 80.025
DXH3 Lower Sep 81.920 82.035 78.945 80.225 41% 26 16 15 94% 78.945 76.159 80.225
PAZ2 Higher Sep 629.40 705.80 617.45 640.80 26% 35 17 15 88% 705.80 793.18 640.80
PAH3 Higher Sep 630.90 704.15 619.35 642.05 27% 32 19 17 89% 704.15 796.94 642.05
HOJ3 Lower Sep 309.98 318.00 294.20 304.76 44% 32 13 11 85% 294.20 275.03 304.76
NGF3 Higher Sep 3.357 3.777 3.200 3.767 98% 22 13 11 85% 3.777 4.249 3.767
SF3 Lower Sep 1751.00 1781.50 1558.75 1602.75 20% 45 27 23 85% 1558.75 1450.19 1602.75
SH3 Lower Sep 1684.25 1728.25 1508.50 1564.25 25% 45 25 22 88% 1508.50 1406.25 1564.25
SK3 Lower Sep 1590.00 1639.50 1464.50 1521.50 33% 45 25 22 88% 1464.50 1368.13 1521.50
BOZ2 Lower Sep 57.08 58.60 51.69 52.66 14% 45 27 24 89% 51.69 47.86 52.66
BOF3 Lower Sep 57.32 58.69 52.03 53.00 15% 45 26 22 85% 52.03 48.03 53.00
BOH3 Lower Sep 57.48 58.89 52.44 53.42 15% 45 26 23 88% 52.44 48.69 53.42
BOK3 Lower Sep 57.24 58.54 52.70 53.70 17% 45 27 23 85% 52.70 48.68 53.70
BON3 Lower Sep 57.02 58.42 52.87 53.88 18% 45 26 22 85% 52.87 49.08 53.88
SMZ2 Lower Sep 533.40 541.80 470.90 486.90 23% 45 26 23 88% 470.90 441.74 486.90
SMF3 Lower Sep 526.80 535.80 466.90 483.90 25% 45 27 23 85% 466.90 437.95 483.90
SMH3 Lower Sep 500.70 518.00 447.30 468.40 30% 45 27 23 85% 447.30 419.11 468.40
SMK3 Lower Sep 460.40 480.00 425.00 447.00 40% 45 26 22 85% 425.00 396.41 447.00
SMN3 Lower Sep 446.90 465.70 416.60 435.40 38% 44 25 23 92% 416.60 388.17 435.40
KWZ2 Higher Sep 906.00 950.75 872.50 927.50 70% 36 21 19 90% 950.75 1015.90 927.50
KWH3 Higher Sep 918.25 962.00 885.00 939.50 71% 36 21 19 90% 962.00 1025.05 939.50
KWK3 Higher Sep 911.00 956.50 888.00 935.75 70% 36 20 18 90% 956.50 1013.97 935.75
KWN3 Higher Sep 880.25 915.25 851.00 894.50 68% 36 19 17 89% 915.25 973.45 894.50
OZ2 Lower Sep 397.50 414.00 361.50 370.50 17% 38 16 15 94% 361.50 331.59 370.50
RRX2 Higher Sep 15.28 15.49 14.54 15.48 98% 26 12 11 92% 15.49 17.02 15.48
RRF3 Higher Sep 15.60 15.80 14.85 15.79 98% 26 12 11 92% 15.80 17.36 15.79
LCZ2 Lower Sep 128.650 131.325 123.950 124.700 10% 45 19 18 95% 123.950 118.205 124.700
FCF3 Lower Sep 149.735 151.550 147.000 147.385 8% 35 15 15 100% 147.000 139.297 147.385
LEZ2 Higher Sep 72.400 75.885 70.050 73.750 63% 43 27 24 89% 75.885 81.816 73.750
LEG3 Lower Sep 80.335 81.700 76.885 80.250 70% 43 15 13 87% 76.885 70.631 80.250
LEJ3 Lower Sep 88.385 88.600 84.030 87.550 77% 42 17 15 88% 84.030 78.797 87.550
LEM3 Lower Sep 100.150 100.400 96.050 98.230 50% 43 15 13 87% 96.050 90.886 98.230
KCH3 Higher Sep 168.45 187.25 160.40 177.50 64% 39 14 12 86% 187.25 211.80 177.50
SBN3 Higher Sep 20.48 21.11 19.75 20.49 54% 45 24 22 92% 21.11 23.99 20.49
CCH3 Lower Sep 2617 2710 2452 2530 30% 45 23 20 87% 2452 2232 2530
CCK3 Lower Sep 2620 2714 2468 2538 28% 45 23 20 87% 2468 2251 2538
CTH3 Lower Sep 77.98 78.00 71.50 71.68 3% 45 27 24 89% 71.50 66.66 71.68
CTN3 Lower Sep 79.33 79.85 73.64 73.91 4% 45 25 21 84% 73.64 68.63 73.91


Dow Jones Utilities
The #UTIL(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 468.21(Prev Close), the market ended September at 475.75(Month Close), that being 77%(Pct Range) off of 466.37(Month Low) to 478.48(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Utilities also closed higher in September than August in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, the #UTIL went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #UTIL should exceed 478.48(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 503.76(Average Objective).

S & P 100(OEX)
The #OEX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 646.40(Prev Close), the market ended September at 663.80(Month Close), that being 63%(Pct Range) off of 641.90(Month Low) to 676.65(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 100(OEX) also closed higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, the #OEX went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #OEX should exceed 676.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 715.32(Average Objective).

NASDAQ 100 Index
The #NDX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 2772.20(Prev Close), the market ended September at 2799.20(Month Close), that being 41%(Pct Range) off of 2744.30(Month Low) to 2878.40(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed higher in September than August in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, the #NDX went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NDX should exceed 2878.40(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 3114.78(Average Objective).

S & P Midcap 400 Index
The #MID(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 971.55(Prev Close), the market ended September at 989.00(Month Close), that being 37%(Pct Range) off of 965.35(Month Low) to 1030.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P Midcap 400 Index also closed higher in September than August in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, the #MID went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MID should exceed 1030.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 1087.80(Average Objective).

Value Line Index
The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 2973.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at 3058.00(Month Close), that being 49%(Pct Range) off of 2949.40(Month Low) to 3171.80(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed higher in September than August in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, the #VLE went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 3171.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 3325.96(Average Objective).

Nikkei 225 Index
The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 8840(Prev Close), the market ended September at 8870(Month Close), that being 35%(Pct Range) off of 8646(Month Low) to 9289(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed higher in September than August in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, the #SSNI went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should exceed 9289(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 9752(Average Objective).

S & P 500 Stock Index
The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 1406.60(Prev Close), the market ended September at 1440.65(Month Close), that being 57%(Pct Range) off of 1396.55(Month Low) to 1474.50(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed higher in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, the #SP went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 1474.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 1562.97(Average Objective).

December S & P 500(CME)
The SPZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 1398.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at 1434.20(Month Close), that being 57%(Pct Range) off of 1390.00(Month Low) to 1467.50(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December S & P 500(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, SPZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPZ should exceed 1467.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 1540.31(Average Objective).

March S & P 500(CME)
The SPH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 1391.10(Prev Close), the market ended September at 1427.40(Month Close), that being 58%(Pct Range) off of 1384.10(Month Low) to 1458.50(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March S & P 500(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, SPH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPH should exceed 1458.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 1528.51(Average Objective).

December NASDAQ 100(CME)
The NDZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 2763.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at 2792.00(Month Close), that being 40%(Pct Range) off of 2738.00(Month Low) to 2872.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 16 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December NASDAQ 100(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, NDZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NDZ should exceed 2872.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 3148.40(Average Objective).

March NASDAQ 100(CME)
The NDH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 2758.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at 2785.30(Month Close), that being 29%(Pct Range) off of 2755.00(Month Low) to 2860.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 16 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March NASDAQ 100(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, NDH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NDH should exceed 2860.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 3125.72(Average Objective).

March 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
The TYH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 132~280(Prev Close), the market ended September at 132~285(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 130~105(Month Low) to 133~000(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, TYH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYH should exceed 133~000(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 136~116(Average Objective).

December Eurodollars(CME)
The EDZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 99.645(Prev Close), the market ended September at 99.680(Month Close), that being 86%(Pct Range) off of 99.620(Month Low) to 99.690(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Eurodollars(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, EDZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDZ should exceed 99.690(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 100.087(Average Objective).

March Eurodollars(CME)
The EDH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 99.645(Prev Close), the market ended September at 99.675(Month Close), that being 83%(Pct Range) off of 99.600(Month Low) to 99.690(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Eurodollars(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, EDH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDH should exceed 99.690(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 100.167(Average Objective).

June Eurodollars(CME)
The EDM3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 99.635(Prev Close), the market ended September at 99.660(Month Close), that being 85%(Pct Range) off of 99.575(Month Low) to 99.675(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Eurodollars(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, EDM went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDM should exceed 99.675(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 100.287(Average Objective).

December Swiss Franc(CME)
The SFZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 105.01(Prev Close), the market ended September at 106.49(Month Close), that being 54%(Pct Range) off of 104.30(Month Low) to 108.38(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Swiss Franc(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, SFZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFZ should exceed 108.38(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 112.71(Average Objective).

March Swiss Franc(CME)
The SFH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 105.26(Prev Close), the market ended September at 106.67(Month Close), that being 51%(Pct Range) off of 105.10(Month Low) to 108.18(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Swiss Franc(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, SFH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFH should exceed 108.18(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 112.55(Average Objective).

December EuroFX(CME)
The EUZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 125.96(Prev Close), the market ended September at 128.62(Month Close), that being 52%(Pct Range) off of 125.20(Month Low) to 131.83(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 13 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December EuroFX(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, EUZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EUZ should exceed 131.83(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move toward 136.42(Average Objective).

March EuroFX(CME)
The EUH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 126.12(Prev Close), the market ended September at 128.75(Month Close), that being 48%(Pct Range) off of 125.88(Month Low) to 131.88(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 13 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March EuroFX(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 7(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 7, EUH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EUH should exceed 131.88(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move toward 136.37(Average Objective).

December Japanese Yen(CME)
The JYZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 127.78(Prev Close), the market ended September at 128.32(Month Close), that being 58%(Pct Range) off of 126.31(Month Low) to 129.77(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Japanese Yen(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, JYZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYZ should exceed 129.77(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 137.56(Average Objective).

March Japanese Yen(CME)
The JYH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 127.93(Prev Close), the market ended September at 128.47(Month Close), that being 66%(Pct Range) off of 126.46(Month Low) to 129.50(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Japanese Yen(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, JYH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYH should exceed 129.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 137.33(Average Objective).

December Australian Dollar(CME)
The ADZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 102.28(Prev Close), the market ended September at 103.03(Month Close), that being 49%(Pct Range) off of 100.77(Month Low) to 105.37(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Australian Dollar(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, ADZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADZ should exceed 105.37(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 109.71(Average Objective).

March Australian Dollar(CME)
The ADH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 101.52(Prev Close), the market ended September at 102.29(Month Close), that being 48%(Pct Range) off of 100.10(Month Low) to 104.70(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Australian Dollar(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, ADH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADH should exceed 104.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 109.19(Average Objective).

December US Dollar Index(ICE)
The DXZ2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 81.530(Prev Close), the market ended September at 80.025(Month Close), that being 40%(Pct Range) off of 78.725(Month Low) to 81.950(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December US Dollar Index(ICE) also closed lower in September than August in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, DXZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXZ should penetrate 78.725(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 75.752(Average Objective).

March US Dollar Index(ICE)
The DXH3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 81.920(Prev Close), the market ended September at 80.225(Month Close), that being 41%(Pct Range) off of 78.945(Month Low) to 82.035(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March US Dollar Index(ICE) also closed lower in September than August in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, DXH went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXH should penetrate 78.945(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 76.159(Average Objective).

December Palladium(NYMEX)
The PAZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 629.40(Prev Close), the market ended September at 640.80(Month Close), that being 26%(Pct Range) off of 617.45(Month Low) to 705.80(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Palladium(NYMEX) also closed higher in September than August in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, PAZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PAZ should exceed 705.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 793.18(Average Objective).

March Palladium(NYMEX)
The PAH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 630.90(Prev Close), the market ended September at 642.05(Month Close), that being 27%(Pct Range) off of 619.35(Month Low) to 704.15(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Palladium(NYMEX) also closed higher in September than August in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, PAH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PAH should exceed 704.15(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 796.94(Average Objective).

April Heating Oil(NYM)
The HOJ3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 309.98(Prev Close), the market ended September at 304.76(Month Close), that being 44%(Pct Range) off of 294.20(Month Low) to 318.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Heating Oil(NYM) also closed lower in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, HOJ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOJ should penetrate 294.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 275.03(Average Objective).

January Natural Gas(NYM)
The NGF3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 3.357(Prev Close), the market ended September at 3.767(Month Close), that being 98%(Pct Range) off of 3.200(Month Low) to 3.777(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Natural Gas(NYM) also closed higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, NGF went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGF should exceed 3.777(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 4.249(Average Objective).

January Soybeans(CBOT)
The SF3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 1751.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at 1602.75(Month Close), that being 20%(Pct Range) off of 1558.75(Month Low) to 1781.50(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Soybeans(CBOT) also closed lower in September than August in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, SF went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SF should penetrate 1558.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 1450.19(Average Objective).

March Soybeans(CBOT)
The SH3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 1684.25(Prev Close), the market ended September at 1564.25(Month Close), that being 25%(Pct Range) off of 1508.50(Month Low) to 1728.25(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Soybeans(CBOT) also closed lower in September than August in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, SH went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SH should penetrate 1508.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 1406.25(Average Objective).

May Soybeans(CBOT)
The SK3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 1590.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at 1521.50(Month Close), that being 33%(Pct Range) off of 1464.50(Month Low) to 1639.50(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybeans(CBOT) also closed lower in September than August in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, SK went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SK should penetrate 1464.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 1368.13(Average Objective).

December Soybean Oil(CBOT)
The BOZ2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 57.08(Prev Close), the market ended September at 52.66(Month Close), that being 14%(Pct Range) off of 51.69(Month Low) to 58.60(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed lower in September than August in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, BOZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOZ should penetrate 51.69(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 47.86(Average Objective).

January Soybean Oil(CBOT)
The BOF3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 57.32(Prev Close), the market ended September at 53.00(Month Close), that being 15%(Pct Range) off of 52.03(Month Low) to 58.69(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed lower in September than August in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, BOF went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOF should penetrate 52.03(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 48.03(Average Objective).

March Soybean Oil(CBOT)
The BOH3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 57.48(Prev Close), the market ended September at 53.42(Month Close), that being 15%(Pct Range) off of 52.44(Month Low) to 58.89(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed lower in September than August in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, BOH went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOH should penetrate 52.44(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 48.69(Average Objective).

May Soybean Oil(CBOT)
The BOK3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 57.24(Prev Close), the market ended September at 53.70(Month Close), that being 17%(Pct Range) off of 52.70(Month Low) to 58.54(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed lower in September than August in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, BOK went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOK should penetrate 52.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 48.68(Average Objective).

July Soybean Oil(CBOT)
The BON3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 57.02(Prev Close), the market ended September at 53.88(Month Close), that being 18%(Pct Range) off of 52.87(Month Low) to 58.42(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed lower in September than August in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, BON went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BON should penetrate 52.87(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 49.08(Average Objective).

December Soybean Meal(CBOT)
The SMZ2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 533.40(Prev Close), the market ended September at 486.90(Month Close), that being 23%(Pct Range) off of 470.90(Month Low) to 541.80(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed lower in September than August in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, SMZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMZ should penetrate 470.90(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 441.74(Average Objective).

January Soybean Meal(CBOT)
The SMF3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 526.80(Prev Close), the market ended September at 483.90(Month Close), that being 25%(Pct Range) off of 466.90(Month Low) to 535.80(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed lower in September than August in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, SMF went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMF should penetrate 466.90(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 437.95(Average Objective).

March Soybean Meal(CBOT)
The SMH3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 500.70(Prev Close), the market ended September at 468.40(Month Close), that being 30%(Pct Range) off of 447.30(Month Low) to 518.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed lower in September than August in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, SMH went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMH should penetrate 447.30(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 419.11(Average Objective).

May Soybean Meal(CBOT)
The SMK3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 460.40(Prev Close), the market ended September at 447.00(Month Close), that being 40%(Pct Range) off of 425.00(Month Low) to 480.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed lower in September than August in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, SMK went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMK should penetrate 425.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 396.41(Average Objective).

July Soybean Meal(CBOT)
The SMN3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 446.90(Prev Close), the market ended September at 435.40(Month Close), that being 38%(Pct Range) off of 416.60(Month Low) to 465.70(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed lower in September than August in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, SMN went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMN should penetrate 416.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 388.17(Average Objective).

December Wheat(KCBT)
The KWZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 906.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at 927.50(Month Close), that being 70%(Pct Range) off of 872.50(Month Low) to 950.75(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Wheat(KCBT) also closed higher in September than August in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, KWZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWZ should exceed 950.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 1015.90(Average Objective).

March Wheat(KCBT)
The KWH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 918.25(Prev Close), the market ended September at 939.50(Month Close), that being 71%(Pct Range) off of 885.00(Month Low) to 962.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Wheat(KCBT) also closed higher in September than August in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, KWH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWH should exceed 962.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 1025.05(Average Objective).

May Wheat(KCBT)
The KWK3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 911.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at 935.75(Month Close), that being 70%(Pct Range) off of 888.00(Month Low) to 956.50(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Wheat(KCBT) also closed higher in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, KWK went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWK should exceed 956.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 1013.97(Average Objective).

July Wheat(KCBT)
The KWN3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 880.25(Prev Close), the market ended September at 894.50(Month Close), that being 68%(Pct Range) off of 851.00(Month Low) to 915.25(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(KCBT) also closed higher in September than August in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, KWN went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWN should exceed 915.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 973.45(Average Objective).

December Oats(CBOT)
The OZ2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 397.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at 370.50(Month Close), that being 17%(Pct Range) off of 361.50(Month Low) to 414.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Oats(CBOT) also closed lower in September than August in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, OZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the OZ should penetrate 361.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 331.59(Average Objective).

November Rough Rice(CBOT)
The RRX2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 15.28(Prev Close), the market ended September at 15.48(Month Close), that being 98%(Pct Range) off of 14.54(Month Low) to 15.49(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, RRX went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRX should exceed 15.49(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 17.02(Average Objective).

January Rough Rice(CBOT)
The RRF3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 15.60(Prev Close), the market ended September at 15.79(Month Close), that being 98%(Pct Range) off of 14.85(Month Low) to 15.80(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, RRF went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRF should exceed 15.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 17.36(Average Objective).

December Live Cattle(CME)
The LCZ2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 128.650(Prev Close), the market ended September at 124.700(Month Close), that being 10%(Pct Range) off of 123.950(Month Low) to 131.325(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Live Cattle(CME) also closed lower in September than August in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, LCZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCZ should penetrate 123.950(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 118.205(Average Objective).

January Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCF3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 149.735(Prev Close), the market ended September at 147.385(Month Close), that being 8%(Pct Range) off of 147.000(Month Low) to 151.550(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed lower in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, FCF went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCF should penetrate 147.000(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 139.297(Average Objective).

December Lean Hogs(CME)
The LEZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 72.400(Prev Close), the market ended September at 73.750(Month Close), that being 63%(Pct Range) off of 70.050(Month Low) to 75.885(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Lean Hogs(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, LEZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEZ should exceed 75.885(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 81.816(Average Objective).

February Lean Hogs(CME)
The LEG3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 80.335(Prev Close), the market ended September at 80.250(Month Close), that being 70%(Pct Range) off of 76.885(Month Low) to 81.700(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Lean Hogs(CME) also closed lower in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, LEG went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEG should penetrate 76.885(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 70.631(Average Objective).

April Lean Hogs(CME)
The LEJ3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 88.385(Prev Close), the market ended September at 87.550(Month Close), that being 77%(Pct Range) off of 84.030(Month Low) to 88.600(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Lean Hogs(CME) also closed lower in September than August in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, LEJ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEJ should penetrate 84.030(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 78.797(Average Objective).

June Lean Hogs(CME)
The LEM3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 100.150(Prev Close), the market ended September at 98.230(Month Close), that being 50%(Pct Range) off of 96.050(Month Low) to 100.400(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Lean Hogs(CME) also closed lower in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, LEM went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEM should penetrate 96.050(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 90.886(Average Objective).

March Coffee "C"(ICE)
The KCH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 168.45(Prev Close), the market ended September at 177.50(Month Close), that being 64%(Pct Range) off of 160.40(Month Low) to 187.25(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed higher in September than August in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, KCH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCH should exceed 187.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 211.80(Average Objective).

July Sugar #11(ICE)
The SBN3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 20.48(Prev Close), the market ended September at 20.49(Month Close), that being 54%(Pct Range) off of 19.75(Month Low) to 21.11(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Sugar #11(ICE) also closed higher in September than August in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, SBN went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBN should exceed 21.11(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 23.99(Average Objective).

March Cocoa(ICE)
The CCH3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 2617(Prev Close), the market ended September at 2530(Month Close), that being 30%(Pct Range) off of 2452(Month Low) to 2710(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Cocoa(ICE) also closed lower in September than August in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, CCH went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CCH should penetrate 2452(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 2232(Average Objective).

May Cocoa(ICE)
The CCK3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 2620(Prev Close), the market ended September at 2538(Month Close), that being 28%(Pct Range) off of 2468(Month Low) to 2714(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Cocoa(ICE) also closed lower in September than August in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, CCK went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CCK should penetrate 2468(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 2251(Average Objective).

March Cotton(ICE)
The CTH3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 77.98(Prev Close), the market ended September at 71.68(Month Close), that being 3%(Pct Range) off of 71.50(Month Low) to 78.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Cotton(ICE) also closed lower in September than August in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, CTH went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTH should penetrate 71.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 66.66(Average Objective).

July Cotton(ICE)
The CTN3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 79.33(Prev Close), the market ended September at 73.91(Month Close), that being 4%(Pct Range) off of 73.64(Month Low) to 79.85(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Cotton(ICE) also closed lower in September than August in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, CTN went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTN should penetrate 73.64(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 68.63(Average Objective).
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Newsflash

Will the stock market continue its tradition of rallying into the new year?  Will there be another "Santa Claus rally?"

After a frightening decline after Brexit and another overnight in an initial response to Donald Trump's election upset, several US stock indices returned toward their all-time highs --- although some international markets are lagging.  Does that provide incredible opportunity?  But which way and when?

MRCI's  Historical Indices Report, complete with seasonal patterns not only for US futures on S&P500, S&P MidCap 400, NASDAQ 100, Russe ll 2000, and DJIA but also for futures on several major international indices including the FT-SE 100, CAC 40, Nikkei 225, DAX, Euro STOXX 50, Swiss Market Index, SPI 200, and Hang Seng Index.