- Dow Jones Utilities
- The #UTIL(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 397.46(Prev Close), the market ended May at 406.17(Month Close),
that being 76%(Pct Range) off of
389.30(Month Low) to 411.51(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Utilities also closed
higher in May than April in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, the #UTIL went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #UTIL should exceed 411.51(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 433.34(Average Objective).
- September S & P 500(CME)
- The SPU6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 1327.00(Prev Close), the market ended May at 1282.90(Month Close),
that being 29%(Pct Range) off of
1259.50(Month Low) to 1341.20(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September S & P 500(CME) also closed
lower in May than April in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, SPU went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPU should penetrate 1259.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 1220.57(Average Objective).
- September Japanese Yen(CME)
- The JYU6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 89.64(Prev Close), the market ended May at 90.11(Month Close),
that being 16%(Pct Range) off of
89.54(Month Low) to 93.15(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Japanese Yen(CME) also closed
higher in May than April in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, JYU went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYU should exceed 93.15(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 96.92(Average Objective).
- September British Pound(CME)
- The BPU6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 182.54(Prev Close), the market ended May at 187.27(Month Close),
that being 59%(Pct Range) off of
183.11(Month Low) to 190.15(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September British Pound(CME) also closed
higher in May than April in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, BPU went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BPU should exceed 190.15(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 201.40(Average Objective).
- September US Dollar Index(NYBOT)
- The DXU6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 85.53(Prev Close), the market ended May at 84.31(Month Close),
that being 45%(Pct Range) off of
83.27(Month Low) to 85.57(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September US Dollar Index(NYBOT) also closed
lower in May than April in 9(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 9, DXU went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXU should penetrate 83.27(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move
toward 80.45(Average Objective).
- September Silver(CMX)
- The SIU6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 1371.2(Prev Close), the market ended May at 1256.8(Month Close),
that being 14%(Pct Range) off of
1217.0(Month Low) to 1510.0(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Silver(CMX) also closed
lower in May than April in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, SIU went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SIU should penetrate 1217.0(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 1129.0(Average Objective).
- September Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGU6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 7.298(Prev Close), the market ended May at 6.866(Month Close),
that being 25%(Pct Range) off of
6.520(Month Low) to 7.900(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 16 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
lower in May than April in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, NGU went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGU should penetrate 6.520(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 5.499(Average Objective).
- October Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGV6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 7.663(Prev Close), the market ended May at 7.186(Month Close),
that being 23%(Pct Range) off of
6.830(Month Low) to 8.380(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 16 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
lower in May than April in 7(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 7, NGV went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGV should penetrate 6.830(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move
toward 5.838(Average Objective).
- August Soybeans(CBOT)
- The SQ6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 606.50(Prev Close), the market ended May at 587.00(Month Close),
that being 6%(Pct Range) off of
584.50(Month Low) to 625.50(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Soybeans(CBOT) also closed
lower in May than April in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, SQ went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SQ should penetrate 584.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 537.94(Average Objective).
- August Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BOQ6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 25.82(Prev Close), the market ended May at 25.43(Month Close),
that being 29%(Pct Range) off of
24.83(Month Low) to 26.91(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
lower in May than April in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, BOQ went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOQ should penetrate 24.83(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 22.35(Average Objective).
- September Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BOU6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 26.05(Prev Close), the market ended May at 25.65(Month Close),
that being 31%(Pct Range) off of
25.02(Month Low) to 27.05(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
lower in May than April in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, BOU went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOU should penetrate 25.02(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 22.67(Average Objective).
- October Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BOV6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 26.30(Prev Close), the market ended May at 25.89(Month Close),
that being 31%(Pct Range) off of
25.30(Month Low) to 27.20(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
lower in May than April in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, BOV went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOV should penetrate 25.30(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 23.10(Average Objective).
- December Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BOZ6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 26.57(Prev Close), the market ended May at 26.27(Month Close),
that being 32%(Pct Range) off of
25.60(Month Low) to 27.68(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
lower in May than April in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, BOZ went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOZ should penetrate 25.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 23.52(Average Objective).
- August Soybean Meal(CBOT)
- The SMQ6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 175.10(Prev Close), the market ended May at 173.50(Month Close),
that being 14%(Pct Range) off of
172.00(Month Low) to 183.00(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed
lower in May than April in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, SMQ went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMQ should penetrate 172.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 157.30(Average Objective).
- September Soybean Meal(CBOT)
- The SMU6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 176.40(Prev Close), the market ended May at 174.10(Month Close),
that being 10%(Pct Range) off of
173.00(Month Low) to 184.20(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed
lower in May than April in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, SMU went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMU should penetrate 173.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 159.02(Average Objective).
- October Soybean Meal(CBOT)
- The SMV6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 177.00(Prev Close), the market ended May at 175.10(Month Close),
that being 10%(Pct Range) off of
174.00(Month Low) to 184.90(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed
lower in May than April in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, SMV went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMV should penetrate 174.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 161.19(Average Objective).
- December Soybean Meal(CBOT)
- The SMZ6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 178.80(Prev Close), the market ended May at 177.20(Month Close),
that being 10%(Pct Range) off of
176.10(Month Low) to 186.80(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed
lower in May than April in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, SMZ went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMZ should penetrate 176.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 164.73(Average Objective).
- August Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCQ6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 75.550(Prev Close), the market ended May at 80.075(Month Close),
that being 85%(Pct Range) off of
75.300(Month Low) to 80.950(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in May than April in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, LCQ went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCQ should exceed 80.950(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 85.559(Average Objective).
- October Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCV6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 79.650(Prev Close), the market ended May at 84.175(Month Close),
that being 92%(Pct Range) off of
79.250(Month Low) to 84.625(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in May than April in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, LCV went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCV should exceed 84.625(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 88.408(Average Objective).
- December Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCZ6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 81.925(Prev Close), the market ended May at 86.000(Month Close),
that being 90%(Pct Range) off of
80.900(Month Low) to 86.550(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in May than April in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, LCZ went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCZ should exceed 86.550(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 89.835(Average Objective).
- August Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCQ6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 102.075(Prev Close), the market ended May at 109.125(Month Close),
that being 95%(Pct Range) off of
101.300(Month Low) to 109.550(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in May than April in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, FCQ went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCQ should exceed 109.550(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 116.825(Average Objective).
- September Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCU6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 101.500(Prev Close), the market ended May at 108.475(Month Close),
that being 95%(Pct Range) off of
100.900(Month Low) to 108.850(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in May than April in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, FCU went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCU should exceed 108.850(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 115.979(Average Objective).
- August Lean Hogs(CME)
- The LEQ6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 66.700(Prev Close), the market ended May at 65.150(Month Close),
that being 46%(Pct Range) off of
63.350(Month Low) to 67.275(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
lower in May than April in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, LEQ went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEQ should penetrate 63.350(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 58.382(Average Objective).
- October Lean Hogs(CME)
- The LEV6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 57.575(Prev Close), the market ended May at 56.600(Month Close),
that being 49%(Pct Range) off of
55.200(Month Low) to 58.075(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
lower in May than April in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, LEV went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEV should penetrate 55.200(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 50.056(Average Objective).
- December Lean Hogs(CME)
- The LEZ6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 55.900(Prev Close), the market ended May at 54.800(Month Close),
that being 32%(Pct Range) off of
53.900(Month Low) to 56.750(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
lower in May than April in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, LEZ went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEZ should penetrate 53.900(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 48.064(Average Objective).
- August Pork Bellies(CME)
- The PBQ6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 85.200(Prev Close), the market ended May at 77.000(Month Close),
that being 0%(Pct Range) off of
77.000(Month Low) to 84.500(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Pork Bellies(CME) also closed
lower in May than April in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, PBQ went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBQ should penetrate 77.000(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move
toward 64.060(Average Objective).
- February Pork Bellies(CME)
- The PBG7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 85.000(Prev Close), the market ended May at 83.000(Month Close),
that being 0%(Pct Range) off of
83.000(Month Low) to 85.400(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Pork Bellies(CME) also closed
lower in May than April in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, PBG went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBG should penetrate 83.000(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 73.952(Average Objective).
- September Coffee "C"(NYBOT)
- The KCU6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 112.45(Prev Close), the market ended May at 101.90(Month Close),
that being 11%(Pct Range) off of
100.10(Month Low) to 116.25(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Coffee "C"(NYBOT) also closed
lower in May than April in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, KCU went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCU should penetrate 100.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 85.40(Average Objective).
- December Coffee "C"(NYBOT)
- The KCZ6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 115.95(Prev Close), the market ended May at 105.75(Month Close),
that being 10%(Pct Range) off of
104.20(Month Low) to 119.70(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Coffee "C"(NYBOT) also closed
lower in May than April in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, KCZ went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCZ should penetrate 104.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 87.41(Average Objective).
- March Sugar #11(NYBOT)
- The SBH7(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 17.97(Prev Close), the market ended May at 15.95(Month Close),
that being 2%(Pct Range) off of
15.90(Month Low) to 18.51(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Sugar #11(NYBOT) also closed
lower in May than April in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, SBH went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBH should penetrate 15.90(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 13.78(Average Objective).
- September Lumber(CME)
- The LBU6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 357.7(Prev Close), the market ended May at 324.0(Month Close),
that being 19%(Pct Range) off of
315.5(Month Low) to 360.0(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Lumber(CME) also closed
lower in May than April in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, LBU went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBU should penetrate 315.5(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 285.2(Average Objective).
- November Lumber(CME)
- The LBX6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 337.3(Prev Close), the market ended May at 312.8(Month Close),
that being 12%(Pct Range) off of
309.1(Month Low) to 340.0(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Lumber(CME) also closed
lower in May than April in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, LBX went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBX should penetrate 309.1(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 285.3(Average Objective).
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