- NASDAQ Composite Index
- The #COMPX(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 1999.20(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 0%(Pct Range) off of
1904.20(Month Low) to 2018.80(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 9 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ Composite Index also closed
lower in April than March in 3(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 3, the #COMPX went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 3 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #COMPX should penetrate 1904.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 3 years) a potential move
toward 1700.67(Average Objective).
- September NASDAQ 100(CME)
- The NDU5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 1501.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 20%(Pct Range) off of
1414.00(Month Low) to 1519.00(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 8 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September NASDAQ 100(CME) also closed
lower in April than March in 3(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 3, NDU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 3 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NDU should penetrate 1414.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 3 years) a potential move
toward 1238.54(Average Objective).
- September 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT)
- The USU5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 110~31(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 85%(Pct Range) off of
110~15(Month Low) to 115~09(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT) also closed
higher in April than March in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, USU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the USU should exceed 115~09(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 122~20(Average Objective).
- September 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The TYU5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 108~310(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 86%(Pct Range) off of
108~230(Month Low) to 111~285(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
higher in April than March in 9(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 9, TYU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYU should exceed 111~285(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move
toward 116~165(Average Objective).
- September Eurodollars(CME)
- The EDU5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 96.025(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 66%(Pct Range) off of
96.010(Month Low) to 96.380(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Eurodollars(CME) also closed
higher in April than March in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, EDU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDU should exceed 96.380(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 96.978(Average Objective).
- December Eurodollars(CME)
- The EDZ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 95.765(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 70%(Pct Range) off of
95.745(Month Low) to 96.200(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Eurodollars(CME) also closed
higher in April than March in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, EDZ went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDZ should exceed 96.200(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 96.914(Average Objective).
- September Swiss Franc(CME)
- The SFU5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 84.56(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 61%(Pct Range) off of
83.39(Month Low) to 85.85(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Swiss Franc(CME) also closed
higher in April than March in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, SFU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFU should exceed 85.85(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 88.39(Average Objective).
- September Canadian Dollar(CME)
- The CDU5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 82.85(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 6%(Pct Range) off of
79.45(Month Low) to 82.80(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Canadian Dollar(CME) also closed
lower in April than March in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, CDU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CDU should penetrate 79.45(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 78.29(Average Objective).
- September Australian Dollar(CME)
- The ADU5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 76.37(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 94%(Pct Range) off of
75.73(Month Low) to 77.50(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Australian Dollar(CME) also closed
higher in April than March in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, ADU went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADU should exceed 77.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 80.89(Average Objective).
- August Heating Oil(NYM)
- The HOQ5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 160.81(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 0%(Pct Range) off of
145.04(Month Low) to 168.80(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Heating Oil(NYM) also closed
lower in April than March in 7(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 7, HOQ went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOQ should penetrate 145.04(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move
toward 135.99(Average Objective).
- August Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BOQ5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 22.90(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 33%(Pct Range) off of
22.28(Month Low) to 23.30(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
lower in April than March in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, BOQ went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOQ should penetrate 22.28(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 20.25(Average Objective).
- July Corn(CBOT)
- The CN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 221.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 18%(Pct Range) off of
211.25(Month Low) to 223.75(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Corn(CBOT) also closed
lower in April than March in 28(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 28, CN went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CN should penetrate 211.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move
toward 195.01(Average Objective).
- September Corn(CBOT)
- The CU5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 227.50(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 23%(Pct Range) off of
218.75(Month Low) to 230.75(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Corn(CBOT) also closed
lower in April than March in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, CU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CU should penetrate 218.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 201.34(Average Objective).
- December Corn(CBOT)
- The CZ5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 234.75(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 24%(Pct Range) off of
227.75(Month Low) to 240.00(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Corn(CBOT) also closed
lower in April than March in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, CZ went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CZ should penetrate 227.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 210.39(Average Objective).
- July Wheat(CBOT)
- The WN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 341.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 52%(Pct Range) off of
311.00(Month Low) to 340.00(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(CBOT) also closed
lower in April than March in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, WN went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WN should penetrate 311.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 287.82(Average Objective).
- July Wheat(KCBT)
- The KWN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 336.50(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 66%(Pct Range) off of
309.50(Month Low) to 343.00(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(KCBT) also closed
lower in April than March in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, KWN went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWN should penetrate 309.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 292.99(Average Objective).
- September Wheat(MGE)
- The MWU5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 355.00(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 64%(Pct Range) off of
326.50(Month Low) to 363.50(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Wheat(MGE) also closed
lower in April than March in 9(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 9, MWU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the MWU should penetrate 326.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move
toward 310.86(Average Objective).
- July Oats(CBOT)
- The ON5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 148.50(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 0%(Pct Range) off of
142.75(Month Low) to 158.00(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Oats(CBOT) also closed
lower in April than March in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, ON went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ON should penetrate 142.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 128.49(Average Objective).
- September Oats(CBOT)
- The OU5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 149.25(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 0%(Pct Range) off of
146.00(Month Low) to 153.75(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Oats(CBOT) also closed
lower in April than March in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, OU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the OU should penetrate 146.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 132.15(Average Objective).
- December Oats(CBOT)
- The OZ5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 148.50(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 0%(Pct Range) off of
146.75(Month Low) to 155.00(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Oats(CBOT) also closed
lower in April than March in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, OZ went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the OZ should penetrate 146.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 133.50(Average Objective).
- July Lean Hogs(CME)
- The LEN5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 77.900(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 68%(Pct Range) off of
75.250(Month Low) to 80.400(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
higher in April than March in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, LEN went on to exceed the April high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEN should exceed 80.400(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 86.389(Average Objective).
- July Pork Bellies(CME)
- The PBN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 96.600(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 20%(Pct Range) off of
80.700(Month Low) to 97.250(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Pork Bellies(CME) also closed
lower in April than March in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, PBN went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBN should penetrate 80.700(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 67.119(Average Objective).
- August Pork Bellies(CME)
- The PBQ5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 90.800(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 16%(Pct Range) off of
80.250(Month Low) to 91.200(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Pork Bellies(CME) also closed
lower in April than March in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, PBQ went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBQ should penetrate 80.250(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 67.165(Average Objective).
- September Coffee "C"(NYBOT)
- The KCU5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 131.60(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 69%(Pct Range) off of
115.10(Month Low) to 137.50(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Coffee "C"(NYBOT) also closed
lower in April than March in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, KCU went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCU should penetrate 115.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 98.21(Average Objective).
- July Sugar #11(NYBOT)
- The SBN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
April(Month). Compared to March's 8.90(Prev Close), the market ended April at (Month Close),
that being 62%(Pct Range) off of
8.13(Month Low) to 8.98(Month High).
In comparing the March/April closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Sugar #11(NYBOT) also closed
lower in April than March in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, SBN went on to penetrate the April low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBN should penetrate 8.13(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of June.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 6.79(Average Objective).
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