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MRCI's ScenarioSM Summary

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Some data provided by Prophetfinance.com
ScenarioSM Summary Apr 30, 2005
Historical Data Scenario Data Current Market Data

Mkt

Cond

Month
Prev
Close
Month
High
Month
Low
Month
Close
Pct
Range
Total
Years
Cond
Years
Action
Years

Pct
Scenario
Objective
Average
Objective
Last
Price
#COMPX Lower Apr 1999.20 2018.80 1904.20 1904.20 0% 9 3 3 100% Yes 1700.67 1904.20
NDU5 Lower Apr 1501.00 1519.00 1414.00 1435.50 20% 8 3 3 100% 1414.00 1238.54 1435.50
USU5 Higher Apr 110~31 115~09 110~15 114~18 85% 27 11 10 91% 115~09 122~20 114~18
TYU5 Higher Apr 108~310 111~285 108~230 111~140 86% 22 9 8 89% 111~285 116~165 111~140
EDU5 Higher Apr 96.025 96.380 96.010 96.255 66% 23 13 12 92% 96.380 96.978 96.255
EDZ5 Higher Apr 95.765 96.200 95.745 96.065 70% 23 13 11 85% 96.200 96.914 96.065
SFU5 Higher Apr 84.56 85.85 83.39 84.90 61% 30 13 11 85% 85.85 88.39 84.90
CDU5 Lower Apr 82.85 82.80 79.45 79.65 6% 28 11 10 91% 79.45 78.29 79.65
ADU5 Higher Apr 76.37 77.50 75.73 77.39 94% 18 11 10 91% 77.50 80.89 77.39
HOQ5 Lower Apr 160.81 168.80 145.04 145.04 0% 25 7 6 86% 145.04 135.99 145.04
BOQ5 Lower Apr 22.90 23.30 22.28 22.62 33% 43 19 16 84% 22.28 20.25 22.62
CN5 Lower Apr 221.00 223.75 211.25 213.50 18% 45 28 25 89% 211.25 195.01 213.50
CU5 Lower Apr 227.50 230.75 218.75 221.50 23% 45 27 24 89% 218.75 201.34 221.50
CZ5 Lower Apr 234.75 240.00 227.75 230.75 24% 45 26 23 88% 227.75 210.39 230.75
WN5 Lower Apr 341.00 340.00 311.00 326.00 52% 45 24 21 88% 311.00 287.82 326.00
KWN5 Lower Apr 336.50 343.00 309.50 331.75 66% 28 14 13 93% 309.50 292.99 331.75
MWU5 Lower Apr 355.00 363.50 326.50 350.00 64% 24 9 8 89% Yes 310.86 350.00
ON5 Lower Apr 148.50 158.00 142.75 142.75 0% 30 13 11 85% 142.75 128.49 142.75
OU5 Lower Apr 149.25 153.75 146.00 146.00 0% 30 11 10 91% 146.00 132.15 146.00
OZ5 Lower Apr 148.50 155.00 146.75 146.75 0% 30 11 10 91% 146.75 133.50 146.75
LEN5 Higher Apr 77.900 80.400 75.250 78.750 68% 35 24 21 88% 80.400 86.389 78.750
PBN5 Lower Apr 96.600 97.250 80.700 84.000 20% 40 21 19 90% 80.700 67.119 84.000
PBQ5 Lower Apr 90.800 91.200 80.250 82.050 16% 42 21 18 86% 80.250 67.165 82.050
KCU5 Lower Apr 131.60 137.50 115.10 130.60 69% 31 15 13 87% 115.10 98.21 130.60
SBN5 Lower Apr 8.90 8.98 8.13 8.66 62% 44 23 20 87% 8.13 6.79 8.66


NASDAQ Composite Index
The #COMPX(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 1999.20(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 0%(Pct Range) off of 1904.20(Month Low) to 2018.80(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 9 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ Composite Index also closed lower in April than March in 3(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 3, the #COMPX went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 3 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #COMPX should penetrate 1904.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 3 years) a potential move toward 1700.67(Average Objective).

September NASDAQ 100(CME)
The NDU5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 1501.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 20%(Pct Range) off of 1414.00(Month Low) to 1519.00(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 8 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September NASDAQ 100(CME) also closed lower in April than March in 3(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 3, NDU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 3 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NDU should penetrate 1414.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 3 years) a potential move toward 1238.54(Average Objective).

September 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT)
The USU5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 110~31(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 85%(Pct Range) off of 110~15(Month Low) to 115~09(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT) also closed higher in April than March in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, USU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the USU should exceed 115~09(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 122~20(Average Objective).

September 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
The TYU5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 108~310(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 86%(Pct Range) off of 108~230(Month Low) to 111~285(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed higher in April than March in 9(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 9, TYU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYU should exceed 111~285(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move toward 116~165(Average Objective).

September Eurodollars(CME)
The EDU5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 96.025(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 66%(Pct Range) off of 96.010(Month Low) to 96.380(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Eurodollars(CME) also closed higher in April than March in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, EDU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDU should exceed 96.380(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 96.978(Average Objective).

December Eurodollars(CME)
The EDZ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 95.765(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 70%(Pct Range) off of 95.745(Month Low) to 96.200(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Eurodollars(CME) also closed higher in April than March in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, EDZ went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDZ should exceed 96.200(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 96.914(Average Objective).

September Swiss Franc(CME)
The SFU5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 84.56(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 61%(Pct Range) off of 83.39(Month Low) to 85.85(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Swiss Franc(CME) also closed higher in April than March in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, SFU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFU should exceed 85.85(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 88.39(Average Objective).

September Canadian Dollar(CME)
The CDU5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 82.85(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 6%(Pct Range) off of 79.45(Month Low) to 82.80(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Canadian Dollar(CME) also closed lower in April than March in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, CDU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CDU should penetrate 79.45(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 78.29(Average Objective).

September Australian Dollar(CME)
The ADU5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 76.37(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 94%(Pct Range) off of 75.73(Month Low) to 77.50(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Australian Dollar(CME) also closed higher in April than March in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, ADU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADU should exceed 77.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 80.89(Average Objective).

August Heating Oil(NYM)
The HOQ5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 160.81(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 0%(Pct Range) off of 145.04(Month Low) to 168.80(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Heating Oil(NYM) also closed lower in April than March in 7(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 7, HOQ went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOQ should penetrate 145.04(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move toward 135.99(Average Objective).

August Soybean Oil(CBOT)
The BOQ5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 22.90(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 33%(Pct Range) off of 22.28(Month Low) to 23.30(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed lower in April than March in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, BOQ went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOQ should penetrate 22.28(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 20.25(Average Objective).

July Corn(CBOT)
The CN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 221.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 18%(Pct Range) off of 211.25(Month Low) to 223.75(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Corn(CBOT) also closed lower in April than March in 28(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 28, CN went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CN should penetrate 211.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 195.01(Average Objective).

September Corn(CBOT)
The CU5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 227.50(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 23%(Pct Range) off of 218.75(Month Low) to 230.75(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Corn(CBOT) also closed lower in April than March in 27(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 27, CU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CU should penetrate 218.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 201.34(Average Objective).

December Corn(CBOT)
The CZ5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 234.75(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 24%(Pct Range) off of 227.75(Month Low) to 240.00(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Corn(CBOT) also closed lower in April than March in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, CZ went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CZ should penetrate 227.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move toward 210.39(Average Objective).

July Wheat(CBOT)
The WN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 341.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 52%(Pct Range) off of 311.00(Month Low) to 340.00(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(CBOT) also closed lower in April than March in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, WN went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WN should penetrate 311.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 287.82(Average Objective).

July Wheat(KCBT)
The KWN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 336.50(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 66%(Pct Range) off of 309.50(Month Low) to 343.00(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(KCBT) also closed lower in April than March in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, KWN went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWN should penetrate 309.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 292.99(Average Objective).

September Wheat(MGE)
The MWU5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 355.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 64%(Pct Range) off of 326.50(Month Low) to 363.50(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Wheat(MGE) also closed lower in April than March in 9(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 9, MWU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the MWU should penetrate 326.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move toward 310.86(Average Objective).

July Oats(CBOT)
The ON5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 148.50(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 0%(Pct Range) off of 142.75(Month Low) to 158.00(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Oats(CBOT) also closed lower in April than March in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, ON went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ON should penetrate 142.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 128.49(Average Objective).

September Oats(CBOT)
The OU5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 149.25(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 0%(Pct Range) off of 146.00(Month Low) to 153.75(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Oats(CBOT) also closed lower in April than March in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, OU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the OU should penetrate 146.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 132.15(Average Objective).

December Oats(CBOT)
The OZ5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 148.50(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 0%(Pct Range) off of 146.75(Month Low) to 155.00(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Oats(CBOT) also closed lower in April than March in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, OZ went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the OZ should penetrate 146.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 133.50(Average Objective).

July Lean Hogs(CME)
The LEN5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 77.900(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 68%(Pct Range) off of 75.250(Month Low) to 80.400(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Lean Hogs(CME) also closed higher in April than March in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, LEN went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEN should exceed 80.400(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 86.389(Average Objective).

July Pork Bellies(CME)
The PBN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 96.600(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 20%(Pct Range) off of 80.700(Month Low) to 97.250(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Pork Bellies(CME) also closed lower in April than March in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, PBN went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBN should penetrate 80.700(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 67.119(Average Objective).

August Pork Bellies(CME)
The PBQ5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 90.800(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 16%(Pct Range) off of 80.250(Month Low) to 91.200(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Pork Bellies(CME) also closed lower in April than March in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, PBQ went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBQ should penetrate 80.250(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 67.165(Average Objective).

September Coffee "C"(NYBOT)
The KCU5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 131.60(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 69%(Pct Range) off of 115.10(Month Low) to 137.50(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Coffee "C"(NYBOT) also closed lower in April than March in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, KCU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCU should penetrate 115.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 98.21(Average Objective).

July Sugar #11(NYBOT)
The SBN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for April(Month). Compared to March's 8.90(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close), that being 62%(Pct Range) off of 8.13(Month Low) to 8.98(Month High).

In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Sugar #11(NYBOT) also closed lower in April than March in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, SBN went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBN should penetrate 8.13(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 6.79(Average Objective).