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MRCI's ScenarioSM Summary

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ScenarioSM Summary Jul 31, 2010
Historical Data Scenario Data Current Market Data

Mkt

Cond

Month
Prev
Close
Month
High
Month
Low
Month
Close
Pct
Range
Total
Years
Cond
Years
Action
Years

Pct
Scenario
Objective
Average
Objective
Last
Price
#UTIL Higher Jul 357.74 395.60 353.53 385.53 76% 40 23 21 91% 395.60 411.48 385.53
#NDX Higher Jul 1739.10 1900.20 1700.00 1864.00 82% 24 12 11 92% 1900.20 2021.60 1864.00
#RUT Higher Jul 609.50 672.15 587.60 650.90 75% 31 15 14 93% 672.15 710.83 650.90
#MID Higher Jul 711.75 783.00 692.75 760.25 75% 29 11 11 100% 783.00 821.48 760.25
#VLE Higher Jul 2222.30 2460.20 2163.10 2394.80 78% 27 14 13 93% 2460.20 2567.46 2394.80
#SP Higher Jul 1030.70 1120.95 1010.90 1101.60 82% 45 19 18 95% 1120.95 1171.18 1101.60
SPZ0 Higher Jul 1022.10 1111.80 1001.60 1093.60 83% 28 11 11 100% 1111.80 1146.21 1093.60
USZ0 Higher Jul 126~03 127~26 123~27 127~10 87% 32 17 17 100% 127~26 132~27 127~10
TYZ0 Higher Jul 121~185 122~310 120~170 122~295 98% 28 18 18 100% 122~310 126~225 122~295
EDZ0 Higher Jul 99.230 99.575 99.215 99.555 94% 28 18 18 100% 99.575 100.095 99.555
EDH1 Higher Jul 99.160 99.505 99.130 99.490 96% 28 17 15 88% 99.505 100.221 99.490
SFZ0 Higher Jul 93.16 96.61 93.16 96.30 91% 35 14 13 93% 96.61 101.50 96.30
JYZ0 Higher Jul 113.36 116.41 112.46 115.96 89% 33 13 11 85% 116.41 121.64 115.96
ADZ0 Higher Jul 82.86 89.24 81.62 88.92 96% 22 10 10 100% 89.24 91.80 88.92
DXZ0 Lower Jul 86.615 85.750 81.970 81.970 0% 24 11 10 91% 81.970 79.643 81.970
CLX0 Higher Jul 77.05 80.53 72.71 79.95 93% 27 18 16 89% 80.53 88.32 79.95
CLZ0 Higher Jul 77.49 81.03 73.15 80.51 93% 27 18 16 89% 81.03 88.53 80.51
RBX0 Higher Jul 193.04 202.04 183.24 201.07 95% 25 16 14 88% 202.04 224.01 201.07
RBZ0 Higher Jul 193.33 202.33 182.69 201.32 95% 25 16 14 88% 202.33 221.69 201.32
NGX0 Higher Jul 4.980 5.208 4.641 5.072 76% 20 9 9 100% 5.208 6.105 5.072
NGZ0 Higher Jul 5.252 5.447 4.946 5.259 62% 20 10 9 90% 5.447 6.258 5.259
WZ0 Higher Jul 506.50 695.00 501.75 693.75 99% 45 23 20 87% 695.00 791.39 693.75
WH1 Higher Jul 533.50 714.75 527.50 713.50 99% 45 23 20 87% 714.75 813.46 713.50
LCV0 Higher Jul 91.250 95.150 90.600 94.600 88% 45 27 24 89% 95.150 99.381 94.600
FCX0 Higher Jul 112.680 115.500 111.800 114.730 79% 38 24 21 88% 115.500 120.746 114.730
LEV0 Higher Jul 75.600 79.100 73.700 79.030 99% 40 22 20 91% 79.100 85.344 79.030
PBG1 Higher Jul 100.500 101.500 99.600 101.200 84% 45 24 22 92% 101.500 112.736 101.200
KCZ0 Higher Jul 166.05 179.35 156.60 176.80 89% 36 12 11 92% 179.35 194.47 176.80
KCH1 Higher Jul 165.70 178.00 157.20 176.40 92% 36 13 11 85% 178.00 192.71 176.40


Dow Jones Utilities
The #UTIL(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 357.74(Prev Close), the market ended July at 385.53(Month Close), that being 76%(Pct Range) off of 353.53(Month Low) to 395.60(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Utilities also closed higher in July than June in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, the #UTIL went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #UTIL should exceed 395.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 411.48(Average Objective).

NASDAQ 100 Index
The #NDX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 1739.10(Prev Close), the market ended July at 1864.00(Month Close), that being 82%(Pct Range) off of 1700.00(Month Low) to 1900.20(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed higher in July than June in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, the #NDX went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NDX should exceed 1900.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 2021.60(Average Objective).

Russell 2000 Index
The #RUT(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 609.50(Prev Close), the market ended July at 650.90(Month Close), that being 75%(Pct Range) off of 587.60(Month Low) to 672.15(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Russell 2000 Index also closed higher in July than June in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, the #RUT went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #RUT should exceed 672.15(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 710.83(Average Objective).

S & P Midcap 400 Index
The #MID(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 711.75(Prev Close), the market ended July at 760.25(Month Close), that being 75%(Pct Range) off of 692.75(Month Low) to 783.00(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P Midcap 400 Index also closed higher in July than June in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, the #MID went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MID should exceed 783.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 821.48(Average Objective).

Value Line Index
The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 2222.30(Prev Close), the market ended July at 2394.80(Month Close), that being 78%(Pct Range) off of 2163.10(Month Low) to 2460.20(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed higher in July than June in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, the #VLE went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 2460.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 2567.46(Average Objective).

S & P 500 Stock Index
The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 1030.70(Prev Close), the market ended July at 1101.60(Month Close), that being 82%(Pct Range) off of 1010.90(Month Low) to 1120.95(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed higher in July than June in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, the #SP went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 1120.95(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 1171.18(Average Objective).

December S & P 500(CME)
The SPZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 1022.10(Prev Close), the market ended July at 1093.60(Month Close), that being 83%(Pct Range) off of 1001.60(Month Low) to 1111.80(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December S & P 500(CME) also closed higher in July than June in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, SPZ went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPZ should exceed 1111.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 1146.21(Average Objective).

December 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT)
The USZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 126~03(Prev Close), the market ended July at 127~10(Month Close), that being 87%(Pct Range) off of 123~27(Month Low) to 127~26(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT) also closed higher in July than June in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, USZ went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the USZ should exceed 127~26(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 132~27(Average Objective).

December 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
The TYZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 121~185(Prev Close), the market ended July at 122~295(Month Close), that being 98%(Pct Range) off of 120~170(Month Low) to 122~310(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed higher in July than June in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, TYZ went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYZ should exceed 122~310(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 126~225(Average Objective).

December Eurodollars(CME)
The EDZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 99.230(Prev Close), the market ended July at 99.555(Month Close), that being 94%(Pct Range) off of 99.215(Month Low) to 99.575(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Eurodollars(CME) also closed higher in July than June in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, EDZ went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDZ should exceed 99.575(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 100.095(Average Objective).

March Eurodollars(CME)
The EDH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 99.160(Prev Close), the market ended July at 99.490(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 99.130(Month Low) to 99.505(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Eurodollars(CME) also closed higher in July than June in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, EDH went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDH should exceed 99.505(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 100.221(Average Objective).

December Swiss Franc(CME)
The SFZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 93.16(Prev Close), the market ended July at 96.30(Month Close), that being 91%(Pct Range) off of 93.16(Month Low) to 96.61(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Swiss Franc(CME) also closed higher in July than June in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, SFZ went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFZ should exceed 96.61(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 101.50(Average Objective).

December Japanese Yen(CME)
The JYZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 113.36(Prev Close), the market ended July at 115.96(Month Close), that being 89%(Pct Range) off of 112.46(Month Low) to 116.41(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Japanese Yen(CME) also closed higher in July than June in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, JYZ went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYZ should exceed 116.41(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 121.64(Average Objective).

December Australian Dollar(CME)
The ADZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 82.86(Prev Close), the market ended July at 88.92(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 81.62(Month Low) to 89.24(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Australian Dollar(CME) also closed higher in July than June in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, ADZ went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADZ should exceed 89.24(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 91.80(Average Objective).

December US Dollar Index(ICE)
The DXZ0(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 86.615(Prev Close), the market ended July at 81.970(Month Close), that being 0%(Pct Range) off of 81.970(Month Low) to 85.750(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December US Dollar Index(ICE) also closed lower in July than June in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, DXZ went on to penetrate the July low within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXZ should penetrate 81.970(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 79.643(Average Objective).

November Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLX0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 77.05(Prev Close), the market ended July at 79.95(Month Close), that being 93%(Pct Range) off of 72.71(Month Low) to 80.53(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in July than June in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, CLX went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLX should exceed 80.53(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 88.32(Average Objective).

December Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 77.49(Prev Close), the market ended July at 80.51(Month Close), that being 93%(Pct Range) off of 73.15(Month Low) to 81.03(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in July than June in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, CLZ went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLZ should exceed 81.03(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 88.53(Average Objective).

November Gasoline(NYMEX)
The RBX0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 193.04(Prev Close), the market ended July at 201.07(Month Close), that being 95%(Pct Range) off of 183.24(Month Low) to 202.04(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed higher in July than June in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, RBX went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBX should exceed 202.04(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 224.01(Average Objective).

December Gasoline(NYMEX)
The RBZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 193.33(Prev Close), the market ended July at 201.32(Month Close), that being 95%(Pct Range) off of 182.69(Month Low) to 202.33(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed higher in July than June in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, RBZ went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBZ should exceed 202.33(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 221.69(Average Objective).

November Natural Gas(NYM)
The NGX0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 4.980(Prev Close), the market ended July at 5.072(Month Close), that being 76%(Pct Range) off of 4.641(Month Low) to 5.208(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Natural Gas(NYM) also closed higher in July than June in 9(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 9, NGX went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGX should exceed 5.208(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 6.105(Average Objective).

December Natural Gas(NYM)
The NGZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 5.252(Prev Close), the market ended July at 5.259(Month Close), that being 62%(Pct Range) off of 4.946(Month Low) to 5.447(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Natural Gas(NYM) also closed higher in July than June in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, NGZ went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGZ should exceed 5.447(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 6.258(Average Objective).

December Wheat(CBOT)
The WZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 506.50(Prev Close), the market ended July at 693.75(Month Close), that being 99%(Pct Range) off of 501.75(Month Low) to 695.00(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Wheat(CBOT) also closed higher in July than June in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, WZ went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WZ should exceed 695.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 791.39(Average Objective).

March Wheat(CBOT)
The WH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 533.50(Prev Close), the market ended July at 713.50(Month Close), that being 99%(Pct Range) off of 527.50(Month Low) to 714.75(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Wheat(CBOT) also closed higher in July than June in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, WH went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WH should exceed 714.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 813.46(Average Objective).

October Live Cattle(CME)
The LCV0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 91.250(Prev Close), the market ended July at 94.600(Month Close), that being 88%(Pct Range) off of 90.600(Month Low) to 95.150(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in July than June in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, LCV went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCV should exceed 95.150(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 99.381(Average Objective).

November Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCX0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 112.680(Prev Close), the market ended July at 114.730(Month Close), that being 79%(Pct Range) off of 111.800(Month Low) to 115.500(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in July than June in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, FCX went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCX should exceed 115.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 120.746(Average Objective).

October Lean Hogs(CME)
The LEV0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 75.600(Prev Close), the market ended July at 79.030(Month Close), that being 99%(Pct Range) off of 73.700(Month Low) to 79.100(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Lean Hogs(CME) also closed higher in July than June in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, LEV went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEV should exceed 79.100(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 85.344(Average Objective).

February Pork Bellies(CME)
The PBG1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 100.500(Prev Close), the market ended July at 101.200(Month Close), that being 84%(Pct Range) off of 99.600(Month Low) to 101.500(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Pork Bellies(CME) also closed higher in July than June in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, PBG went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBG should exceed 101.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 112.736(Average Objective).

December Coffee "C"(ICE)
The KCZ0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 166.05(Prev Close), the market ended July at 176.80(Month Close), that being 89%(Pct Range) off of 156.60(Month Low) to 179.35(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed higher in July than June in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, KCZ went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCZ should exceed 179.35(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 194.47(Average Objective).

March Coffee "C"(ICE)
The KCH1(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for July(Month). Compared to June's 165.70(Prev Close), the market ended July at 176.40(Month Close), that being 92%(Pct Range) off of 157.20(Month Low) to 178.00(Month High).

In comparing the June/July closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed higher in July than June in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, KCH went on to exceed the July high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCH should exceed 178.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of September. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 192.71(Average Objective).