- Dow Jones Transportation
- The #TRAN(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 4113.80(Prev Close), the market ended December at 4241.30(Month Close),
that being 75%(Pct Range) off of
4050.50(Month Low) to 4306.10(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Transportation also closed
higher in December than November in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, the #TRAN went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #TRAN should exceed 4306.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 4722.79(Average Objective).
- Russell 2000 Index
- The #RUT(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 677.30(Prev Close), the market ended December at 677.95(Month Close),
that being 36%(Pct Range) off of
669.05(Month Low) to 693.65(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Russell 2000 Index also closed
higher in December than November in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, the #RUT went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #RUT should exceed 693.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 744.71(Average Objective).
- S & P Midcap 400 Index
- The #MID(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 733.65(Prev Close), the market ended December at 742.20(Month Close),
that being 51%(Pct Range) off of
732.00(Month Low) to 752.00(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P Midcap 400 Index also closed
higher in December than November in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, the #MID went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MID should exceed 752.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 790.81(Average Objective).
- Value Line Index
- The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 1906.40(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1926.70(Month Close),
that being 42%(Pct Range) off of
1906.40(Month Low) to 1955.20(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed
higher in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, the #VLE went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 1955.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 2078.14(Average Objective).
- Nikkei 225 Index
- The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 14872(Prev Close), the market ended December at 16195(Month Close),
that being 100%(Pct Range) off of
14880(Month Low) to 16195(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed
higher in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, the #SSNI went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should exceed 16195(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 17123(Average Objective).
- S & P 500 Stock Index
- The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 1249.50(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1254.40(Month Close),
that being 19%(Pct Range) off of
1249.50(Month Low) to 1275.80(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed
higher in December than November in 34(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 34, the #SP went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 31 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 1275.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 31 years) a potential move
toward 1336.22(Average Objective).
- March S & P 500(CME)
- The SPH6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 1259.20(Prev Close), the market ended December at 1260.10(Month Close),
that being 6%(Pct Range) off of
1258.50(Month Low) to 1284.70(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March S & P 500(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, SPH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPH should exceed 1284.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 1347.75(Average Objective).
- March 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT)
- The USH6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 112~01(Prev Close), the market ended December at 114~19(Month Close),
that being 95%(Pct Range) off of
111~08(Month Low) to 114~25(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT) also closed
higher in December than November in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, USH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the USH should exceed 114~25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 118~29(Average Objective).
- March 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The TYH6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 108~170(Prev Close), the market ended December at 109~205(Month Close),
that being 88%(Pct Range) off of
107~295(Month Low) to 109~280(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
higher in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, TYH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYH should exceed 109~280(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 112~294(Average Objective).
- March Eurodollars(CME)
- The EDH6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 95.215(Prev Close), the market ended December at 95.235(Month Close),
that being 65%(Pct Range) off of
95.170(Month Low) to 95.270(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Eurodollars(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, EDH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDH should exceed 95.270(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 95.662(Average Objective).
- June Eurodollars(CME)
- The EDM6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 95.115(Prev Close), the market ended December at 95.165(Month Close),
that being 69%(Pct Range) off of
95.045(Month Low) to 95.220(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Eurodollars(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, EDM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDM should exceed 95.220(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 95.704(Average Objective).
- March Swiss Franc(CME)
- The SFH6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 76.81(Prev Close), the market ended December at 76.63(Month Close),
that being 13%(Pct Range) off of
76.30(Month Low) to 78.93(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Swiss Franc(CME) also closed
lower in December than November in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, SFH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFH should penetrate 76.30(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 71.34(Average Objective).
- March British Pound(CME)
- The BPH6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 172.86(Prev Close), the market ended December at 172.33(Month Close),
that being 15%(Pct Range) off of
171.40(Month Low) to 177.70(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March British Pound(CME) also closed
lower in December than November in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, BPH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BPH should penetrate 171.40(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move
toward 163.56(Average Objective).
- April Gold(CMX)
- The GCJ6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 503.0(Prev Close), the market ended December at 521.9(Month Close),
that being 49%(Pct Range) off of
497.0(Month Low) to 548.0(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Gold(CMX) also closed
higher in December than November in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, GCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the GCJ should exceed 548.0(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 587.8(Average Objective).
- March Copper(CMX)
- The HGH6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 192.60(Prev Close), the market ended December at 204.55(Month Close),
that being 80%(Pct Range) off of
193.70(Month Low) to 207.20(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Copper(CMX) also closed
higher in December than November in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, HGH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HGH should exceed 207.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 231.24(Average Objective).
- April Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLJ6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 59.01(Prev Close), the market ended December at 61.37(Month Close),
that being 55%(Pct Range) off of
58.50(Month Low) to 63.70(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, CLJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLJ should exceed 63.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 70.27(Average Objective).
- May Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLK6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 59.27(Prev Close), the market ended December at 61.72(Month Close),
that being 59%(Pct Range) off of
58.90(Month Low) to 63.70(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 9(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 9, CLK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLK should exceed 63.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move
toward 69.94(Average Objective).
- June Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLM6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 59.48(Prev Close), the market ended December at 62.02(Month Close),
that being 58%(Pct Range) off of
59.25(Month Low) to 64.00(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 9(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 9, CLM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLM should exceed 64.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move
toward 69.80(Average Objective).
- April Heating Oil(NYM)
- The HOJ6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 170.67(Prev Close), the market ended December at 175.21(Month Close),
that being 41%(Pct Range) off of
167.11(Month Low) to 186.85(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Heating Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, HOJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOJ should exceed 186.85(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 201.42(Average Objective).
- May Heating Oil(NYM)
- The HOK6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 167.92(Prev Close), the market ended December at 172.96(Month Close),
that being 45%(Pct Range) off of
164.20(Month Low) to 183.75(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Heating Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, HOK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOK should exceed 183.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 197.98(Average Objective).
- April Unleaded Gas(NYM)
- The HUJ6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 166.81(Prev Close), the market ended December at 178.05(Month Close),
that being 64%(Pct Range) off of
167.00(Month Low) to 184.32(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, HUJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUJ should exceed 184.32(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 202.34(Average Objective).
- May Unleaded Gas(NYM)
- The HUK6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 168.31(Prev Close), the market ended December at 180.00(Month Close),
that being 68%(Pct Range) off of
168.50(Month Low) to 185.47(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in December than November in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, HUK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUK should exceed 185.47(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 204.07(Average Objective).
- April Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGJ6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 10.431(Prev Close), the market ended December at 10.306(Month Close),
that being 21%(Pct Range) off of
9.950(Month Low) to 11.650(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 15 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
lower in December than November in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, NGJ went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGJ should penetrate 9.950(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move
toward 8.737(Average Objective).
- May Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGK6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 10.291(Prev Close), the market ended December at 10.211(Month Close),
that being 26%(Pct Range) off of
9.850(Month Low) to 11.250(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 15 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
lower in December than November in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, NGK went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGK should penetrate 9.850(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move
toward 8.868(Average Objective).
- June Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGM6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 10.326(Prev Close), the market ended December at 10.249(Month Close),
that being 26%(Pct Range) off of
9.930(Month Low) to 11.180(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 15 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
lower in December than November in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, NGM went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGM should penetrate 9.930(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move
toward 9.066(Average Objective).
- March Soybeans(CBOT)
- The SH6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 566.25(Prev Close), the market ended December at 608.75(Month Close),
that being 67%(Pct Range) off of
561.75(Month Low) to 632.00(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Soybeans(CBOT) also closed
higher in December than November in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, SH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SH should exceed 632.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 676.18(Average Objective).
- May Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BOK6(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 21.93(Prev Close), the market ended December at 21.55(Month Close),
that being 16%(Pct Range) off of
21.35(Month Low) to 22.60(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
lower in December than November in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, BOK went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOK should penetrate 21.35(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 20.18(Average Objective).
- February Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCG6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 95.725(Prev Close), the market ended December at 96.400(Month Close),
that being 66%(Pct Range) off of
94.450(Month Low) to 97.400(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, LCG went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCG should exceed 97.400(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 104.536(Average Objective).
- April Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCJ6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 93.250(Prev Close), the market ended December at 94.680(Month Close),
that being 77%(Pct Range) off of
92.900(Month Low) to 95.200(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, LCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCJ should exceed 95.200(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 101.315(Average Objective).
- April Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCJ6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 113.725(Prev Close), the market ended December at 113.850(Month Close),
that being 75%(Pct Range) off of
111.300(Month Low) to 114.700(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, FCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCJ should exceed 114.700(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 120.450(Average Objective).
- May Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCK6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 112.325(Prev Close), the market ended December at 113.100(Month Close),
that being 83%(Pct Range) off of
111.200(Month Low) to 113.500(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, FCK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCK should exceed 113.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 118.848(Average Objective).
- May Coffee "C"(NYBOT)
- The KCK6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 99.20(Prev Close), the market ended December at 109.10(Month Close),
that being 90%(Pct Range) off of
95.80(Month Low) to 110.50(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Coffee "C"(NYBOT) also closed
higher in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, KCK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCK should exceed 110.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 123.69(Average Objective).
- March Lumber(CME)
- The LBH6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 345.1(Prev Close), the market ended December at 372.5(Month Close),
that being 97%(Pct Range) off of
335.5(Month Low) to 373.5(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Lumber(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, LBH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBH should exceed 373.5(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 415.7(Average Objective).
- May Lumber(CME)
- The LBK6(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
December(Month). Compared to November's 338.0(Prev Close), the market ended December at 359.9(Month Close),
that being 86%(Pct Range) off of
333.0(Month Low) to 364.1(Month High).
In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Lumber(CME) also closed
higher in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, LBK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBK should exceed 364.1(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 397.8(Average Objective).
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