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MRCI's Scenario Summary

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MRCI's ScenarioSM Summary

Copyright © 1989- Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
ScenarioSM Summary Jan 31, 2012
Historical Data Scenario Data Current Market Data

Mkt

Cond

Month
Prev
Close
Month
High
Month
Low
Month
Close
Pct
Range
Total
Years
Cond
Years
Action
Years

Pct
Scenario
Objective
Average
Objective
Last
Price
#DJ Higher Jan 12218.00 12842.00 12221.00 12633.00 66% 45 28 26 93% 12842.00 13518.54 12633.00
#TRAN Higher Jan 5019.70 5359.00 5003.60 5319.10 89% 41 25 23 92% 5359.00 5767.16 5319.10
#MID Higher Jan 879.15 949.60 872.75 936.50 83% 30 18 17 94% 949.60 997.72 936.50
#VLE Higher Jan 2695.60 2937.10 2694.90 2893.20 82% 28 17 16 94% 2937.10 3096.15 2893.20
#SSNI Higher Jan 8455 8912 8349 8803 81% 29 17 15 88% 8912 9493 8803
#SP Higher Jan 1257.60 1333.45 1258.85 1312.40 72% 45 26 24 92% 1333.45 1403.88 1312.40
SPM2 Higher Jan 1247.20 1323.60 1256.60 1302.50 69% 29 19 17 89% 1323.60 1393.21 1302.50
CDM2 Higher Jan 98.04 100.00 96.64 99.42 83% 34 11 10 91% 100.00 101.90 99.42
PLJ2 Higher Jan 1404.9 1633.0 1391.3 1588.1 81% 43 26 24 92% 1633.0 1789.8 1588.1
PAM2 Higher Jan 2.24 654.80 1.69 32.69 5% 32 28 24 86% 654.80 660.22 32.69
HGK2 Higher Jan 344.75 394.05 339.70 380.10 74% 45 26 24 92% 394.05 439.78 380.10
HGN2 Higher Jan 345.50 396.00 340.60 381.15 73% 45 26 24 92% 396.00 439.97 381.15
CLM2 Higher Jan 99.48 104.32 98.56 99.64 19% 28 16 15 94% 104.32 115.22 99.64
HOK2 Higher Jan 286.33 308.46 290.14 300.74 58% 32 13 11 85% 308.46 344.38 300.74
RBK2 Higher Jan 276.26 304.88 279.58 298.79 76% 26 17 16 94% 304.88 340.15 298.79
RBM2 Higher Jan 274.10 301.27 278.01 295.62 76% 26 18 16 89% 301.27 338.12 295.62
CK2 Lower Jan 654.75 672.50 599.00 645.25 63% 45 24 23 96% 599.00 565.67 645.25
CN2 Lower Jan 661.25 679.00 604.00 648.75 60% 45 24 23 96% 604.00 572.00 648.75
CU2 Lower Jan 613.25 624.25 568.75 593.50 45% 45 23 23 100% 568.75 543.19 593.50
WK2 Higher Jan 671.25 689.25 612.50 680.25 88% 45 19 16 84% 689.25 738.23 680.25
WN2 Higher Jan 686.25 702.75 628.50 691.00 84% 45 20 17 85% 702.75 758.22 691.00
KWK2 Lower Jan 725.00 739.50 656.00 723.75 81% 35 17 16 94% 656.00 616.97 723.75
KWN2 Lower Jan 732.00 747.00 668.25 731.50 80% 35 16 15 94% 668.25 626.05 731.50
OK2 Lower Jan 313.25 318.00 281.50 292.75 31% 37 22 20 91% 281.50 253.78 292.75
ON2 Lower Jan 318.50 320.00 284.25 297.00 36% 37 23 20 87% 284.25 259.30 297.00
RRK2 Lower Jan 15.13 15.44 14.26 14.28 1% 25 12 11 92% 14.26 12.72 14.28
RRN2 Lower Jan 15.37 15.60 14.54 14.54 0% 22 12 11 92% 14.54 13.04 14.54
FCJ2 Higher Jan 150.180 157.700 150.550 157.635 99% 39 25 21 84% 157.700 166.350 157.635
FCK2 Higher Jan 151.135 158.500 151.385 158.325 98% 40 26 22 85% 158.500 167.237 158.325
LEK2 Higher Jan 94.835 96.980 93.400 96.850 96% 10 6 6 100% 96.980 99.964 96.850
KCK2 Lower Jan 229.65 241.10 216.00 218.00 8% 38 20 19 95% 216.00 200.30 218.00
KCN2 Lower Jan 232.20 243.60 219.00 220.90 8% 38 18 17 94% 219.00 203.15 220.90
SBN2 Higher Jan 22.56 23.83 22.12 22.64 30% 45 22 19 86% 23.83 27.35 22.64
CCK2 Higher Jan 2131 2499 2030 2324 63% 45 16 16 100% 2499 2730 2324
CCN2 Higher Jan 2148 2519 2048 2350 64% 45 16 15 94% 2519 2741 2350
LBN2 Lower Jan 286.8 290.7 260.2 271.0 35% 38 16 15 94% 260.2 242.8 271.0


DJIA Index
The #DJ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 12218.00(Prev Close), the market ended January at 12633.00(Month Close), that being 66%(Pct Range) off of 12221.00(Month Low) to 12842.00(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed higher in January than December in 28(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 28, the #DJ went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 26 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should exceed 12842.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 26 years) a potential move toward 13518.54(Average Objective).

Dow Jones Transportation
The #TRAN(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 5019.70(Prev Close), the market ended January at 5319.10(Month Close), that being 89%(Pct Range) off of 5003.60(Month Low) to 5359.00(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Transportation also closed higher in January than December in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, the #TRAN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #TRAN should exceed 5359.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 5767.16(Average Objective).

S & P Midcap 400 Index
The #MID(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 879.15(Prev Close), the market ended January at 936.50(Month Close), that being 83%(Pct Range) off of 872.75(Month Low) to 949.60(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P Midcap 400 Index also closed higher in January than December in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, the #MID went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MID should exceed 949.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 997.72(Average Objective).

Value Line Index
The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 2695.60(Prev Close), the market ended January at 2893.20(Month Close), that being 82%(Pct Range) off of 2694.90(Month Low) to 2937.10(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed higher in January than December in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, the #VLE went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 2937.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 3096.15(Average Objective).

Nikkei 225 Index
The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 8455(Prev Close), the market ended January at 8803(Month Close), that being 81%(Pct Range) off of 8349(Month Low) to 8912(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed higher in January than December in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, the #SSNI went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should exceed 8912(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 9493(Average Objective).

S & P 500 Stock Index
The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 1257.60(Prev Close), the market ended January at 1312.40(Month Close), that being 72%(Pct Range) off of 1258.85(Month Low) to 1333.45(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed higher in January than December in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, the #SP went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 1333.45(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 1403.88(Average Objective).

June S & P 500(CME)
The SPM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 1247.20(Prev Close), the market ended January at 1302.50(Month Close), that being 69%(Pct Range) off of 1256.60(Month Low) to 1323.60(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June S & P 500(CME) also closed higher in January than December in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, SPM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPM should exceed 1323.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 1393.21(Average Objective).

June Canadian Dollar(CME)
The CDM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 98.04(Prev Close), the market ended January at 99.42(Month Close), that being 83%(Pct Range) off of 96.64(Month Low) to 100.00(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Canadian Dollar(CME) also closed higher in January than December in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, CDM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CDM should exceed 100.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 101.90(Average Objective).

April Platinum(NYMEX)
The PLJ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 1404.9(Prev Close), the market ended January at 1588.1(Month Close), that being 81%(Pct Range) off of 1391.3(Month Low) to 1633.0(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Platinum(NYMEX) also closed higher in January than December in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, PLJ went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PLJ should exceed 1633.0(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 1789.8(Average Objective).

June Palladium(NYMEX)
The PAM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 2.24(Prev Close), the market ended January at 32.69(Month Close), that being 5%(Pct Range) off of 1.69(Month Low) to 654.80(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Palladium(NYMEX) also closed higher in January than December in 28(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 28, PAM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PAM should exceed 654.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 660.22(Average Objective).

May Copper(CMX)
The HGK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 344.75(Prev Close), the market ended January at 380.10(Month Close), that being 74%(Pct Range) off of 339.70(Month Low) to 394.05(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Copper(CMX) also closed higher in January than December in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, HGK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HGK should exceed 394.05(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 439.78(Average Objective).

July Copper(CMX)
The HGN2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 345.50(Prev Close), the market ended January at 381.15(Month Close), that being 73%(Pct Range) off of 340.60(Month Low) to 396.00(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Copper(CMX) also closed higher in January than December in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, HGN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HGN should exceed 396.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 439.97(Average Objective).

June Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 99.48(Prev Close), the market ended January at 99.64(Month Close), that being 19%(Pct Range) off of 98.56(Month Low) to 104.32(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in January than December in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, CLM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLM should exceed 104.32(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 115.22(Average Objective).

May Heating Oil(NYM)
The HOK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 286.33(Prev Close), the market ended January at 300.74(Month Close), that being 58%(Pct Range) off of 290.14(Month Low) to 308.46(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Heating Oil(NYM) also closed higher in January than December in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, HOK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOK should exceed 308.46(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 344.38(Average Objective).

May Gasoline(NYMEX)
The RBK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 276.26(Prev Close), the market ended January at 298.79(Month Close), that being 76%(Pct Range) off of 279.58(Month Low) to 304.88(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed higher in January than December in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, RBK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBK should exceed 304.88(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 340.15(Average Objective).

June Gasoline(NYMEX)
The RBM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 274.10(Prev Close), the market ended January at 295.62(Month Close), that being 76%(Pct Range) off of 278.01(Month Low) to 301.27(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed higher in January than December in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, RBM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBM should exceed 301.27(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 338.12(Average Objective).

May Corn(CBOT)
The CK2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 654.75(Prev Close), the market ended January at 645.25(Month Close), that being 63%(Pct Range) off of 599.00(Month Low) to 672.50(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Corn(CBOT) also closed lower in January than December in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, CK went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CK should penetrate 599.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 565.67(Average Objective).

July Corn(CBOT)
The CN2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 661.25(Prev Close), the market ended January at 648.75(Month Close), that being 60%(Pct Range) off of 604.00(Month Low) to 679.00(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Corn(CBOT) also closed lower in January than December in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, CN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CN should penetrate 604.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 572.00(Average Objective).

September Corn(CBOT)
The CU2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 613.25(Prev Close), the market ended January at 593.50(Month Close), that being 45%(Pct Range) off of 568.75(Month Low) to 624.25(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Corn(CBOT) also closed lower in January than December in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, CU went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CU should penetrate 568.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 543.19(Average Objective).

May Wheat(CBOT)
The WK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 671.25(Prev Close), the market ended January at 680.25(Month Close), that being 88%(Pct Range) off of 612.50(Month Low) to 689.25(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Wheat(CBOT) also closed higher in January than December in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, WK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WK should exceed 689.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 738.23(Average Objective).

July Wheat(CBOT)
The WN2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 686.25(Prev Close), the market ended January at 691.00(Month Close), that being 84%(Pct Range) off of 628.50(Month Low) to 702.75(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(CBOT) also closed higher in January than December in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, WN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WN should exceed 702.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 758.22(Average Objective).

May Wheat(KCBT)
The KWK2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 725.00(Prev Close), the market ended January at 723.75(Month Close), that being 81%(Pct Range) off of 656.00(Month Low) to 739.50(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Wheat(KCBT) also closed lower in January than December in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, KWK went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWK should penetrate 656.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 616.97(Average Objective).

July Wheat(KCBT)
The KWN2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 732.00(Prev Close), the market ended January at 731.50(Month Close), that being 80%(Pct Range) off of 668.25(Month Low) to 747.00(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(KCBT) also closed lower in January than December in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, KWN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWN should penetrate 668.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 626.05(Average Objective).

May Oats(CBOT)
The OK2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 313.25(Prev Close), the market ended January at 292.75(Month Close), that being 31%(Pct Range) off of 281.50(Month Low) to 318.00(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Oats(CBOT) also closed lower in January than December in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, OK went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the OK should penetrate 281.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 253.78(Average Objective).

July Oats(CBOT)
The ON2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 318.50(Prev Close), the market ended January at 297.00(Month Close), that being 36%(Pct Range) off of 284.25(Month Low) to 320.00(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Oats(CBOT) also closed lower in January than December in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, ON went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ON should penetrate 284.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 259.30(Average Objective).

May Rough Rice(CBOT)
The RRK2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 15.13(Prev Close), the market ended January at 14.28(Month Close), that being 1%(Pct Range) off of 14.26(Month Low) to 15.44(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed lower in January than December in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, RRK went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRK should penetrate 14.26(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 12.72(Average Objective).

July Rough Rice(CBOT)
The RRN2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 15.37(Prev Close), the market ended January at 14.54(Month Close), that being 0%(Pct Range) off of 14.54(Month Low) to 15.60(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed lower in January than December in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, RRN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRN should penetrate 14.54(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 13.04(Average Objective).

April Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCJ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 150.180(Prev Close), the market ended January at 157.635(Month Close), that being 99%(Pct Range) off of 150.550(Month Low) to 157.700(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in January than December in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, FCJ went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCJ should exceed 157.700(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 166.350(Average Objective).

May Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 151.135(Prev Close), the market ended January at 158.325(Month Close), that being 98%(Pct Range) off of 151.385(Month Low) to 158.500(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in January than December in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, FCK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCK should exceed 158.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 167.237(Average Objective).

May Lean Hogs(CME)
The LEK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 94.835(Prev Close), the market ended January at 96.850(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 93.400(Month Low) to 96.980(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 10 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Lean Hogs(CME) also closed higher in January than December in 6(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 6, LEK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEK should exceed 96.980(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move toward 99.964(Average Objective).

May Coffee "C"(ICE)
The KCK2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 229.65(Prev Close), the market ended January at 218.00(Month Close), that being 8%(Pct Range) off of 216.00(Month Low) to 241.10(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed lower in January than December in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, KCK went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCK should penetrate 216.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 200.30(Average Objective).

July Coffee "C"(ICE)
The KCN2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 232.20(Prev Close), the market ended January at 220.90(Month Close), that being 8%(Pct Range) off of 219.00(Month Low) to 243.60(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed lower in January than December in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, KCN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCN should penetrate 219.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 203.15(Average Objective).

July Sugar #11(ICE)
The SBN2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 22.56(Prev Close), the market ended January at 22.64(Month Close), that being 30%(Pct Range) off of 22.12(Month Low) to 23.83(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Sugar #11(ICE) also closed higher in January than December in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, SBN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBN should exceed 23.83(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 27.35(Average Objective).

May Cocoa(ICE)
The CCK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 2131(Prev Close), the market ended January at 2324(Month Close), that being 63%(Pct Range) off of 2030(Month Low) to 2499(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Cocoa(ICE) also closed higher in January than December in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, CCK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CCK should exceed 2499(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 2730(Average Objective).

July Cocoa(ICE)
The CCN2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 2148(Prev Close), the market ended January at 2350(Month Close), that being 64%(Pct Range) off of 2048(Month Low) to 2519(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Cocoa(ICE) also closed higher in January than December in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, CCN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CCN should exceed 2519(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 2741(Average Objective).

July Lumber(CME)
The LBN2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 286.8(Prev Close), the market ended January at 271.0(Month Close), that being 35%(Pct Range) off of 260.2(Month Low) to 290.7(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Lumber(CME) also closed lower in January than December in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, LBN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBN should penetrate 260.2(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 242.8(Average Objective).
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Newsflash

For example...

Did you know that December Australian Dollars have closed higher on Nov. 7th than on Sept. 9th in 12 of the last 15 years?
See the facts: http://goo.gl/tquCtO

More historical Forex Facts are available in MRCI's Forex Report!

If you have ANY questions on this historical trading strategy, please just let us know - we are happy to help. (541) 933-5340!