- NASDAQ 100 Index
- The #NDX(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 1400.40(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 63%(Pct Range) off of
1302.00(Month Low) to 1408.30(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed
lower in August than July in 7(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 7, the #NDX went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NDX should penetrate 1302.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move
toward 1153.34(Average Objective).
- NASDAQ Composite Index
- The #COMPX(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 1887.40(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 78%(Pct Range) off of
1750.80(Month Low) to 1893.10(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 9 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ Composite Index also closed
lower in August than July in 4(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 4, the #COMPX went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 4 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #COMPX should penetrate 1750.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 4 years) a potential move
toward 1541.56(Average Objective).
- Russell 2000 Index
- The #RUT(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 551.29(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 89%(Pct Range) off of
515.90(Month Low) to 551.93(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Russell 2000 Index also closed
lower in August than July in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, the #RUT went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #RUT should penetrate 515.90(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move
toward 465.24(Average Objective).
- S & P Midcap 400 Index
- The #MID(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 578.90(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 90%(Pct Range) off of
548.29(Month Low) to 579.80(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P Midcap 400 Index also closed
lower in August than July in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, the #MID went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MID should penetrate 548.29(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move
toward 514.48(Average Objective).
- Nikkei 225 Index
- The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 11326(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 73%(Pct Range) off of
10546(Month Low) to 11280(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed
lower in August than July in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, the #SSNI went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should penetrate 10546(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move
toward 9735(Average Objective).
- December NASDAQ 100(CME)
- The NDZ4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 1407.50(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 62%(Pct Range) off of
1313.50(Month Low) to 1412.00(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 8 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December NASDAQ 100(CME) also closed
lower in August than July in 4(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 4, NDZ went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 4 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NDZ should penetrate 1313.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 4 years) a potential move
toward 1143.35(Average Objective).
- December 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT)
- The USZ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 107~01(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 92%(Pct Range) off of
107~00(Month Low) to 111~22(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT) also closed
higher in August than July in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, USZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the USZ should exceed 111~22(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 116~26(Average Objective).
- December 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The TYZ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 109~160(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 91%(Pct Range) off of
109~160(Month Low) to 112~190(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
higher in August than July in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, TYZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYZ should exceed 112~190(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 116~174(Average Objective).
- December Eurodollars(CME)
- The EDZ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 97.640(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 60%(Pct Range) off of
97.640(Month Low) to 97.950(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Eurodollars(CME) also closed
higher in August than July in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, EDZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDZ should exceed 97.950(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 98.644(Average Objective).
- December Eurodollars(CME)
- The EDZ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 97.640(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 60%(Pct Range) off of
97.640(Month Low) to 97.950(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Eurodollars(CME) also closed
higher in August than July in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, EDZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDZ should exceed 97.950(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 98.644(Average Objective).
- March Eurodollars(CME)
- The EDH5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 97.240(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 83%(Pct Range) off of
97.235(Month Low) to 97.650(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Eurodollars(CME) also closed
higher in August than July in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, EDH went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDH should exceed 97.650(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 98.406(Average Objective).
- June Eurodollars(CME)
- The EDM5(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 96.870(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 92%(Pct Range) off of
96.860(Month Low) to 97.380(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Eurodollars(CME) also closed
higher in August than July in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, EDM went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDM should exceed 97.380(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 98.179(Average Objective).
- December Swiss Franc(CME)
- The SFZ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 78.35(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 32%(Pct Range) off of
78.26(Month Low) to 81.05(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Swiss Franc(CME) also closed
higher in August than July in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, SFZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFZ should exceed 81.05(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 85.44(Average Objective).
- December Canadian Dollar(CME)
- The CDZ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 75.01(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 55%(Pct Range) off of
74.90(Month Low) to 77.10(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Canadian Dollar(CME) also closed
higher in August than July in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, CDZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CDZ should exceed 77.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 78.27(Average Objective).
- December Australian Dollar(CME)
- The ADZ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 69.17(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 24%(Pct Range) off of
69.00(Month Low) to 71.70(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 17 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Australian Dollar(CME) also closed
higher in August than July in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, ADZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADZ should exceed 71.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 73.57(Average Objective).
- December US Dollar Index(NYBOT)
- The DXZ4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 90.34(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 49%(Pct Range) off of
88.05(Month Low) to 90.45(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December US Dollar Index(NYBOT) also closed
lower in August than July in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, DXZ went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXZ should penetrate 88.05(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 84.89(Average Objective).
- December Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGZ4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 6.841(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 4%(Pct Range) off of
6.280(Month Low) to 6.890(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 14 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
lower in August than July in 4(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 4, NGZ went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 4 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGZ should penetrate 6.280(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 4 years) a potential move
toward 5.811(Average Objective).
- November Orange Juice(NYBOT)
- The JOX4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 62.15(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 88%(Pct Range) off of
59.50(Month Low) to 76.50(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Orange Juice(NYBOT) also closed
higher in August than July in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, JOX went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JOX should exceed 76.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 85.03(Average Objective).
- October Sugar #11(NYBOT)
- The SBV4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 8.28(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 51%(Pct Range) off of
7.53(Month Low) to 8.43(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Sugar #11(NYBOT) also closed
lower in August than July in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, SBV went on to penetrate the August low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBV should penetrate 7.53(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 6.11(Average Objective).
- December Cotton(NYBOT)
- The CTZ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
August(Month). Compared to July's 44.40(Prev Close), the market ended August at (Month Close),
that being 99%(Pct Range) off of
42.60(Month Low) to 54.44(Month High).
In comparing the July/August closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Cotton(NYBOT) also closed
higher in August than July in 17(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 17, CTZ went on to exceed the August high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTZ should exceed 54.44(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of October.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 58.44(Average Objective).
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