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MRCI's ScenarioSM Summary

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ScenarioSM Summary Sep 30, 2007
Historical Data Scenario Data Current Market Data

Mkt

Cond

Month
Prev
Close
Month
High
Month
Low
Month
Close
Pct
Range
Total
Years
Cond
Years
Action
Years

Pct
Scenario
Objective
Average
Objective
Last
Price
#UTIL Higher Sep 484.79 514.25 482.45 501.54 60% 37 19 17 89% 514.25 541.59 501.54
#OEX Higher Sep 687.45 717.40 678.65 714.50 93% 24 8 8 100% 717.40 755.32 714.50
#NDX Higher Sep 1988.70 2102.00 1943.30 2091.10 93% 21 13 13 100% 2102.00 2281.86 2091.10
#COMPX Higher Sep 2596.40 2709.60 2559.10 2709.60 100% 12 7 7 100% Yes 2914.90 2709.60
#RUT Higher Sep 792.85 822.85 759.40 805.45 73% 28 14 12 86% 822.85 873.16 805.45
#MID Higher Sep 863.00 895.15 838.80 885.05 82% 26 13 11 85% 895.15 948.23 885.05
#VLE Higher Sep 2326.80 2402.90 2260.30 2365.40 74% 24 11 10 91% 2402.90 2517.07 2365.40
#SSNI Higher Sep 16569 16929 15611 16786 89% 25 8 8 100% 16929 17753 16786
#SP Higher Sep 1474.00 1538.75 1439.30 1526.75 88% 45 19 17 89% 1538.75 1628.24 1526.75
SPZ7 Higher Sep 1489.50 1552.00 1455.20 1538.10 86% 25 10 10 100% 1552.00 1627.59 1538.10
NDZ7 Higher Sep 2018.30 2124.00 1980.00 2114.00 93% 11 7 7 100% 2124.00 2357.96 2114.00
TYZ7 Higher Sep 109~015 110~310 108~125 109~090 35% 25 20 19 95% 110~310 113~192 109~090
EDZ7 Higher Sep 95.065 95.360 95.010 95.155 41% 25 17 15 88% 95.360 95.791 95.155
EDH8 Higher Sep 95.360 95.720 95.340 95.480 37% 25 18 17 94% 95.720 96.211 95.480
JYZ7 Higher Sep 87.50 89.45 86.88 87.97 42% 30 15 13 87% 89.45 94.20 87.97
ADZ7 Higher Sep 81.32 88.60 81.92 88.57 100% 20 10 9 90% 88.60 91.66 88.57
DXZ7 Lower Sep 80.740 80.880 77.580 77.625 1% 21 13 12 92% 77.580 74.749 77.625
PAZ7 Higher Sep 337.75 353.00 328.00 351.95 96% 30 14 12 86% 353.00 392.42 351.95
BOF8 Higher Sep 37.42 40.84 38.02 40.41 85% 45 21 18 86% 40.84 45.28 40.41
BOH8 Higher Sep 37.67 41.15 38.25 40.76 87% 45 21 18 86% 41.15 45.40 40.76
KWZ7 Higher Sep 731.25 949.50 758.00 929.25 89% 31 19 17 89% 949.50 1011.94 929.25
KWH8 Higher Sep 733.50 936.25 758.00 930.75 97% 31 19 17 89% 936.25 997.45 930.75
MWH8 Higher Sep 725.00 918.25 740.00 910.75 96% 26 12 11 92% 918.25 968.60 910.75
OH8 Higher Sep 265.75 299.00 269.00 299.00 100% 33 17 15 88% 299.00 331.52 299.00
RRF8 Higher Sep 11.40 12.09 11.40 12.09 100% 21 10 9 90% 12.09 13.08 12.09
RRH8 Higher Sep 11.65 12.31 11.69 12.30 98% 21 10 9 90% 12.31 13.30 12.30
LCZ7 Lower Sep 100.030 101.450 98.150 99.800 50% 42 17 15 88% 98.150 93.502 99.800
LCG8 Higher Sep 100.385 102.100 99.800 101.500 74% 42 24 23 96% 102.100 106.332 101.500
LCJ8 Higher Sep 100.450 101.530 99.600 101.250 85% 40 20 20 100% 101.530 104.885 101.250
FCF8 Lower Sep 115.430 117.500 113.450 115.325 46% 30 11 11 100% 113.450 108.945 115.325
LEZ7 Lower Sep 68.835 69.700 61.650 62.250 7% 38 14 13 93% 61.650 56.546 62.250
LEG8 Lower Sep 70.050 72.700 66.835 67.900 18% 38 13 11 85% 66.835 62.436 67.900
LEJ8 Lower Sep 70.800 73.300 68.900 69.625 16% 37 15 13 87% 68.900 65.163 69.625
PBG8 Lower Sep 90.400 91.750 84.850 89.675 70% 42 17 15 88% 84.850 77.154 89.675
SBH8 Higher Sep 9.78 10.31 9.46 10.15 81% 45 21 19 90% 10.31 12.00 10.15
SBK8 Higher Sep 9.80 10.30 9.56 10.19 85% 45 24 22 92% 10.30 11.91 10.19


Dow Jones Utilities
The #UTIL(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 484.79(Prev Close), the market ended September at 501.54(Month Close), that being 60%(Pct Range) off of 482.45(Month Low) to 514.25(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Utilities also closed higher in September than August in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, the #UTIL went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #UTIL should exceed 514.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 541.59(Average Objective).

S & P 100(OEX)
The #OEX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 687.45(Prev Close), the market ended September at 714.50(Month Close), that being 93%(Pct Range) off of 678.65(Month Low) to 717.40(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 100(OEX) also closed higher in September than August in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, the #OEX went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #OEX should exceed 717.40(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move toward 755.32(Average Objective).

NASDAQ 100 Index
The #NDX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 1988.70(Prev Close), the market ended September at 2091.10(Month Close), that being 93%(Pct Range) off of 1943.30(Month Low) to 2102.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, the #NDX went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NDX should exceed 2102.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 2281.86(Average Objective).

NASDAQ Composite Index
The #COMPX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 2596.40(Prev Close), the market ended September at 2709.60(Month Close), that being 100%(Pct Range) off of 2559.10(Month Low) to 2709.60(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 12 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ Composite Index also closed higher in September than August in 7(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 7, the #COMPX went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #COMPX should exceed 2709.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move toward 2914.90(Average Objective).

Russell 2000 Index
The #RUT(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 792.85(Prev Close), the market ended September at 805.45(Month Close), that being 73%(Pct Range) off of 759.40(Month Low) to 822.85(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Russell 2000 Index also closed higher in September than August in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, the #RUT went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #RUT should exceed 822.85(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 873.16(Average Objective).

S & P Midcap 400 Index
The #MID(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 863.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at 885.05(Month Close), that being 82%(Pct Range) off of 838.80(Month Low) to 895.15(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P Midcap 400 Index also closed higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, the #MID went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MID should exceed 895.15(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 948.23(Average Objective).

Value Line Index
The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 2326.80(Prev Close), the market ended September at 2365.40(Month Close), that being 74%(Pct Range) off of 2260.30(Month Low) to 2402.90(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed higher in September than August in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, the #VLE went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 2402.90(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 2517.07(Average Objective).

Nikkei 225 Index
The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 16569(Prev Close), the market ended September at 16786(Month Close), that being 89%(Pct Range) off of 15611(Month Low) to 16929(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed higher in September than August in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, the #SSNI went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should exceed 16929(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move toward 17753(Average Objective).

S & P 500 Stock Index
The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 1474.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at 1526.75(Month Close), that being 88%(Pct Range) off of 1439.30(Month Low) to 1538.75(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed higher in September than August in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, the #SP went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 1538.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 1628.24(Average Objective).

December S & P 500(CME)
The SPZ7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 1489.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at 1538.10(Month Close), that being 86%(Pct Range) off of 1455.20(Month Low) to 1552.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December S & P 500(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, SPZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPZ should exceed 1552.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 1627.59(Average Objective).

December NASDAQ 100(CME)
The NDZ7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 2018.30(Prev Close), the market ended September at 2114.00(Month Close), that being 93%(Pct Range) off of 1980.00(Month Low) to 2124.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 11 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December NASDAQ 100(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 7(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 7, NDZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NDZ should exceed 2124.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move toward 2357.96(Average Objective).

December 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
The TYZ7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 109~015(Prev Close), the market ended September at 109~090(Month Close), that being 35%(Pct Range) off of 108~125(Month Low) to 110~310(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, TYZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYZ should exceed 110~310(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 113~192(Average Objective).

December Eurodollars(CME)
The EDZ7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 95.065(Prev Close), the market ended September at 95.155(Month Close), that being 41%(Pct Range) off of 95.010(Month Low) to 95.360(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Eurodollars(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, EDZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDZ should exceed 95.360(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 95.791(Average Objective).

March Eurodollars(CME)
The EDH8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 95.360(Prev Close), the market ended September at 95.480(Month Close), that being 37%(Pct Range) off of 95.340(Month Low) to 95.720(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Eurodollars(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, EDH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDH should exceed 95.720(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 96.211(Average Objective).

December Japanese Yen(CME)
The JYZ7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 87.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at 87.97(Month Close), that being 42%(Pct Range) off of 86.88(Month Low) to 89.45(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Japanese Yen(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, JYZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYZ should exceed 89.45(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 94.20(Average Objective).

December Australian Dollar(CME)
The ADZ7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 81.32(Prev Close), the market ended September at 88.57(Month Close), that being 100%(Pct Range) off of 81.92(Month Low) to 88.60(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Australian Dollar(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, ADZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADZ should exceed 88.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 91.66(Average Objective).

December US Dollar Index(ICE)
The DXZ7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 80.740(Prev Close), the market ended September at 77.625(Month Close), that being 1%(Pct Range) off of 77.580(Month Low) to 80.880(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December US Dollar Index(ICE) also closed lower in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, DXZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXZ should penetrate 77.580(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 74.749(Average Objective).

December Palladium(NYMEX)
The PAZ7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 337.75(Prev Close), the market ended September at 351.95(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 328.00(Month Low) to 353.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Palladium(NYMEX) also closed higher in September than August in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, PAZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PAZ should exceed 353.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 392.42(Average Objective).

January Soybean Oil(CBOT)
The BOF8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 37.42(Prev Close), the market ended September at 40.41(Month Close), that being 85%(Pct Range) off of 38.02(Month Low) to 40.84(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, BOF went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOF should exceed 40.84(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 45.28(Average Objective).

March Soybean Oil(CBOT)
The BOH8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 37.67(Prev Close), the market ended September at 40.76(Month Close), that being 87%(Pct Range) off of 38.25(Month Low) to 41.15(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, BOH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOH should exceed 41.15(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 45.40(Average Objective).

December Wheat(KCBT)
The KWZ7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 731.25(Prev Close), the market ended September at 929.25(Month Close), that being 89%(Pct Range) off of 758.00(Month Low) to 949.50(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Wheat(KCBT) also closed higher in September than August in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, KWZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWZ should exceed 949.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 1011.94(Average Objective).

March Wheat(KCBT)
The KWH8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 733.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at 930.75(Month Close), that being 97%(Pct Range) off of 758.00(Month Low) to 936.25(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Wheat(KCBT) also closed higher in September than August in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, KWH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWH should exceed 936.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 997.45(Average Objective).

March Wheat(MGE)
The MWH8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 725.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at 910.75(Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 740.00(Month Low) to 918.25(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Wheat(MGE) also closed higher in September than August in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, MWH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the MWH should exceed 918.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 968.60(Average Objective).

March Oats(CBOT)
The OH8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 265.75(Prev Close), the market ended September at 299.00(Month Close), that being 100%(Pct Range) off of 269.00(Month Low) to 299.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Oats(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, OH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the OH should exceed 299.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 331.52(Average Objective).

January Rough Rice(CBOT)
The RRF8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 11.40(Prev Close), the market ended September at 12.09(Month Close), that being 100%(Pct Range) off of 11.40(Month Low) to 12.09(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, RRF went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRF should exceed 12.09(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 13.08(Average Objective).

March Rough Rice(CBOT)
The RRH8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 11.65(Prev Close), the market ended September at 12.30(Month Close), that being 98%(Pct Range) off of 11.69(Month Low) to 12.31(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, RRH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRH should exceed 12.31(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 13.30(Average Objective).

December Live Cattle(CME)
The LCZ7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 100.030(Prev Close), the market ended September at 99.800(Month Close), that being 50%(Pct Range) off of 98.150(Month Low) to 101.450(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Live Cattle(CME) also closed lower in September than August in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, LCZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCZ should penetrate 98.150(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 93.502(Average Objective).

February Live Cattle(CME)
The LCG8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 100.385(Prev Close), the market ended September at 101.500(Month Close), that being 74%(Pct Range) off of 99.800(Month Low) to 102.100(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, LCG went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCG should exceed 102.100(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 106.332(Average Objective).

April Live Cattle(CME)
The LCJ8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 100.450(Prev Close), the market ended September at 101.250(Month Close), that being 85%(Pct Range) off of 99.600(Month Low) to 101.530(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, LCJ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCJ should exceed 101.530(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 104.885(Average Objective).

January Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCF8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 115.430(Prev Close), the market ended September at 115.325(Month Close), that being 46%(Pct Range) off of 113.450(Month Low) to 117.500(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed lower in September than August in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, FCF went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCF should penetrate 113.450(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 108.945(Average Objective).

December Lean Hogs(CME)
The LEZ7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 68.835(Prev Close), the market ended September at 62.250(Month Close), that being 7%(Pct Range) off of 61.650(Month Low) to 69.700(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Lean Hogs(CME) also closed lower in September than August in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, LEZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEZ should penetrate 61.650(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 56.546(Average Objective).

February Lean Hogs(CME)
The LEG8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 70.050(Prev Close), the market ended September at 67.900(Month Close), that being 18%(Pct Range) off of 66.835(Month Low) to 72.700(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Lean Hogs(CME) also closed lower in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, LEG went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEG should penetrate 66.835(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 62.436(Average Objective).

April Lean Hogs(CME)
The LEJ8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 70.800(Prev Close), the market ended September at 69.625(Month Close), that being 16%(Pct Range) off of 68.900(Month Low) to 73.300(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Lean Hogs(CME) also closed lower in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, LEJ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEJ should penetrate 68.900(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 65.163(Average Objective).

February Pork Bellies(CME)
The PBG8(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 90.400(Prev Close), the market ended September at 89.675(Month Close), that being 70%(Pct Range) off of 84.850(Month Low) to 91.750(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Pork Bellies(CME) also closed lower in September than August in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, PBG went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBG should penetrate 84.850(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 77.154(Average Objective).

March Sugar #11(ICE)
The SBH8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 9.78(Prev Close), the market ended September at 10.15(Month Close), that being 81%(Pct Range) off of 9.46(Month Low) to 10.31(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Sugar #11(ICE) also closed higher in September than August in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, SBH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBH should exceed 10.31(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 12.00(Average Objective).

May Sugar #11(ICE)
The SBK8(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 9.80(Prev Close), the market ended September at 10.19(Month Close), that being 85%(Pct Range) off of 9.56(Month Low) to 10.30(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Sugar #11(ICE) also closed higher in September than August in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, SBK went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBK should exceed 10.30(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 11.91(Average Objective).