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MRCI's ScenarioSM Summary

Copyright © 2003 Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Some data provided by Prophetfinance.com
ScenarioSM Summary Jan 31, 2005
Historical Data Scenario Data Current Market Data

Mkt

Cond

Month
Prev
Close
Month
High
Month
Low
Month
Close
Pct
Range
Total
Years
Cond
Years
Action
Years

Pct
Scenario
Objective
Average
Objective
Last
Price
EDM5 Lower Jan 96.825 96.900 96.670 96.730 26% 22 8 7 88% 96.670 96.344 96.730
EDU5 Lower Jan 96.610 96.650 96.415 96.490 32% 22 9 8 89% 96.415 96.025 96.490
SFM5 Lower Jan 88.39 87.97 84.36 84.67 9% 29 20 18 90% 84.36 80.65 84.67
JYM5 Lower Jan 98.65 99.09 96.30 97.47 42% 28 19 16 84% 96.30 92.52 97.47
PLJ5 Higher Jan 859.7 879.0 838.0 873.8 87% 36 19 18 95% 879.0 962.5 873.8
CLK5 Higher Jan 43.32 49.85 41.65 48.50 84% 21 13 12 92% 49.85 55.68 48.50
CLM5 Higher Jan 43.05 49.60 41.25 48.35 85% 21 13 12 92% 49.60 54.76 48.35
CLN5 Higher Jan 42.79 49.10 41.15 48.10 87% 21 12 11 92% 49.10 54.15 48.10
HUK5 Higher Jan 123.68 145.00 119.70 142.15 89% 19 13 12 92% 145.00 160.98 142.15
HUM5 Higher Jan 123.53 143.90 120.00 141.60 90% 19 14 12 86% 143.90 161.33 141.60
HUN5 Higher Jan 122.53 142.00 119.90 140.00 91% 19 14 12 86% 142.00 157.76 140.00
NGK5 Higher Jan 6.090 6.550 5.750 6.376 78% 14 6 6 100% 6.550 7.586 6.376
NGM5 Higher Jan 6.130 6.530 5.800 6.424 85% 14 6 6 100% 6.530 7.480 6.424
NGN5 Higher Jan 6.180 6.580 5.840 6.472 85% 14 7 7 100% 6.580 7.436 6.472
SMK5 Lower Jan 165.00 168.30 152.70 153.00 2% 45 21 21 100% 152.70 144.48 153.00
SMN5 Lower Jan 168.00 170.70 155.20 155.30 1% 45 22 22 100% 155.20 146.82 155.30
SMQ5 Lower Jan 170.50 171.50 156.60 156.60 0% 44 22 21 95% 156.60 148.38 156.60
CK5 Lower Jan 213.00 217.25 202.75 204.50 12% 45 22 21 95% 202.75 192.79 204.50
CN5 Lower Jan 220.50 224.25 210.00 211.75 12% 45 23 22 96% 210.00 200.49 211.75
WK5 Lower Jan 314.25 319.00 295.00 298.75 16% 45 26 24 92% 295.00 276.39 298.75
WN5 Lower Jan 320.75 326.00 303.00 305.50 11% 45 24 21 88% 303.00 285.55 305.50
KWK5 Lower Jan 333.75 339.25 314.00 317.00 12% 28 13 13 100% 314.00 300.64 317.00
KWN5 Lower Jan 326.50 332.00 304.50 308.00 13% 28 12 12 100% 304.50 290.06 308.00
MWK5 Lower Jan 351.00 351.75 329.50 330.75 6% 24 12 12 100% Yes 317.02 330.75
MWN5 Lower Jan 350.00 352.00 327.50 328.75 5% 24 12 11 92% Yes 316.30 328.75
RRK5 Lower Jan 7.55 7.51 6.74 6.75 1% 18 8 7 88% Yes 5.95 6.75
RRN5 Lower Jan 7.72 7.65 6.93 6.93 0% 15 8 7 88% Yes 6.14 6.93
CTN5 Lower Jan 46.30 50.30 44.95 46.20 23% 45 23 20 87% 44.95 42.37 46.20


June Eurodollars(CME)
The EDM5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 96.825(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 26%(Pct Range) off of 96.670(Month Low) to 96.900(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Eurodollars(CME) also closed lower in January than December in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, EDM went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDM should penetrate 96.670(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move toward 96.344(Average Objective).

September Eurodollars(CME)
The EDU5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 96.610(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 32%(Pct Range) off of 96.415(Month Low) to 96.650(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Eurodollars(CME) also closed lower in January than December in 9(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 9, EDU went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDU should penetrate 96.415(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move toward 96.025(Average Objective).

June Swiss Franc(CME)
The SFM5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 88.39(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 9%(Pct Range) off of 84.36(Month Low) to 87.97(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Swiss Franc(CME) also closed lower in January than December in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, SFM went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFM should penetrate 84.36(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 80.65(Average Objective).

June Japanese Yen(CME)
The JYM5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 98.65(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 42%(Pct Range) off of 96.30(Month Low) to 99.09(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Japanese Yen(CME) also closed lower in January than December in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, JYM went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYM should penetrate 96.30(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 92.52(Average Objective).

April Platinum(NYM)
The PLJ5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 859.7(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 87%(Pct Range) off of 838.0(Month Low) to 879.0(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Platinum(NYM) also closed higher in January than December in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, PLJ went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PLJ should exceed 879.0(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 962.5(Average Objective).

May Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLK5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 43.32(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 84%(Pct Range) off of 41.65(Month Low) to 49.85(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in January than December in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, CLK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLK should exceed 49.85(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 55.68(Average Objective).

June Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLM5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 43.05(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 85%(Pct Range) off of 41.25(Month Low) to 49.60(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in January than December in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, CLM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLM should exceed 49.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 54.76(Average Objective).

July Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLN5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 42.79(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 87%(Pct Range) off of 41.15(Month Low) to 49.10(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in January than December in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, CLN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLN should exceed 49.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 54.15(Average Objective).

May Unleaded Gas(NYM)
The HUK5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 123.68(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 89%(Pct Range) off of 119.70(Month Low) to 145.00(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed higher in January than December in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, HUK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUK should exceed 145.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 160.98(Average Objective).

June Unleaded Gas(NYM)
The HUM5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 123.53(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 120.00(Month Low) to 143.90(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed higher in January than December in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, HUM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUM should exceed 143.90(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 161.33(Average Objective).

July Unleaded Gas(NYM)
The HUN5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 122.53(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 91%(Pct Range) off of 119.90(Month Low) to 142.00(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed higher in January than December in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, HUN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUN should exceed 142.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 157.76(Average Objective).

May Natural Gas(NYM)
The NGK5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 6.090(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 78%(Pct Range) off of 5.750(Month Low) to 6.550(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 14 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Natural Gas(NYM) also closed higher in January than December in 6(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 6, NGK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGK should exceed 6.550(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move toward 7.586(Average Objective).

June Natural Gas(NYM)
The NGM5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 6.130(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 85%(Pct Range) off of 5.800(Month Low) to 6.530(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 14 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Natural Gas(NYM) also closed higher in January than December in 6(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 6, NGM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGM should exceed 6.530(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move toward 7.480(Average Objective).

July Natural Gas(NYM)
The NGN5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 6.180(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 85%(Pct Range) off of 5.840(Month Low) to 6.580(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 14 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Natural Gas(NYM) also closed higher in January than December in 7(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 7, NGN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGN should exceed 6.580(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move toward 7.436(Average Objective).

May Soybean Meal(CBOT)
The SMK5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 165.00(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 2%(Pct Range) off of 152.70(Month Low) to 168.30(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed lower in January than December in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, SMK went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMK should penetrate 152.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 144.48(Average Objective).

July Soybean Meal(CBOT)
The SMN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 168.00(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 1%(Pct Range) off of 155.20(Month Low) to 170.70(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed lower in January than December in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, SMN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMN should penetrate 155.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 146.82(Average Objective).

August Soybean Meal(CBOT)
The SMQ5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 170.50(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 0%(Pct Range) off of 156.60(Month Low) to 171.50(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed lower in January than December in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, SMQ went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMQ should penetrate 156.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 148.38(Average Objective).

May Corn(CBOT)
The CK5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 213.00(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 12%(Pct Range) off of 202.75(Month Low) to 217.25(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Corn(CBOT) also closed lower in January than December in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, CK went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CK should penetrate 202.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 192.79(Average Objective).

July Corn(CBOT)
The CN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 220.50(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 12%(Pct Range) off of 210.00(Month Low) to 224.25(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Corn(CBOT) also closed lower in January than December in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, CN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 96%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CN should penetrate 210.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 200.49(Average Objective).

May Wheat(CBOT)
The WK5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 314.25(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 16%(Pct Range) off of 295.00(Month Low) to 319.00(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Wheat(CBOT) also closed lower in January than December in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, WK went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WK should penetrate 295.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move toward 276.39(Average Objective).

July Wheat(CBOT)
The WN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 320.75(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 11%(Pct Range) off of 303.00(Month Low) to 326.00(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(CBOT) also closed lower in January than December in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, WN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WN should penetrate 303.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 285.55(Average Objective).

May Wheat(KCBT)
The KWK5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 333.75(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 12%(Pct Range) off of 314.00(Month Low) to 339.25(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Wheat(KCBT) also closed lower in January than December in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, KWK went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWK should penetrate 314.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 300.64(Average Objective).

July Wheat(KCBT)
The KWN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 326.50(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 13%(Pct Range) off of 304.50(Month Low) to 332.00(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(KCBT) also closed lower in January than December in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, KWN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWN should penetrate 304.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 290.06(Average Objective).

May Wheat(MGE)
The MWK5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 351.00(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 6%(Pct Range) off of 329.50(Month Low) to 351.75(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Wheat(MGE) also closed lower in January than December in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, MWK went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the MWK should penetrate 329.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 317.02(Average Objective).

July Wheat(MGE)
The MWN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 350.00(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 5%(Pct Range) off of 327.50(Month Low) to 352.00(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(MGE) also closed lower in January than December in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, MWN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the MWN should penetrate 327.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 316.30(Average Objective).

May Rough Rice(CBOT)
The RRK5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 7.55(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 1%(Pct Range) off of 6.74(Month Low) to 7.51(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed lower in January than December in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, RRK went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRK should penetrate 6.74(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move toward 5.95(Average Objective).

July Rough Rice(CBOT)
The RRN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 7.72(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 0%(Pct Range) off of 6.93(Month Low) to 7.65(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 15 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed lower in January than December in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, RRN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRN should penetrate 6.93(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move toward 6.14(Average Objective).

July Cotton(NYBOT)
The CTN5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for January(Month). Compared to December's 46.30(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close), that being 23%(Pct Range) off of 44.95(Month Low) to 50.30(Month High).

In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Cotton(NYBOT) also closed lower in January than December in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, CTN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTN should penetrate 44.95(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 42.37(Average Objective).