- Dow Jones Transportation
- The #TRAN(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 2913.10(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 51%(Pct Range) off of
2837.50(Month Low) to 3002.50(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Transportation also closed
higher in November than October in 23(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 23, the #TRAN went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #TRAN should exceed 3002.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 3276.71(Average Objective).
- S & P 100(OEX)
- The #OEX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 520.00(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 68%(Pct Range) off of
510.05(Month Low) to 525.90(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 100(OEX) also closed
higher in November than October in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, the #OEX went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #OEX should exceed 525.90(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 553.07(Average Objective).
- NASDAQ 100 Index
- The #NDX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 1416.40(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 70%(Pct Range) off of
1357.30(Month Low) to 1453.50(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 17 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ 100 Index also closed
higher in November than October in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, the #NDX went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #NDX should exceed 1453.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 1623.10(Average Objective).
- Russell 2000 Index
- The #RUT(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 528.22(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 96%(Pct Range) off of
519.84(Month Low) to 547.56(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Russell 2000 Index also closed
higher in November than October in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, the #RUT went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #RUT should exceed 547.56(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 582.04(Average Objective).
- S & P Midcap 400 Index
- The #MID(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 548.52(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 95%(Pct Range) off of
545.26(Month Low) to 568.04(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P Midcap 400 Index also closed
higher in November than October in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, the #MID went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MID should exceed 568.04(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 599.95(Average Objective).
- Value Line Index
- The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 1429.30(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 96%(Pct Range) off of
1415.00(Month Low) to 1475.30(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed
higher in November than October in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, the #VLE went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 1475.30(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 1547.91(Average Objective).
- S & P 500 Stock Index
- The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 1050.70(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 83%(Pct Range) off of
1031.20(Month Low) to 1063.65(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed
higher in November than October in 30(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 30, the #SP went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 26 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 1063.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 26 years) a potential move
toward 1125.13(Average Objective).
- March S & P 500(CME)
- The SPH4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 1048.10(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 88%(Pct Range) off of
1029.50(Month Low) to 1060.00(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March S & P 500(CME) also closed
higher in November than October in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, SPH went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPH should exceed 1060.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move
toward 1109.84(Average Objective).
- March NASDAQ 100(CME)
- The NDH4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 1421.00(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 69%(Pct Range) off of
1366.00(Month Low) to 1457.00(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 7 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March NASDAQ 100(CME) also closed
higher in November than October in 6(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 6, NDH went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NDH should exceed 1457.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move
toward 1621.48(Average Objective).
- March 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT)
- The USH4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 107~10(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 53%(Pct Range) off of
105~05(Month Low) to 110~08(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT) also closed
higher in November than October in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, USH went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the USH should exceed 110~08(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 114~01(Average Objective).
- March 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The TYH4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 110~275(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 48%(Pct Range) off of
109~075(Month Low) to 112~230(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
higher in November than October in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, TYH went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYH should exceed 112~230(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 115~048(Average Objective).
- March Canadian Dollar(CME)
- The CDH4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 75.41(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 97%(Pct Range) off of
74.17(Month Low) to 76.82(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Canadian Dollar(CME) also closed
higher in November than October in 9(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 9, CDH went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CDH should exceed 76.82(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move
toward 77.93(Average Objective).
- March US Dollar Index(NYBOT)
- The DXH4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 93.30(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 3%(Pct Range) off of
90.56(Month Low) to 94.70(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 17 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March US Dollar Index(NYBOT) also closed
lower in November than October in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, DXH went on to penetrate the November low within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the DXH should penetrate 90.56(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 86.09(Average Objective).
- March Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGH4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 5.014(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 20%(Pct Range) off of
4.790(Month Low) to 5.240(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 13 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
lower in November than October in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, NGH went on to penetrate the November low within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGH should penetrate 4.790(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move
toward 3.972(Average Objective).
- April Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGJ4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 4.724(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 26%(Pct Range) off of
4.530(Month Low) to 4.810(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 13 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
lower in November than October in 9(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 9, NGJ went on to penetrate the November low within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGJ should penetrate 4.530(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move
toward 3.939(Average Objective).
- May Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGK4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 4.679(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 22%(Pct Range) off of
4.520(Month Low) to 4.760(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 13 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
lower in November than October in 9(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 9, NGK went on to penetrate the November low within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGK should penetrate 4.520(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move
toward 3.994(Average Objective).
- March Wheat(KCBT)
- The KWH4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 375.75(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 95%(Pct Range) off of
367.00(Month Low) to 403.50(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Wheat(KCBT) also closed
higher in November than October in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, KWH went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWH should exceed 403.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 423.05(Average Objective).
- February Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCG4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 86.500(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 87%(Pct Range) off of
86.200(Month Low) to 94.200(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in November than October in 24(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 24, LCG went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCG should exceed 94.200(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move
toward 99.953(Average Objective).
- April Live Cattle(CME)
- The LCJ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 81.475(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 82%(Pct Range) off of
80.850(Month Low) to 84.600(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Live Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in November than October in 22(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 22, LCJ went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCJ should exceed 84.600(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move
toward 89.417(Average Objective).
- March Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCH4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 89.250(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 98%(Pct Range) off of
88.250(Month Low) to 93.500(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in November than October in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, FCH went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCH should exceed 93.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 98.668(Average Objective).
- April Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCJ4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 87.700(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 92%(Pct Range) off of
86.950(Month Low) to 90.800(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
higher in November than October in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, FCJ went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCJ should exceed 90.800(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 95.182(Average Objective).
- February Lean Hogs(CME)
- The LEG4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 58.500(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 34%(Pct Range) off of
52.750(Month Low) to 59.925(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
lower in November than October in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, LEG went on to penetrate the November low within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEG should penetrate 52.750(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 49.130(Average Objective).
- March Orange Juice(NYBOT)
- The JOH4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 73.65(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 25%(Pct Range) off of
70.10(Month Low) to 77.20(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Orange Juice(NYBOT) also closed
lower in November than October in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, JOH went on to penetrate the November low within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JOH should penetrate 70.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 60.08(Average Objective).
- May Orange Juice(NYBOT)
- The JOK4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 76.00(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 12%(Pct Range) off of
73.50(Month Low) to 79.75(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Orange Juice(NYBOT) also closed
lower in November than October in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, JOK went on to penetrate the November low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JOK should penetrate 73.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 64.11(Average Objective).
- March Lumber(CME)
- The LBH4(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 298.9(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 91%(Pct Range) off of
283.4(Month Low) to 326.4(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Lumber(CME) also closed
higher in November than October in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, LBH went on to exceed the November high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBH should exceed 326.4(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 356.4(Average Objective).
- March Cotton(NYBOT)
- The CTH4(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
November(Month). Compared to October's 78.92(Prev Close), the market ended November at (Month Close),
that being 22%(Pct Range) off of
67.09(Month Low) to 80.90(Month High).
In comparing the October/November closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Cotton(NYBOT) also closed
lower in November than October in 21(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 21, CTH went on to penetrate the November low within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTH should penetrate 67.09(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of February.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 62.65(Average Objective).
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