- DJIA Index
- The #DJ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 10454.00(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 36%(Pct Range) off of
10367.00(Month Low) to 10705.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed
higher in January than December in 30(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 30, the #DJ went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 27 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should exceed 10705.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 27 years) a potential move
toward 11267.11(Average Objective).
- S & P 100(OEX)
- The #OEX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 550.80(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 48%(Pct Range) off of
548.10(Month Low) to 573.45(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 100(OEX) also closed
higher in January than December in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, the #OEX went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #OEX should exceed 573.45(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 601.91(Average Objective).
- S & P Midcap 400 Index
- The #MID(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 576.01(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 47%(Pct Range) off of
574.60(Month Low) to 603.46(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P Midcap 400 Index also closed
higher in January than December in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, the #MID went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MID should exceed 603.46(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 635.04(Average Objective).
- Value Line Index
- The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 1530.50(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 55%(Pct Range) off of
1530.20(Month Low) to 1625.10(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed
higher in January than December in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, the #VLE went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 1625.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 1718.76(Average Objective).
- Nikkei 225 Index
- The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 10677(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 22%(Pct Range) off of
10665(Month Low) to 11194(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed
higher in January than December in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, the #SSNI went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should exceed 11194(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 11909(Average Objective).
- S & P 500 Stock Index
- The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 1111.90(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 52%(Pct Range) off of
1105.10(Month Low) to 1155.40(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed
higher in January than December in 28(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 28, the #SP went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 26 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 1155.40(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 26 years) a potential move
toward 1211.10(Average Objective).
- March S & P 500(CME)
- The SPH4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 1110.60(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 51%(Pct Range) off of
1103.50(Month Low) to 1155.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March S & P 500(CME) also closed
higher in January than December in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, SPH went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPH should exceed 1155.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 1213.55(Average Objective).
- March Swiss Franc(CME)
- The SFH4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 80.66(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 21%(Pct Range) off of
78.83(Month Low) to 82.34(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Swiss Franc(CME) also closed
lower in January than December in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, SFH went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFH should penetrate 78.83(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 75.98(Average Objective).
- March Australian Dollar(CME)
- The ADH4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 74.55(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 41%(Pct Range) off of
74.77(Month Low) to 77.69(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 16 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Australian Dollar(CME) also closed
higher in January than December in 7(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 7, ADH went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADH should exceed 77.69(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 79.33(Average Objective).
- April Platinum(NYM)
- The PLJ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 805.3(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 25%(Pct Range) off of
818.0(Month Low) to 867.0(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Platinum(NYM) also closed
higher in January than December in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, PLJ went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PLJ should exceed 867.0(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 945.5(Average Objective).
- May Copper(CMX)
- The HGK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 104.15(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 99%(Pct Range) off of
105.60(Month Low) to 113.85(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Copper(CMX) also closed
higher in January than December in 27(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 27, HGK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 24 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HGK should exceed 113.85(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 24 years) a potential move
toward 127.48(Average Objective).
- July Copper(CMX)
- The HGN4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 103.70(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 100%(Pct Range) off of
105.40(Month Low) to 112.75(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Copper(CMX) also closed
higher in January than December in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, HGN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HGN should exceed 112.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move
toward 125.05(Average Objective).
- May Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 31.30(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 9%(Pct Range) off of
31.25(Month Low) to 33.85(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in January than December in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, CLK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLK should exceed 33.85(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 37.39(Average Objective).
- June Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 30.79(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 9%(Pct Range) off of
30.75(Month Low) to 33.25(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in January than December in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, CLM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLM should exceed 33.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 36.30(Average Objective).
- July Crude Oil(NYM)
- The CLN4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 30.30(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 7%(Pct Range) off of
30.36(Month Low) to 32.60(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Crude Oil(NYM) also closed
higher in January than December in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, CLN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLN should exceed 32.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 35.54(Average Objective).
- May Unleaded Gas(NYM)
- The HUK4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 97.44(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 23%(Pct Range) off of
98.73(Month Low) to 106.50(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in January than December in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, HUK went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUK should exceed 106.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 117.39(Average Objective).
- June Unleaded Gas(NYM)
- The HUM4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 95.59(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 19%(Pct Range) off of
96.93(Month Low) to 103.72(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in January than December in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, HUM went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUM should exceed 103.72(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 115.40(Average Objective).
- July Unleaded Gas(NYM)
- The HUN4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 93.19(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 15%(Pct Range) off of
94.53(Month Low) to 101.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed
higher in January than December in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, HUN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUN should exceed 101.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 111.30(Average Objective).
- June Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGM4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 5.112(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 7%(Pct Range) off of
5.000(Month Low) to 5.560(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 13 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
lower in January than December in 7(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 7, NGM went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGM should penetrate 5.000(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move
toward 4.762(Average Objective).
- September Corn(CBOT)
- The CU4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 249.75(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 86%(Pct Range) off of
251.50(Month Low) to 283.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Corn(CBOT) also closed
higher in January than December in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, CU went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CU should exceed 283.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 296.37(Average Objective).
- July Wheat(CBOT)
- The WN4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 365.75(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 59%(Pct Range) off of
372.00(Month Low) to 400.50(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(CBOT) also closed
higher in January than December in 20(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 20, WN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WN should exceed 400.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move
toward 422.13(Average Objective).
- September Wheat(MGE)
- The MWU4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 376.75(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 84%(Pct Range) off of
378.00(Month Low) to 403.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Wheat(MGE) also closed
higher in January than December in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, MWU went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the MWU should exceed 403.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move
toward 421.00(Average Objective).
- May Rough Rice(CBOT)
- The RRK4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 8.87(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 16%(Pct Range) off of
8.04(Month Low) to 9.35(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 17 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed
lower in January than December in 7(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 7, RRK went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRK should penetrate 8.04(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move
toward 6.98(Average Objective).
- July Rough Rice(CBOT)
- The RRN4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 8.93(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 12%(Pct Range) off of
8.23(Month Low) to 9.39(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 14 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed
lower in January than December in 7(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 7, RRN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRN should penetrate 8.23(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move
toward 7.18(Average Objective).
- July Coffee "C"(NYBOT)
- The KCN4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 68.65(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 78%(Pct Range) off of
68.05(Month Low) to 82.30(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Coffee "C"(NYBOT) also closed
higher in January than December in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, KCN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCN should exceed 82.30(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 89.78(Average Objective).
- September Coffee "C"(NYBOT)
- The KCU4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 70.45(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 78%(Pct Range) off of
71.20(Month Low) to 83.45(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Coffee "C"(NYBOT) also closed
higher in January than December in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, KCU went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCU should exceed 83.45(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 91.30(Average Objective).
- July Lumber(CME)
- The LBN4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 332.0(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 26%(Pct Range) off of
332.3(Month Low) to 354.9(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Lumber(CME) also closed
higher in January than December in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, LBN went on to exceed the January high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBN should exceed 354.9(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 377.4(Average Objective).
- July Cotton(NYBOT)
- The CTN4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
January(Month). Compared to December's 76.80(Prev Close), the market ended January at (Month Close),
that being 41%(Pct Range) off of
70.50(Month Low) to 78.00(Month High).
In comparing the December/January closes for each of the last 44 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Cotton(NYBOT) also closed
lower in January than December in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, CTN went on to penetrate the January low within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTN should penetrate 70.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move
toward 66.70(Average Objective).
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