- Dow Jones Transportation
- The #TRAN(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 3105.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 85%(Pct Range) off of
3085.10(Month Low) to 3271.60(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Transportation also closed
higher in September than August in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, the #TRAN went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #TRAN should exceed 3271.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 3504.72(Average Objective).
- Dow Jones Utilities
- The #UTIL(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 290.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 83%(Pct Range) off of
289.80(Month Low) to 296.50(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Utilities also closed
higher in September than August in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, the #UTIL went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #UTIL should exceed 296.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 311.74(Average Objective).
- NASDAQ 100 Index
- The #NDX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 1368.70(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 65%(Pct Range) off of
1360.60(Month Low) to 1440.80(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed
higher in September than August in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, the #NDX went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NDX should exceed 1440.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 1557.66(Average Objective).
- NASDAQ Composite Index
- The #COMPX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 1838.10(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 53%(Pct Range) off of
1840.90(Month Low) to 1925.80(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 9 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ Composite Index also closed
higher in September than August in 5(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 5, the #COMPX went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 5 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #COMPX should exceed 1925.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 5 years) a potential move
toward 2079.63(Average Objective).
- Value Line Index
- The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 1524.90(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 77%(Pct Range) off of
1524.00(Month Low) to 1591.60(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed
higher in September than August in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, the #VLE went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 1591.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 1649.63(Average Objective).
- Nikkei 225 Index
- The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 11082(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 8%(Pct Range) off of
10738(Month Low) to 11358(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed
lower in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, the #SSNI went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should penetrate 10738(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 9804(Average Objective).
- S & P 500 Stock Index
- The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 1104.25(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 47%(Pct Range) off of
1099.20(Month Low) to 1131.55(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed
higher in September than August in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, the #SP went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 1131.55(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 1198.03(Average Objective).
- December S & P 500(CME)
- The SPZ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 1104.40(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 43%(Pct Range) off of
1101.60(Month Low) to 1132.30(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December S & P 500(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 7(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 7, SPZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPZ should exceed 1132.30(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 1187.21(Average Objective).
- December NASDAQ 100(CME)
- The NDZ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 1375.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 61%(Pct Range) off of
1370.50(Month Low) to 1447.00(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 8 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December NASDAQ 100(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 4(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 4, NDZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 4 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NDZ should exceed 1447.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 4 years) a potential move
toward 1628.91(Average Objective).
- December 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT)
- The USZ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 111~10(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 62%(Pct Range) off of
109~05(Month Low) to 114~03(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT) also closed
higher in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, USZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the USZ should exceed 114~03(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 118~23(Average Objective).
- December 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The TYZ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 112~100(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 57%(Pct Range) off of
111~025(Month Low) to 113~255(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
higher in September than August in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, TYZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYZ should exceed 113~255(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 116~218(Average Objective).
- December Japanese Yen(CME)
- The JYZ4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 91.99(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 59%(Pct Range) off of
89.97(Month Low) to 92.17(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Japanese Yen(CME) also closed
lower in September than August in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, JYZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYZ should penetrate 89.97(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 86.87(Average Objective).
- December Australian Dollar(CME)
- The ADZ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 69.64(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 100%(Pct Range) off of
67.97(Month Low) to 72.34(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 17 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Australian Dollar(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, ADZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADZ should exceed 72.34(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move
toward 74.27(Average Objective).
- December US Dollar Index(NYBOT)
- The DXZ4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 89.22(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 1%(Pct Range) off of
87.49(Month Low) to 90.05(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December US Dollar Index(NYBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, DXZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXZ should penetrate 87.49(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 84.56(Average Objective).
- March Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLH5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 40.69(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 96%(Pct Range) off of
40.80(Month Low) to 47.60(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in September than August in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, CLH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLH should exceed 47.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 49.96(Average Objective).
- January Unleaded Gas(NYM)
- The HUF5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 112.79(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 87%(Pct Range) off of
114.09(Month Low) to 133.00(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in September than August in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, HUF went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUF should exceed 133.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 139.27(Average Objective).
- March Unleaded Gas(NYM)
- The HUH5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 114.19(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 94%(Pct Range) off of
115.19(Month Low) to 132.10(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in September than August in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, HUH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUH should exceed 132.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 137.89(Average Objective).
- January Soybeans(CBOT)
- The SF5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 633.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 3%(Pct Range) off of
530.50(Month Low) to 656.00(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Soybeans(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, SF went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SF should penetrate 530.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 501.27(Average Objective).
- March Soybeans(CBOT)
- The SH5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 638.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 1%(Pct Range) off of
539.00(Month Low) to 662.00(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Soybeans(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, SH went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SH should penetrate 539.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 511.08(Average Objective).
- May Soybeans(CBOT)
- The SK5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 639.75(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 2%(Pct Range) off of
546.00(Month Low) to 658.00(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybeans(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, SK went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SK should penetrate 546.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 518.48(Average Objective).
- December Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BOZ4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 25.20(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 4%(Pct Range) off of
20.50(Month Low) to 26.10(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, BOZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOZ should penetrate 20.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 19.10(Average Objective).
- March Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BOH5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 24.87(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 3%(Pct Range) off of
20.66(Month Low) to 25.60(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, BOH went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOH should penetrate 20.66(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 19.25(Average Objective).
- May Soybean Oil(CBOT)
- The BOK5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 24.75(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 1%(Pct Range) off of
20.73(Month Low) to 25.40(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, BOK went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOK should penetrate 20.73(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 19.23(Average Objective).
- December Soybean Meal(CBOT)
- The SMZ4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 181.20(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 2%(Pct Range) off of
159.00(Month Low) to 190.00(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, SMZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMZ should penetrate 159.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 150.71(Average Objective).
- March Soybean Meal(CBOT)
- The SMH5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 185.90(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 0%(Pct Range) off of
164.00(Month Low) to 192.50(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Soybean Meal(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, SMH went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SMH should penetrate 164.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 155.92(Average Objective).
- December Oats(CBOT)
- The OZ4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 152.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 12%(Pct Range) off of
140.50(Month Low) to 172.50(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Oats(CBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, OZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the OZ should penetrate 140.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 130.74(Average Objective).
- May Oats(CBOT)
- The OK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 150.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 27%(Pct Range) off of
147.25(Month Low) to 161.00(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Oats(CBOT) also closed
higher in September than August in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, OK went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the OK should exceed 161.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 171.92(Average Objective).
- December Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCZ4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 87.450(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 46%(Pct Range) off of
85.350(Month Low) to 89.550(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Live Cattle(CME) also closed
lower in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, LCZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCZ should penetrate 85.350(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 81.469(Average Objective).
- February Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCG5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 88.150(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 68%(Pct Range) off of
86.200(Month Low) to 90.200(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, LCG went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCG should exceed 90.200(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 93.994(Average Objective).
- January Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCF5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 104.450(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 81%(Pct Range) off of
102.000(Month Low) to 107.400(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, FCF went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCF should exceed 107.400(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 112.026(Average Objective).
- December Lean Hogs(CME)
- The LEZ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 63.725(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 73%(Pct Range) off of
61.900(Month Low) to 71.800(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, LEZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEZ should exceed 71.800(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 77.093(Average Objective).
- February Pork Bellies(CME)
- The PBG5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 92.425(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 42%(Pct Range) off of
92.200(Month Low) to 104.500(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Pork Bellies(CME) also closed
higher in September than August in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, PBG went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBG should exceed 104.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 115.560(Average Objective).
- March Sugar #11(NYBOT)
- The SBH5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 8.57(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 96%(Pct Range) off of
8.18(Month Low) to 9.10(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Sugar #11(NYBOT) also closed
higher in September than August in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, SBH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBH should exceed 9.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 10.71(Average Objective).
- December Cocoa(NYBOT)
- The CCZ4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 1686(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 11%(Pct Range) off of
1431(Month Low) to 1639(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Cocoa(NYBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, CCZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CCZ should penetrate 1431(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 1322(Average Objective).
- March Cotton(NYBOT)
- The CTH5(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
September(Month). Compared to August's 55.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close),
that being 6%(Pct Range) off of
48.05(Month Low) to 56.50(Month High).
In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Cotton(NYBOT) also closed
lower in September than August in 26(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 26, CTH went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTH should penetrate 48.05(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 45.64(Average Objective).
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