MRCI's Scenario Summary

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MRCI's Scenario^SM Summary


MRCI's Scenario^SM Summary

Copyright © 2001 Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Some data provided by Prophetfinance.com

Scenario^SM Summary Sep 30, 2002

Historical Data Scenario Data Current Market Data

Mkt
Cond
Month Prev
Close Month
High Month
Low Month
Close Pct
Range Total
Years Cond
Years Action
Years
Pct Scenario
Objective Average
Objective Last
Price

#SSNI Lower Sep 9619 9885 8969 9383 45% 20 13 11 85% 8969 8168 9383

USZ2 Higher Sep 109~22 114~31 109~27 114~08 86% 25 13 12 92% 114~31 120~00 114~08

TYZ2 Higher Sep 111~250 116~065 112~030 115~290 93% 20 16 15 94% 116~065 119~175 115~290

EDZ2 Higher Sep 98.220 98.525 98.160 98.510 96% 20 14 13 93% 98.525 99.028 98.510

EDH3 Higher Sep 98.060 98.540 97.960 98.495 92% 20 15 14 93% 98.540 99.138 98.495

JYZ2 Lower Sep 84.71 86.00 80.83 82.43 31% 25 11 11 100% 80.83 78.01 82.43

CDZ2 Lower Sep 63.94 64.25 62.73 62.87 9% 25 8 8 100% 62.73 61.81 62.87

CLH3 Higher Sep 27.53 28.70 26.65 28.46 88% 19 13 11 85% 28.70 30.23 28.46

HOZ2 Higher Sep 77.80 82.85 74.40 81.37 82% 23 16 14 88% 82.85 87.85 81.37

HUF3 Higher Sep 76.92 79.90 73.65 78.57 79% 17 11 11 100% 79.90 83.88 78.57

HUG3 Higher Sep 77.09 79.65 73.88 78.27 76% 17 11 10 91% 79.65 83.48 78.27

BOZ2 Lower Sep 20.72 21.00 19.61 19.83 16% 42 23 21 91% 19.61 18.24 19.83

BOF3 Lower Sep 20.72 21.07 19.70 19.88 13% 43 23 20 87% 19.70 18.22 19.88

BOH3 Lower Sep 20.82 21.15 19.82 19.96 11% 43 23 21 91% 19.82 18.43 19.96

BOK3 Lower Sep 20.82 21.15 19.88 20.02 11% 43 24 21 88% 19.88 18.40 20.02

WZ2 Higher Sep 370.00 440.00 372.50 396.50 36% 43 25 21 84% 440.00 472.04 396.50

WH3 Higher Sep 377.50 448.50 378.00 400.00 31% 43 26 22 85% 448.50 477.11 400.00

WK3 Higher Sep 367.75 422.00 368.50 378.00 18% 43 26 22 85% 422.00 445.02 378.00

KWZ2 Higher Sep 415.75 494.25 419.50 475.25 75% 26 16 15 94% 494.25 525.54 475.25

KWH3 Higher Sep 412.00 486.50 416.00 459.50 62% 26 16 15 94% 486.50 515.78 459.50

KWK3 Higher Sep 395.50 458.25 397.00 427.00 49% 26 15 14 93% 458.25 483.07 427.00

MWZ2 Higher Sep 437.75 521.50 440.75 506.25 81% 21 10 9 90% 521.50 557.41 506.25

MWH3 Higher Sep 434.00 522.00 436.50 502.25 77% 21 9 9 100% 522.00 548.33 502.25

MWK3 Higher Sep 419.25 489.00 421.50 479.00 85% 21 11 11 100% 489.00 511.22 479.00

OH3 Higher Sep 181.00 208.00 181.00 205.00 89% 28 13 12 92% 208.00 226.67 205.00

OK3 Higher Sep 179.25 202.00 181.00 199.00 86% 28 15 14 93% 202.00 217.15 199.00

RRH3 Lower Sep 4.62 4.72 4.41 4.49 26% 16 8 7 88% 4.41 4.09 4.49

RRK3 Lower Sep 4.86 4.96 4.63 4.71 24% 13 7 7 100% 4.63 4.34 4.71

LCZ2 Higher Sep 70.175 72.675 69.650 70.625 32% 37 22 19 86% 72.675 75.827 70.625

LCG3 Higher Sep 71.550 73.425 70.775 72.150 52% 37 20 19 95% 73.425 76.176 72.150

FCF3 Higher Sep 77.875 80.200 76.550 79.225 73% 25 14 12 86% 80.200 83.144 79.225

LEZ2 Higher Sep 35.300 40.875 33.600 40.550 96% 33 21 19 90% 40.875 43.791 40.550

PBG3 Higher Sep 61.900 76.775 59.900 76.775 100% 37 20 17 85% 76.775 85.569 76.775

PBH3 Higher Sep 61.600 76.000 60.000 76.000 100% 38 21 18 86% 76.000 83.949 76.000

SBH3 Higher Sep 5.96 6.84 5.93 6.44 56% 41 17 16 94% 6.84 7.97 6.44

SBK3 Higher Sep 5.72 6.49 5.71 6.19 62% 41 20 18 90% 6.49 7.59 6.19

CTH3 Lower Sep 48.59 48.38 45.35 47.20 61% 42 25 22 88% 45.35 43.01 47.20

Nikkei 225 Index: The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 9619(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 45%(Pct Range) off of 8969(Month Low) to 9885(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed lower in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, the #SSNI went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should penetrate 8969(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 8168(Average Objective).
December 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT): The USZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 109~22(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 86%(Pct Range) off of 109~27(Month Low) to 114~31(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, USZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the USZ should exceed 114~31(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 120~00(Average Objective).
December 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT): The TYZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 111~250(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 93%(Pct Range) off of 112~030(Month Low) to 116~065(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, TYZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYZ should exceed 116~065(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 119~175(Average Objective).
December Eurodollars(IMM): The EDZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 98.220(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 98.160(Month Low) to 98.525(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Eurodollars(IMM) also closed higher in September than August in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, EDZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDZ should exceed 98.525(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 99.028(Average Objective).
March Eurodollars(IMM): The EDH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 98.060(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 92%(Pct Range) off of 97.960(Month Low) to 98.540(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Eurodollars(IMM) also closed higher in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, EDH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDH should exceed 98.540(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 99.138(Average Objective).
December Japanese Yen(IMM): The JYZ2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 84.71(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 31%(Pct Range) off of 80.83(Month Low) to 86.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Japanese Yen(IMM) also closed lower in September than August in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, JYZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYZ should penetrate 80.83(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 78.01(Average Objective).
December Canadian Dollar(IMM): The CDZ2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 63.94(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 9%(Pct Range) off of 62.73(Month Low) to 64.25(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Canadian Dollar(IMM) also closed lower in September than August in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, CDZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CDZ should penetrate 62.73(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move toward 61.81(Average Objective).
March Crude Oil(NYM): The CLH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 27.53(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 88%(Pct Range) off of 26.65(Month Low) to 28.70(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, CLH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLH should exceed 28.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 30.23(Average Objective).
December Heating Oil(NYM): The HOZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 77.80(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 82%(Pct Range) off of 74.40(Month Low) to 82.85(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 23 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Heating Oil(NYM) also closed higher in September than August in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, HOZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOZ should exceed 82.85(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 87.85(Average Objective).
January Unleaded Gas(NYM): The HUF3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 76.92(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 79%(Pct Range) off of 73.65(Month Low) to 79.90(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 17 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed higher in September than August in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, HUF went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUF should exceed 79.90(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 83.88(Average Objective).
February Unleaded Gas(NYM): The HUG3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 77.09(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 76%(Pct Range) off of 73.88(Month Low) to 79.65(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 17 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed higher in September than August in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, HUG went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUG should exceed 79.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 83.48(Average Objective).
December Soybean Oil(CBOT): The BOZ2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 20.72(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 16%(Pct Range) off of 19.61(Month Low) to 21.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed lower in September than August in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, BOZ went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOZ should penetrate 19.61(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 18.24(Average Objective).
January Soybean Oil(CBOT): The BOF3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 20.72(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 13%(Pct Range) off of 19.70(Month Low) to 21.07(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed lower in September than August in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, BOF went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOF should penetrate 19.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 18.22(Average Objective).
March Soybean Oil(CBOT): The BOH3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 20.82(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 11%(Pct Range) off of 19.82(Month Low) to 21.15(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed lower in September than August in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, BOH went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOH should penetrate 19.82(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 18.43(Average Objective).
May Soybean Oil(CBOT): The BOK3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 20.82(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 11%(Pct Range) off of 19.88(Month Low) to 21.15(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Soybean Oil(CBOT) also closed lower in September than August in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, BOK went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BOK should penetrate 19.88(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 18.40(Average Objective).
December Wheat(CBOT): The WZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 370.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 36%(Pct Range) off of 372.50(Month Low) to 440.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Wheat(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, WZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WZ should exceed 440.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 472.04(Average Objective).
March Wheat(CBOT): The WH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 377.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 31%(Pct Range) off of 378.00(Month Low) to 448.50(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Wheat(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, WH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WH should exceed 448.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 477.11(Average Objective).
May Wheat(CBOT): The WK3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 367.75(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 18%(Pct Range) off of 368.50(Month Low) to 422.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 43 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Wheat(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 26(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 26, WK went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the WK should exceed 422.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 445.02(Average Objective).
December Wheat(KCBT): The KWZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 415.75(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 75%(Pct Range) off of 419.50(Month Low) to 494.25(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Wheat(KCBT) also closed higher in September than August in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, KWZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWZ should exceed 494.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 525.54(Average Objective).
March Wheat(KCBT): The KWH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 412.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 62%(Pct Range) off of 416.00(Month Low) to 486.50(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Wheat(KCBT) also closed higher in September than August in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, KWH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWH should exceed 486.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 515.78(Average Objective).
May Wheat(KCBT): The KWK3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 395.50(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 49%(Pct Range) off of 397.00(Month Low) to 458.25(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Wheat(KCBT) also closed higher in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, KWK went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWK should exceed 458.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 483.07(Average Objective).
December Wheat(MGE): The MWZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 437.75(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 81%(Pct Range) off of 440.75(Month Low) to 521.50(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Wheat(MGE) also closed higher in September than August in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, MWZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the MWZ should exceed 521.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 557.41(Average Objective).
March Wheat(MGE): The MWH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 434.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 77%(Pct Range) off of 436.50(Month Low) to 522.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Wheat(MGE) also closed higher in September than August in 9(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 9, MWH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the MWH should exceed 522.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 548.33(Average Objective).
May Wheat(MGE): The MWK3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 419.25(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 85%(Pct Range) off of 421.50(Month Low) to 489.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 21 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Wheat(MGE) also closed higher in September than August in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, MWK went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the MWK should exceed 489.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 511.22(Average Objective).
March Oats(CBOT): The OH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 181.00(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 89%(Pct Range) off of 181.00(Month Low) to 208.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Oats(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, OH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the OH should exceed 208.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 226.67(Average Objective).
May Oats(CBOT): The OK3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 179.25(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 86%(Pct Range) off of 181.00(Month Low) to 202.00(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Oats(CBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, OK went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the OK should exceed 202.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 217.15(Average Objective).
March Rough Rice(CBOT): The RRH3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 4.62(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 26%(Pct Range) off of 4.41(Month Low) to 4.72(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 16 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed lower in September than August in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, RRH went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRH should penetrate 4.41(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move toward 4.09(Average Objective).
May Rough Rice(CBOT): The RRK3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 4.86(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 24%(Pct Range) off of 4.63(Month Low) to 4.96(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 13 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Rough Rice(CBOT) also closed lower in September than August in 7(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 7, RRK went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRK should penetrate 4.63(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move toward 4.34(Average Objective).
December Live Cattle(CME): The LCZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 70.175(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 32%(Pct Range) off of 69.650(Month Low) to 72.675(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, LCZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCZ should exceed 72.675(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 75.827(Average Objective).
February Live Cattle(CME): The LCG3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 71.550(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 52%(Pct Range) off of 70.775(Month Low) to 73.425(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, LCG went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCG should exceed 73.425(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 76.176(Average Objective).
January Feeder Cattle(CME): The FCF3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 77.875(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 73%(Pct Range) off of 76.550(Month Low) to 80.200(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the January Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, FCF went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCF should exceed 80.200(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 83.144(Average Objective).
December Lean Hogs(CME): The LEZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 35.300(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 33.600(Month Low) to 40.875(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 33 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Lean Hogs(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, LEZ went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEZ should exceed 40.875(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 43.791(Average Objective).
February Pork Bellies(CME): The PBG3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 61.900(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 100%(Pct Range) off of 59.900(Month Low) to 76.775(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Pork Bellies(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, PBG went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBG should exceed 76.775(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 85.569(Average Objective).
March Pork Bellies(CME): The PBH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 61.600(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 100%(Pct Range) off of 60.000(Month Low) to 76.000(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Pork Bellies(CME) also closed higher in September than August in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, PBH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBH should exceed 76.000(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 83.949(Average Objective).
March Sugar #11(NYBOT): The SBH3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 5.96(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 56%(Pct Range) off of 5.93(Month Low) to 6.84(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Sugar #11(NYBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, SBH went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBH should exceed 6.84(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 7.97(Average Objective).
May Sugar #11(NYBOT): The SBK3(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 5.72(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 62%(Pct Range) off of 5.71(Month Low) to 6.49(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 41 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Sugar #11(NYBOT) also closed higher in September than August in 20(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 20, SBK went on to exceed the September high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBK should exceed 6.49(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 7.59(Average Objective).
March Cotton(NYBOT): The CTH3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for September(Month). Compared to August's 48.59(Prev Close), the market ended September at (Month Close), that being 61%(Pct Range) off of 45.35(Month Low) to 48.38(Month High).

In comparing the August/September closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Cotton(NYBOT) also closed lower in September than August in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, CTH went on to penetrate the September low within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTH should penetrate 45.35(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of November. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 43.01(Average Objective).