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MRCI's ScenarioSM Summary

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ScenarioSM Summary Feb 28, 2010
Historical Data Scenario Data Current Market Data

Mkt

Cond

Month
Prev
Close
Month
High
Month
Low
Month
Close
Pct
Range
Total
Years
Cond
Years
Action
Years

Pct
Scenario
Objective
Average
Objective
Last
Price
#DJ Higher Feb 10067.00 10439.00 9835.00 10325.00 81% 45 22 21 95% 10439.00 11021.45 10325.00
#TRAN Higher Feb 3895.50 4143.80 3742.00 4134.60 98% 40 23 20 87% 4143.80 4429.31 4134.60
#OEX Higher Feb 495.10 510.10 481.80 506.05 86% 26 14 12 86% 510.10 533.15 506.05
#NDX Higher Feb 1741.00 1830.40 1712.90 1818.70 90% 24 11 10 91% 1830.40 1996.32 1818.70
#RUT Higher Feb 602.05 633.55 580.50 628.55 91% 31 16 14 88% 633.55 675.70 628.55
#MID Higher Feb 702.80 742.55 681.90 738.35 93% 29 18 17 94% 742.55 784.22 738.35
#VLE Higher Feb 2194.10 2312.60 2127.00 2296.00 91% 27 16 14 88% 2312.60 2427.91 2296.00
NDM0 Higher Feb 1736.50 1820.00 1729.30 1815.80 95% 13 3 3 100% 1820.00 1992.99 1815.80
TYM0 Higher Feb 116~210 119~030 115~145 117~155 56% 27 14 12 86% 119~030 121~118 117~155
EDU0 Higher Feb 99.355 99.495 99.280 99.485 95% 27 14 13 93% 99.495 99.855 99.485
SFM0 Lower Feb 94.35 95.02 91.85 93.14 41% 34 17 16 94% 91.85 88.49 93.14
CDM0 Higher Feb 93.49 96.42 92.75 95.06 63% 33 14 12 86% 96.42 98.61 95.06
ADM0 Higher Feb 87.25 89.65 84.73 88.70 81% 23 15 13 87% 89.65 93.25 88.70
DXM0 Higher Feb 79.960 81.700 79.250 80.755 61% 24 10 9 90% 81.700 84.004 80.755
HGK0 Higher Feb 306.70 338.80 282.90 328.40 81% 45 25 22 88% 338.80 381.82 328.40
HGN0 Higher Feb 307.55 339.70 285.25 329.85 82% 45 26 25 96% 339.70 379.58 329.85
CLM0 Higher Feb 74.53 81.51 70.75 80.37 89% 26 15 13 87% 81.51 91.46 80.37
CLN0 Higher Feb 75.08 81.86 71.65 80.71 89% 26 15 14 93% 81.86 90.74 80.71
HOM0 Higher Feb 193.69 211.77 185.42 206.41 80% 30 13 12 92% 211.77 236.93 206.41
HON0 Higher Feb 195.60 213.08 187.50 208.31 81% 30 13 12 92% 213.08 236.91 208.31
RBM0 Higher Feb 203.58 222.84 196.40 219.32 87% 24 11 11 100% 222.84 260.93 219.32
RBN0 Higher Feb 203.35 221.68 197.30 218.62 87% 24 11 11 100% 221.68 256.98 218.62
SK0 Higher Feb 924.75 985.00 911.00 961.00 68% 45 22 19 86% 985.00 1077.06 961.00
SN0 Higher Feb 932.75 990.25 920.00 969.00 70% 45 24 21 88% 990.25 1074.86 969.00
SX0 Higher Feb 911.25 945.75 899.50 941.00 90% 45 25 22 88% 945.75 1002.10 941.00
BOK0 Higher Feb 36.61 39.89 36.26 39.70 95% 45 28 24 86% 39.89 43.77 39.70
BON0 Higher Feb 37.03 40.32 36.70 40.13 95% 45 28 25 89% 40.32 44.22 40.13
SMK0 Higher Feb 268.50 283.60 259.90 270.00 43% 45 19 17 89% 283.60 313.41 270.00
SMN0 Higher Feb 267.50 281.40 259.80 269.60 45% 45 19 17 89% 281.40 308.80 269.60
LEM0 Higher Feb 76.725 81.500 74.250 81.400 99% 40 19 18 95% 81.500 88.168 81.400
LEN0 Higher Feb 75.650 80.500 73.300 80.475 100% 40 18 16 89% 80.500 87.384 80.475
PBK0 Higher Feb 84.000 91.300 82.250 91.300 100% 45 18 17 94% 91.300 103.268 91.300
PBN0 Higher Feb 87.000 92.350 85.450 92.250 99% 45 18 17 94% 92.350 103.853 92.250
JON0 Higher Feb 142.45 149.00 140.00 146.20 69% 42 17 15 88% 149.00 161.27 146.20
KCK0 Lower Feb 133.60 137.85 128.25 131.20 31% 36 19 16 84% 128.25 116.89 131.20
KCN0 Lower Feb 135.10 139.15 130.00 132.90 32% 36 19 16 84% 130.00 118.78 132.90
CCK0 Lower Feb 3229 3246 2903 2917 4% 45 25 21 84% 2903 2600 2917
CCN0 Lower Feb 3249 3264 2931 2941 3% 45 25 21 84% 2931 2624 2941
CTK0 Higher Feb 70.63 82.58 67.80 82.46 99% 45 24 22 92% 82.58 90.12 82.46
CTN0 Higher Feb 71.47 81.98 69.04 81.93 100% 45 24 21 88% 81.98 87.71 81.93


DJIA Index
The #DJ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 10067.00(Prev Close), the market ended February at 10325.00(Month Close), that being 81%(Pct Range) off of 9835.00(Month Low) to 10439.00(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed higher in February than January in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, the #DJ went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should exceed 10439.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 11021.45(Average Objective).

Dow Jones Transportation
The #TRAN(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 3895.50(Prev Close), the market ended February at 4134.60(Month Close), that being 98%(Pct Range) off of 3742.00(Month Low) to 4143.80(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Transportation also closed higher in February than January in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, the #TRAN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #TRAN should exceed 4143.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 4429.31(Average Objective).

S & P 100(OEX)
The #OEX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 495.10(Prev Close), the market ended February at 506.05(Month Close), that being 86%(Pct Range) off of 481.80(Month Low) to 510.10(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 100(OEX) also closed higher in February than January in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, the #OEX went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #OEX should exceed 510.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 533.15(Average Objective).

NASDAQ 100 Index
The #NDX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 1741.00(Prev Close), the market ended February at 1818.70(Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 1712.90(Month Low) to 1830.40(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed higher in February than January in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, the #NDX went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NDX should exceed 1830.40(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 1996.32(Average Objective).

Russell 2000 Index
The #RUT(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 602.05(Prev Close), the market ended February at 628.55(Month Close), that being 91%(Pct Range) off of 580.50(Month Low) to 633.55(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Russell 2000 Index also closed higher in February than January in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, the #RUT went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #RUT should exceed 633.55(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 675.70(Average Objective).

S & P Midcap 400 Index
The #MID(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 702.80(Prev Close), the market ended February at 738.35(Month Close), that being 93%(Pct Range) off of 681.90(Month Low) to 742.55(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P Midcap 400 Index also closed higher in February than January in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, the #MID went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MID should exceed 742.55(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 784.22(Average Objective).

Value Line Index
The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 2194.10(Prev Close), the market ended February at 2296.00(Month Close), that being 91%(Pct Range) off of 2127.00(Month Low) to 2312.60(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed higher in February than January in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, the #VLE went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 2312.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 2427.91(Average Objective).

June NASDAQ 100(CME)
The NDM0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 1736.50(Prev Close), the market ended February at 1815.80(Month Close), that being 95%(Pct Range) off of 1729.30(Month Low) to 1820.00(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 13 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June NASDAQ 100(CME) also closed higher in February than January in 3(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 3, NDM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 3 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NDM should exceed 1820.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 3 years) a potential move toward 1992.99(Average Objective).

June 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
The TYM0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 116~210(Prev Close), the market ended February at 117~155(Month Close), that being 56%(Pct Range) off of 115~145(Month Low) to 119~030(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed higher in February than January in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, TYM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYM should exceed 119~030(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 121~118(Average Objective).

September Eurodollars(CME)
The EDU0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 99.355(Prev Close), the market ended February at 99.485(Month Close), that being 95%(Pct Range) off of 99.280(Month Low) to 99.495(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Eurodollars(CME) also closed higher in February than January in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, EDU went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDU should exceed 99.495(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 99.855(Average Objective).

June Swiss Franc(CME)
The SFM0(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 94.35(Prev Close), the market ended February at 93.14(Month Close), that being 41%(Pct Range) off of 91.85(Month Low) to 95.02(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Swiss Franc(CME) also closed lower in February than January in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, SFM went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFM should penetrate 91.85(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 88.49(Average Objective).

June Canadian Dollar(CME)
The CDM0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 93.49(Prev Close), the market ended February at 95.06(Month Close), that being 63%(Pct Range) off of 92.75(Month Low) to 96.42(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Canadian Dollar(CME) also closed higher in February than January in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, CDM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CDM should exceed 96.42(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 98.61(Average Objective).

June Australian Dollar(CME)
The ADM0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 87.25(Prev Close), the market ended February at 88.70(Month Close), that being 81%(Pct Range) off of 84.73(Month Low) to 89.65(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Australian Dollar(CME) also closed higher in February than January in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, ADM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADM should exceed 89.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 93.25(Average Objective).

June US Dollar Index(ICE)
The DXM0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 79.960(Prev Close), the market ended February at 80.755(Month Close), that being 61%(Pct Range) off of 79.250(Month Low) to 81.700(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June US Dollar Index(ICE) also closed higher in February than January in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, DXM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXM should exceed 81.700(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 84.004(Average Objective).

May Copper(CMX)
The HGK0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 306.70(Prev Close), the market ended February at 328.40(Month Close), that being 81%(Pct Range) off of 282.90(Month Low) to 338.80(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Copper(CMX) also closed higher in February than January in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, HGK went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HGK should exceed 338.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 381.82(Average Objective).

July Copper(CMX)
The HGN0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 307.55(Prev Close), the market ended February at 329.85(Month Close), that being 82%(Pct Range) off of 285.25(Month Low) to 339.70(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Copper(CMX) also closed higher in February than January in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, HGN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HGN should exceed 339.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 379.58(Average Objective).

June Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLM0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 74.53(Prev Close), the market ended February at 80.37(Month Close), that being 89%(Pct Range) off of 70.75(Month Low) to 81.51(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in February than January in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, CLM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLM should exceed 81.51(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 91.46(Average Objective).

July Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLN0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 75.08(Prev Close), the market ended February at 80.71(Month Close), that being 89%(Pct Range) off of 71.65(Month Low) to 81.86(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in February than January in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, CLN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLN should exceed 81.86(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 90.74(Average Objective).

June Heating Oil(NYM)
The HOM0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 193.69(Prev Close), the market ended February at 206.41(Month Close), that being 80%(Pct Range) off of 185.42(Month Low) to 211.77(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Heating Oil(NYM) also closed higher in February than January in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, HOM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOM should exceed 211.77(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 236.93(Average Objective).

July Heating Oil(NYM)
The HON0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 195.60(Prev Close), the market ended February at 208.31(Month Close), that being 81%(Pct Range) off of 187.50(Month Low) to 213.08(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Heating Oil(NYM) also closed higher in February than January in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, HON went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HON should exceed 213.08(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 236.91(Average Objective).

June Gasoline(NYMEX)
The RBM0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 203.58(Prev Close), the market ended February at 219.32(Month Close), that being 87%(Pct Range) off of 196.40(Month Low) to 222.84(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed higher in February than January in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, RBM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBM should exceed 222.84(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 260.93(Average Objective).

July Gasoline(NYMEX)
The RBN0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 203.35(Prev Close), the market ended February at 218.62(Month Close), that being 87%(Pct Range) off of 197.30(Month Low) to 221.68(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Gasoline(NYMEX) also closed higher in February than January in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, RBN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RBN should exceed 221.68(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 256.98(Average Objective).

May Soybeans(CBOT)
The SK0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 924.75(Prev Close), the market ended February at 961.00(Month Close), that being 68%(Pct Range) off of 911.00(Month Low) to 985.00(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybeans(CBOT) also closed higher in February than January in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, SK went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SK should exceed 985.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 1077.06(Average Objective).

July Soybeans(CBOT)
The SN0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 932.75(Prev Close), the market ended February at 969.00(Month Close), that being 70%(Pct Range) off of 920.00(Month Low) to 990.25(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Soybeans(CBOT) also closed higher in February than January in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, SN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SN should exceed 990.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 1074.86(Average Objective).

November Soybeans(CBOT)
The SX0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 911.25(Prev Close), the market ended February at 941.00(Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 899.50(Month Low) to 945.75(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Soybeans(CBOT) also closed higher in February than January in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, SX went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SX should exceed 945.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 1002.10(Average Objective).

May Soybean Oil(CBOT)
The BOK0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 36.61(Prev Close), the market ended February at 39.70(Month Close), that being 95%(Pct Range) off of 36.26(Month Low) to 39.89(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed higher in February than January in 28(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 28, BOK went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOK should exceed 39.89(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 43.77(Average Objective).

July Soybean Oil(CBOT)
The BON0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 37.03(Prev Close), the market ended February at 40.13(Month Close), that being 95%(Pct Range) off of 36.70(Month Low) to 40.32(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed higher in February than January in 28(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 28, BON went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BON should exceed 40.32(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 44.22(Average Objective).

May Soybean Meal(CBOT)
The SMK0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 268.50(Prev Close), the market ended February at 270.00(Month Close), that being 43%(Pct Range) off of 259.90(Month Low) to 283.60(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed higher in February than January in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, SMK went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMK should exceed 283.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 313.41(Average Objective).

July Soybean Meal(CBOT)
The SMN0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 267.50(Prev Close), the market ended February at 269.60(Month Close), that being 45%(Pct Range) off of 259.80(Month Low) to 281.40(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed higher in February than January in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, SMN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMN should exceed 281.40(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 308.80(Average Objective).

June Lean Hogs(CME)
The LEM0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 76.725(Prev Close), the market ended February at 81.400(Month Close), that being 99%(Pct Range) off of 74.250(Month Low) to 81.500(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Lean Hogs(CME) also closed higher in February than January in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, LEM went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEM should exceed 81.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 88.168(Average Objective).

July Lean Hogs(CME)
The LEN0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 75.650(Prev Close), the market ended February at 80.475(Month Close), that being 100%(Pct Range) off of 73.300(Month Low) to 80.500(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Lean Hogs(CME) also closed higher in February than January in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, LEN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEN should exceed 80.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 87.384(Average Objective).

May Pork Bellies(CME)
The PBK0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 84.000(Prev Close), the market ended February at 91.300(Month Close), that being 100%(Pct Range) off of 82.250(Month Low) to 91.300(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Pork Bellies(CME) also closed higher in February than January in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, PBK went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBK should exceed 91.300(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 103.268(Average Objective).

July Pork Bellies(CME)
The PBN0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 87.000(Prev Close), the market ended February at 92.250(Month Close), that being 99%(Pct Range) off of 85.450(Month Low) to 92.350(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Pork Bellies(CME) also closed higher in February than January in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, PBN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBN should exceed 92.350(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 103.853(Average Objective).

July Orange Juice(ICE)
The JON0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 142.45(Prev Close), the market ended February at 146.20(Month Close), that being 69%(Pct Range) off of 140.00(Month Low) to 149.00(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Orange Juice(ICE) also closed higher in February than January in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, JON went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JON should exceed 149.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 161.27(Average Objective).

May Coffee "C"(ICE)
The KCK0(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 133.60(Prev Close), the market ended February at 131.20(Month Close), that being 31%(Pct Range) off of 128.25(Month Low) to 137.85(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed lower in February than January in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, KCK went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCK should penetrate 128.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 116.89(Average Objective).

July Coffee "C"(ICE)
The KCN0(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 135.10(Prev Close), the market ended February at 132.90(Month Close), that being 32%(Pct Range) off of 130.00(Month Low) to 139.15(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Coffee "C"(ICE) also closed lower in February than January in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, KCN went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCN should penetrate 130.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 118.78(Average Objective).

May Cocoa(ICE)
The CCK0(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 3229(Prev Close), the market ended February at 2917(Month Close), that being 4%(Pct Range) off of 2903(Month Low) to 3246(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Cocoa(ICE) also closed lower in February than January in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, CCK went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CCK should penetrate 2903(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 2600(Average Objective).

July Cocoa(ICE)
The CCN0(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 3249(Prev Close), the market ended February at 2941(Month Close), that being 3%(Pct Range) off of 2931(Month Low) to 3264(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Cocoa(ICE) also closed lower in February than January in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, CCN went on to penetrate the February low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CCN should penetrate 2931(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 2624(Average Objective).

May Cotton(ICE)
The CTK0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 70.63(Prev Close), the market ended February at 82.46(Month Close), that being 99%(Pct Range) off of 67.80(Month Low) to 82.58(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Cotton(ICE) also closed higher in February than January in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, CTK went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTK should exceed 82.58(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 90.12(Average Objective).

July Cotton(ICE)
The CTN0(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for February(Month). Compared to January's 71.47(Prev Close), the market ended February at 81.93(Month Close), that being 100%(Pct Range) off of 69.04(Month Low) to 81.98(Month High).

In comparing the January/February closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Cotton(ICE) also closed higher in February than January in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, CTN went on to exceed the February high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTN should exceed 81.98(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of April. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 87.71(Average Objective).