- Dow Jones Utilities
- The #UTIL(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 406.17(Prev Close), the market ended June at 413.95(Month Close),
that being 83%(Pct Range) off of
400.41(Month Low) to 416.65(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Utilities also closed
higher in June than May in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, the #UTIL went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #UTIL should exceed 416.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 434.12(Average Objective).
- Nikkei 225 Index
- The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 15467(Prev Close), the market ended June at 15505(Month Close),
that being 84%(Pct Range) off of
14046(Month Low) to 15789(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed
higher in June than May in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, the #SSNI went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should exceed 15789(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 16412(Average Objective).
- September Swiss Franc(CME)
- The SFU6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 83.00(Prev Close), the market ended June at 82.41(Month Close),
that being 53%(Pct Range) off of
80.56(Month Low) to 84.08(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Swiss Franc(CME) also closed
lower in June than May in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, SFU went on to penetrate the June low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFU should penetrate 80.56(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 77.28(Average Objective).
- September Japanese Yen(CME)
- The JYU6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 90.11(Prev Close), the market ended June at 88.32(Month Close),
that being 35%(Pct Range) off of
86.77(Month Low) to 91.15(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Japanese Yen(CME) also closed
lower in June than May in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, JYU went on to penetrate the June low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYU should penetrate 86.77(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 83.59(Average Objective).
- September British Pound(CME)
- The BPU6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 187.27(Prev Close), the market ended June at 185.08(Month Close),
that being 50%(Pct Range) off of
181.35(Month Low) to 188.79(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September British Pound(CME) also closed
lower in June than May in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, BPU went on to penetrate the June low within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BPU should penetrate 181.35(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 176.06(Average Objective).
- September US Dollar Index(NYBOT)
- The DXU6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 84.31(Prev Close), the market ended June at 84.90(Month Close),
that being 47%(Pct Range) off of
83.35(Month Low) to 86.68(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September US Dollar Index(NYBOT) also closed
higher in June than May in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, DXU went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXU should exceed 86.68(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 88.86(Average Objective).
- October Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLV6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 73.37(Prev Close), the market ended June at 75.40(Month Close),
that being 95%(Pct Range) off of
70.10(Month Low) to 75.70(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in June than May in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, CLV went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLV should exceed 75.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 83.55(Average Objective).
- November Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLX6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 73.74(Prev Close), the market ended June at 75.81(Month Close),
that being 96%(Pct Range) off of
70.70(Month Low) to 76.00(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in June than May in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, CLX went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLX should exceed 76.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 83.66(Average Objective).
- December Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLZ6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 74.02(Prev Close), the market ended June at 76.12(Month Close),
that being 93%(Pct Range) off of
70.90(Month Low) to 76.50(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in June than May in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, CLZ went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLZ should exceed 76.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 83.89(Average Objective).
- October Heating Oil(NYM)
- The HOV6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 208.63(Prev Close), the market ended June at 213.26(Month Close),
that being 76%(Pct Range) off of
202.24(Month Low) to 216.75(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Heating Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in June than May in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, HOV went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOV should exceed 216.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 243.02(Average Objective).
- November Heating Oil(NYM)
- The HOX6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 212.43(Prev Close), the market ended June at 216.86(Month Close),
that being 82%(Pct Range) off of
205.89(Month Low) to 219.25(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Heating Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in June than May in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, HOX went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOX should exceed 219.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 244.74(Average Objective).
- December Heating Oil(NYM)
- The HOZ6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 216.38(Prev Close), the market ended June at 220.16(Month Close),
that being 83%(Pct Range) off of
209.00(Month Low) to 222.50(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Heating Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in June than May in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, HOZ went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOZ should exceed 222.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 247.58(Average Objective).
- October Unleaded Gas(NYM)
- The HUV6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 193.67(Prev Close), the market ended June at 205.30(Month Close),
that being 96%(Pct Range) off of
186.50(Month Low) to 206.00(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in June than May in 9(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 9, HUV went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUV should exceed 206.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move
toward 228.17(Average Objective).
- November Unleaded Gas(NYM)
- The HUX6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 189.37(Prev Close), the market ended June at 198.80(Month Close),
that being 100%(Pct Range) off of
182.13(Month Low) to 198.80(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in June than May in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, HUX went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUX should exceed 198.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move
toward 219.53(Average Objective).
- December Unleaded Gas(NYM)
- The HUZ6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 187.17(Prev Close), the market ended June at 194.25(Month Close),
that being 100%(Pct Range) off of
179.13(Month Low) to 194.25(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in June than May in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, HUZ went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUZ should exceed 194.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move
toward 213.12(Average Objective).
- November Soybeans(CBOT)
- The SX6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 604.25(Prev Close), the market ended June at 622.50(Month Close),
that being 72%(Pct Range) off of
591.00(Month Low) to 635.00(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Soybeans(CBOT) also closed
higher in June than May in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, SX went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SX should exceed 635.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 714.53(Average Objective).
- January Soybeans(CBOT)
- The SF7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 614.75(Prev Close), the market ended June at 630.50(Month Close),
that being 68%(Pct Range) off of
601.50(Month Low) to 644.00(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Soybeans(CBOT) also closed
higher in June than May in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, SF went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SF should exceed 644.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 722.04(Average Objective).
- October Soybean Meal(CBOT)
- The SMV6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 175.10(Prev Close), the market ended June at 179.70(Month Close),
that being 40%(Pct Range) off of
173.80(Month Low) to 188.50(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed
higher in June than May in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, SMV went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMV should exceed 188.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 204.43(Average Objective).
- December Corn(CBOT)
- The CZ6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 277.00(Prev Close), the market ended June at 260.25(Month Close),
that being 33%(Pct Range) off of
247.75(Month Low) to 285.75(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Corn(CBOT) also closed
lower in June than May in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, CZ went on to penetrate the June low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CZ should penetrate 247.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 221.49(Average Objective).
- March Corn(CBOT)
- The CH7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 287.75(Prev Close), the market ended June at 272.00(Month Close),
that being 34%(Pct Range) off of
260.00(Month Low) to 295.25(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Corn(CBOT) also closed
lower in June than May in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, CH went on to penetrate the June low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CH should penetrate 260.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 233.73(Average Objective).
- August Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCQ6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 80.075(Prev Close), the market ended June at 85.675(Month Close),
that being 76%(Pct Range) off of
78.225(Month Low) to 88.000(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in June than May in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, LCQ went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCQ should exceed 88.000(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 93.480(Average Objective).
- October Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCV6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 84.175(Prev Close), the market ended June at 89.675(Month Close),
that being 84%(Pct Range) off of
82.100(Month Low) to 91.100(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in June than May in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, LCV went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCV should exceed 91.100(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 96.901(Average Objective).
- December Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCZ6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 86.000(Prev Close), the market ended June at 89.900(Month Close),
that being 80%(Pct Range) off of
84.200(Month Low) to 91.325(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in June than May in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, LCZ went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCZ should exceed 91.325(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 96.546(Average Objective).
- August Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCQ6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 109.125(Prev Close), the market ended June at 115.200(Month Close),
that being 73%(Pct Range) off of
107.900(Month Low) to 117.925(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in June than May in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, FCQ went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCQ should exceed 117.925(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 125.063(Average Objective).
- September Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCU6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 108.475(Prev Close), the market ended June at 114.875(Month Close),
that being 74%(Pct Range) off of
107.250(Month Low) to 117.500(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in June than May in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, FCU went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCU should exceed 117.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 124.267(Average Objective).
- November Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCX6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 106.900(Prev Close), the market ended June at 111.500(Month Close),
that being 63%(Pct Range) off of
105.500(Month Low) to 115.000(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in June than May in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, FCX went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCX should exceed 115.000(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 121.157(Average Objective).
- February Pork Bellies(CME)
- The PBG7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 83.000(Prev Close), the market ended June at 86.300(Month Close),
that being 62%(Pct Range) off of
83.500(Month Low) to 88.000(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Pork Bellies(CME) also closed
higher in June than May in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, PBG went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBG should exceed 88.000(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 99.649(Average Objective).
- March Pork Bellies(CME)
- The PBH7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 83.250(Prev Close), the market ended June at 88.500(Month Close),
that being 100%(Pct Range) off of
83.300(Month Low) to 88.500(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Pork Bellies(CME) also closed
higher in June than May in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, PBH went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBH should exceed 88.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 99.899(Average Objective).
- September Coffee "C"(NYBOT)
- The KCU6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 101.90(Prev Close), the market ended June at 101.10(Month Close),
that being 52%(Pct Range) off of
95.85(Month Low) to 105.90(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Coffee "C"(NYBOT) also closed
lower in June than May in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, KCU went on to penetrate the June low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCU should penetrate 95.85(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 82.86(Average Objective).
- December Coffee "C"(NYBOT)
- The KCZ6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 105.75(Prev Close), the market ended June at 104.75(Month Close),
that being 51%(Pct Range) off of
99.75(Month Low) to 109.60(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Coffee "C"(NYBOT) also closed
lower in June than May in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, KCZ went on to penetrate the June low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCZ should penetrate 99.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 87.33(Average Objective).
- March Sugar #11(NYBOT)
- The SBH7(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 15.95(Prev Close), the market ended June at 16.68(Month Close),
that being 99%(Pct Range) off of
15.27(Month Low) to 16.70(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Sugar #11(NYBOT) also closed
higher in June than May in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, SBH went on to exceed the June high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBH should exceed 16.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 18.60(Average Objective).
- September Lumber(CME)
- The LBU6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 324.0(Prev Close), the market ended June at 304.0(Month Close),
that being 29%(Pct Range) off of
295.0(Month Low) to 326.0(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Lumber(CME) also closed
lower in June than May in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, LBU went on to penetrate the June low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBU should penetrate 295.0(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 261.3(Average Objective).
- October Cotton(NYBOT)
- The CTV6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 55.28(Prev Close), the market ended June at 51.95(Month Close),
that being 10%(Pct Range) off of
51.35(Month Low) to 57.20(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Cotton(NYBOT) also closed
lower in June than May in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, CTV went on to penetrate the June low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTV should penetrate 51.35(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 46.56(Average Objective).
- December Cotton(NYBOT)
- The CTZ6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
June(Month). Compared to May's 56.58(Prev Close), the market ended June at 54.16(Month Close),
that being 19%(Pct Range) off of
52.95(Month Low) to 59.20(Month High).
In comparing the May/June closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Cotton(NYBOT) also closed
lower in June than May in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, CTZ went on to penetrate the June low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTZ should penetrate 52.95(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of August.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 48.92(Average Objective).
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