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MRCI's ScenarioSM Summary

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ScenarioSM Summary Sep 30, 2010
Historical Data Scenario Data Current Market Data

Mkt

Cond

Month
Prev
Close
Month
High
Month
Low
Month
Close
Pct
Range
Total
Years
Cond
Years
Action
Years

Pct
Scenario
Objective
Average
Objective
Last
Price
#TRAN Higher Sep 4122.60 4614.00 4122.00 4522.30 81% 40 15 15 100% 4614.00 4981.47 4522.30
#UTIL Higher Sep 388.97 402.40 389.07 398.23 69% 40 21 19 90% 402.40 423.87 398.23
#NDX Higher Sep 1767.40 2029.70 1791.40 1998.00 87% 24 15 15 100% 2029.70 2195.02 1998.00
#MID Higher Sep 721.65 811.70 721.55 802.10 89% 29 15 13 87% 811.70 857.32 802.10
#VLE Higher Sep 2240.00 2535.80 2256.80 2504.80 89% 27 13 12 92% 2535.80 2654.12 2504.80
#SP Higher Sep 1049.35 1157.15 1049.70 1141.20 85% 45 20 18 90% 1157.15 1224.20 1141.20
SPZ0 Higher Sep 1043.30 1153.50 1056.50 1136.70 83% 28 12 12 100% 1153.50 1208.30 1136.70
NDZ0 Higher Sep 1763.80 2032.00 1817.50 1995.50 83% 14 9 9 100% 2032.00 2228.82 1995.50
TYZ0 Higher Sep 125~200 126~155 122~300 126~015 88% 28 22 21 95% 126~155 129~231 126~015
EDZ0 Higher Sep 99.585 99.650 99.500 99.640 93% 28 19 17 89% 99.650 100.068 99.640
EDH1 Higher Sep 99.525 99.600 99.435 99.590 94% 28 20 19 95% 99.600 100.100 99.590
JYZ0 Higher Sep 119.09 120.77 116.48 120.01 82% 33 18 16 89% 120.77 128.20 120.01
ADZ0 Higher Sep 87.73 96.50 88.08 95.86 92% 23 12 11 92% 96.50 100.38 95.86
DXZ0 Lower Sep 83.595 83.530 78.620 78.938 6% 24 15 14 93% 78.620 75.747 78.938
PAZ0 Higher Sep 501.85 582.65 500.55 571.25 86% 33 16 14 88% 582.65 653.29 571.25
RBF1 Higher Sep 189.54 206.55 190.10 206.36 99% 25 15 14 93% 206.55 218.58 206.36
NGF1 Lower Sep 4.654 4.681 4.219 4.294 16% 20 7 6 86% 4.219 3.640 4.294
NGG1 Lower Sep 4.647 4.678 4.246 4.313 16% 20 8 7 88% 4.246 3.818 4.313
BOF1 Higher Sep 40.34 45.77 40.12 45.39 93% 45 19 16 84% 45.77 50.56 45.39
BOH1 Higher Sep 40.61 46.02 40.40 45.60 93% 45 19 16 84% 46.02 50.59 45.60
CH1 Higher Sep 452.25 541.00 451.00 508.25 64% 45 15 13 87% 541.00 587.15 508.25
KWZ0 Higher Sep 702.50 782.75 687.25 707.75 21% 34 20 18 90% 782.75 828.73 707.75
KWH1 Higher Sep 713.50 795.00 702.25 722.25 22% 34 20 18 90% 795.00 840.80 722.25
MWZ0 Higher Sep 703.50 790.00 698.50 721.00 25% 29 13 11 85% 790.00 838.65 721.00
MWH1 Higher Sep 712.50 800.00 712.50 735.75 27% 29 13 12 92% 800.00 840.74 735.75
OH1 Higher Sep 287.75 371.50 287.75 351.25 76% 36 19 17 89% 371.50 409.64 351.25
RRF1 Higher Sep 11.60 12.91 11.53 12.84 95% 24 11 10 91% 12.91 14.01 12.84
RRH1 Higher Sep 11.87 13.15 11.84 13.11 97% 24 11 10 91% 13.15 14.27 13.11
LCZ0 Lower Sep 100.050 102.650 97.800 99.600 37% 45 20 18 90% 97.800 92.778 99.600
LCG1 Higher Sep 100.600 103.550 99.700 101.750 53% 45 25 23 92% 103.550 107.792 101.750
LCJ1 Higher Sep 102.100 104.500 101.250 102.885 50% 43 21 20 95% 104.500 107.909 102.885
FCF1 Lower Sep 114.850 115.835 109.100 112.950 57% 33 14 14 100% 109.100 103.227 112.950
FCH1 Lower Sep 114.450 115.000 109.100 112.700 61% 36 16 14 88% 109.100 103.954 112.700
LEZ0 Higher Sep 73.280 78.000 72.100 74.885 47% 41 25 23 92% 78.000 84.153 74.885
LEG1 Higher Sep 75.800 81.385 74.930 77.850 45% 41 26 22 85% 81.385 88.185 77.850
KCZ0 Higher Sep 178.45 198.65 178.25 183.05 24% 37 13 11 85% 198.65 222.58 183.05
KCH1 Higher Sep 178.50 198.95 179.70 184.55 25% 37 13 11 85% 198.95 223.33 184.55
SBH1 Higher Sep 19.32 25.35 19.32 23.48 69% 45 21 19 90% 25.35 28.67 23.48
SBK1 Higher Sep 18.26 23.36 18.24 21.78 69% 45 24 22 92% 23.36 26.35 21.78
LBF1 Higher Sep 225.5 263.8 224.4 253.4 74% 37 10 9 90% 263.8 286.8 253.4
LBH1 Higher Sep 242.4 272.8 238.9 266.5 81% 37 11 11 100% 272.8 291.4 266.5


Dow Jones Transportation
The #TRAN(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 4122.60(Prev Close), the market ended September at 4522.30(Month Close), that being 81%(Pct Range) off of 4122.00(Month Low) to 4614.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Transportation also closed higher in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, the #TRAN went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #TRAN should exceed 4614.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 4981.47(Average Objective).

Dow Jones Utilities
The #UTIL(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 388.97(Prev Close), the market ended September at 398.23(Month Close), that being 69%(Pct Range) off of 389.07(Month Low) to 402.40(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Utilities also closed higher in September than August in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, the #UTIL went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #UTIL should exceed 402.40(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 423.87(Average Objective).

NASDAQ 100 Index
The #NDX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 1767.40(Prev Close), the market ended September at 1998.00(Month Close), that being 87%(Pct Range) off of 1791.40(Month Low) to 2029.70(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed higher in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, the #NDX went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NDX should exceed 2029.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 2195.02(Average Objective).

S & P Midcap 400 Index
The #MID(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 721.65(Prev Close), the market ended September at 802.10(Month Close), that being 89%(Pct Range) off of 721.55(Month Low) to 811.70(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P Midcap 400 Index also closed higher in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, the #MID went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MID should exceed 811.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 857.32(Average Objective).

Value Line Index
The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 2240.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at 2504.80(Month Close), that being 89%(Pct Range) off of 2256.80(Month Low) to 2535.80(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, the #VLE went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 2535.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 2654.12(Average Objective).

S & P 500 Stock Index
The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 1049.35(Prev Close), the market ended September at 1141.20(Month Close), that being 85%(Pct Range) off of 1049.70(Month Low) to 1157.15(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed higher in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, the #SP went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 1157.15(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 1224.20(Average Objective).

December S & P 500(CME)
The SPZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 1043.30(Prev Close), the market ended September at 1136.70(Month Close), that being 83%(Pct Range) off of 1056.50(Month Low) to 1153.50(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December S & P 500(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, SPZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPZ should exceed 1153.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 1208.30(Average Objective).

December NASDAQ 100(CME)
The NDZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 1763.80(Prev Close), the market ended September at 1995.50(Month Close), that being 83%(Pct Range) off of 1817.50(Month Low) to 2032.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 14 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December NASDAQ 100(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 9(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 9, NDZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NDZ should exceed 2032.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 2228.82(Average Objective).

December 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
The TYZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 125~200(Prev Close), the market ended September at 126~015(Month Close), that being 88%(Pct Range) off of 122~300(Month Low) to 126~155(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, TYZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYZ should exceed 126~155(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 129~231(Average Objective).

December Eurodollars(CME)
The EDZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 99.585(Prev Close), the market ended September at 99.640(Month Close), that being 93%(Pct Range) off of 99.500(Month Low) to 99.650(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Eurodollars(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, EDZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDZ should exceed 99.650(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 100.068(Average Objective).

March Eurodollars(CME)
The EDH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 99.525(Prev Close), the market ended September at 99.590(Month Close), that being 94%(Pct Range) off of 99.435(Month Low) to 99.600(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Eurodollars(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, EDH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDH should exceed 99.600(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 100.100(Average Objective).

December Japanese Yen(CME)
The JYZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 119.09(Prev Close), the market ended September at 120.01(Month Close), that being 82%(Pct Range) off of 116.48(Month Low) to 120.77(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Japanese Yen(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, JYZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYZ should exceed 120.77(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 128.20(Average Objective).

December Australian Dollar(CME)
The ADZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 87.73(Prev Close), the market ended September at 95.86(Month Close), that being 92%(Pct Range) off of 88.08(Month Low) to 96.50(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Australian Dollar(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, ADZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADZ should exceed 96.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 100.38(Average Objective).

December US Dollar Index(ICE)
The DXZ0(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 83.595(Prev Close), the market ended September at 78.938(Month Close), that being 6%(Pct Range) off of 78.620(Month Low) to 83.530(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December US Dollar Index(ICE) also closed lower in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, DXZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXZ should penetrate 78.620(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 75.747(Average Objective).

December Palladium(NYMEX)
The PAZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 501.85(Prev Close), the market ended September at 571.25(Month Close), that being 86%(Pct Range) off of 500.55(Month Low) to 582.65(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Palladium(NYMEX) also closed higher in September than August in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, PAZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PAZ should exceed 582.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 653.29(Average Objective).

January Gasoline(NYMEX)
The RBF1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 189.54(Prev Close), the market ended September at 206.36(Month Close), that being 99%(Pct Range) off of 190.10(Month Low) to 206.55(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed higher in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, RBF went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBF should exceed 206.55(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 218.58(Average Objective).

January Natural Gas(NYM)
The NGF1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 4.654(Prev Close), the market ended September at 4.294(Month Close), that being 16%(Pct Range) off of 4.219(Month Low) to 4.681(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Natural Gas(NYM) also closed lower in September than August in 7(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 7, NGF went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGF should penetrate 4.219(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move toward 3.640(Average Objective).

February Natural Gas(NYM)
The NGG1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 4.647(Prev Close), the market ended September at 4.313(Month Close), that being 16%(Pct Range) off of 4.246(Month Low) to 4.678(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Natural Gas(NYM) also closed lower in September than August in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, NGG went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGG should penetrate 4.246(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move toward 3.818(Average Objective).

January Soybean Oil(CBOT)
The BOF1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 40.34(Prev Close), the market ended September at 45.39(Month Close), that being 93%(Pct Range) off of 40.12(Month Low) to 45.77(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, BOF went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOF should exceed 45.77(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 50.56(Average Objective).

March Soybean Oil(CBOT)
The BOH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 40.61(Prev Close), the market ended September at 45.60(Month Close), that being 93%(Pct Range) off of 40.40(Month Low) to 46.02(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, BOH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOH should exceed 46.02(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 50.59(Average Objective).

March Corn(CBOT)
The CH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 452.25(Prev Close), the market ended September at 508.25(Month Close), that being 64%(Pct Range) off of 451.00(Month Low) to 541.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Corn(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, CH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CH should exceed 541.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 587.15(Average Objective).

December Wheat(KCBT)
The KWZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 702.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at 707.75(Month Close), that being 21%(Pct Range) off of 687.25(Month Low) to 782.75(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Wheat(KCBT) also closed higher in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, KWZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWZ should exceed 782.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 828.73(Average Objective).

March Wheat(KCBT)
The KWH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 713.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at 722.25(Month Close), that being 22%(Pct Range) off of 702.25(Month Low) to 795.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Wheat(KCBT) also closed higher in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, KWH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWH should exceed 795.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 840.80(Average Objective).

December Wheat(MGE)
The MWZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 703.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at 721.00(Month Close), that being 25%(Pct Range) off of 698.50(Month Low) to 790.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Wheat(MGE) also closed higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, MWZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the MWZ should exceed 790.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 838.65(Average Objective).

March Wheat(MGE)
The MWH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 712.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at 735.75(Month Close), that being 27%(Pct Range) off of 712.50(Month Low) to 800.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Wheat(MGE) also closed higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, MWH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the MWH should exceed 800.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 840.74(Average Objective).

March Oats(CBOT)
The OH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 287.75(Prev Close), the market ended September at 351.25(Month Close), that being 76%(Pct Range) off of 287.75(Month Low) to 371.50(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Oats(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, OH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the OH should exceed 371.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 409.64(Average Objective).

January Rough Rice(CBOT)
The RRF1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 11.60(Prev Close), the market ended September at 12.84(Month Close), that being 95%(Pct Range) off of 11.53(Month Low) to 12.91(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, RRF went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRF should exceed 12.91(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 14.01(Average Objective).

March Rough Rice(CBOT)
The RRH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 11.87(Prev Close), the market ended September at 13.11(Month Close), that being 97%(Pct Range) off of 11.84(Month Low) to 13.15(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, RRH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRH should exceed 13.15(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 14.27(Average Objective).

December Live Cattle(CME)
The LCZ0(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 100.050(Prev Close), the market ended September at 99.600(Month Close), that being 37%(Pct Range) off of 97.800(Month Low) to 102.650(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Live Cattle(CME) also closed lower in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, LCZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCZ should penetrate 97.800(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 92.778(Average Objective).

February Live Cattle(CME)
The LCG1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 100.600(Prev Close), the market ended September at 101.750(Month Close), that being 53%(Pct Range) off of 99.700(Month Low) to 103.550(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, LCG went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCG should exceed 103.550(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 107.792(Average Objective).

April Live Cattle(CME)
The LCJ1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 102.100(Prev Close), the market ended September at 102.885(Month Close), that being 50%(Pct Range) off of 101.250(Month Low) to 104.500(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, LCJ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCJ should exceed 104.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 107.909(Average Objective).

January Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCF1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 114.850(Prev Close), the market ended September at 112.950(Month Close), that being 57%(Pct Range) off of 109.100(Month Low) to 115.835(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed lower in September than August in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, FCF went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCF should penetrate 109.100(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 103.227(Average Objective).

March Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCH1(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 114.450(Prev Close), the market ended September at 112.700(Month Close), that being 61%(Pct Range) off of 109.100(Month Low) to 115.000(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed lower in September than August in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, FCH went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCH should penetrate 109.100(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 103.954(Average Objective).

December Lean Hogs(CME)
The LEZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 73.280(Prev Close), the market ended September at 74.885(Month Close), that being 47%(Pct Range) off of 72.100(Month Low) to 78.000(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Lean Hogs(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, LEZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEZ should exceed 78.000(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 84.153(Average Objective).

February Lean Hogs(CME)
The LEG1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 75.800(Prev Close), the market ended September at 77.850(Month Close), that being 45%(Pct Range) off of 74.930(Month Low) to 81.385(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Lean Hogs(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, LEG went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEG should exceed 81.385(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 88.185(Average Objective).

December Coffee "C"(ICE)
The KCZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 178.45(Prev Close), the market ended September at 183.05(Month Close), that being 24%(Pct Range) off of 178.25(Month Low) to 198.65(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, KCZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCZ should exceed 198.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 222.58(Average Objective).

March Coffee "C"(ICE)
The KCH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 178.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at 184.55(Month Close), that being 25%(Pct Range) off of 179.70(Month Low) to 198.95(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, KCH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCH should exceed 198.95(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 223.33(Average Objective).

March Sugar #11(ICE)
The SBH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 19.32(Prev Close), the market ended September at 23.48(Month Close), that being 69%(Pct Range) off of 19.32(Month Low) to 25.35(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Sugar #11(ICE) also closed higher in September than August in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, SBH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBH should exceed 25.35(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 28.67(Average Objective).

May Sugar #11(ICE)
The SBK1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 18.26(Prev Close), the market ended September at 21.78(Month Close), that being 69%(Pct Range) off of 18.24(Month Low) to 23.36(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Sugar #11(ICE) also closed higher in September than August in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, SBK went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBK should exceed 23.36(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 26.35(Average Objective).

January Lumber(CME)
The LBF1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 225.5(Prev Close), the market ended September at 253.4(Month Close), that being 74%(Pct Range) off of 224.4(Month Low) to 263.8(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Lumber(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, LBF went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBF should exceed 263.8(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 286.8(Average Objective).

March Lumber(CME)
The LBH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 242.4(Prev Close), the market ended September at 266.5(Month Close), that being 81%(Pct Range) off of 238.9(Month Low) to 272.8(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Lumber(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, LBH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBH should exceed 272.8(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 291.4(Average Objective).