- Nikkei 225 Index
- The #SSNI(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 11493(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 63%(Pct Range) off of
11251(Month Low) to 12081(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Nikkei 225 Index also closed
higher in May than April in 9(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 9, the #SSNI went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SSNI should exceed 12081(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move
toward 12502(Average Objective).
- September S & P 500(CME)
- The SPU2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 1078.90(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 31%(Pct Range) off of
1048.70(Month Low) to 1108.00(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September S & P 500(CME) also closed
lower in May than April in 7(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 7, SPU went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPU should penetrate 1048.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move
toward 1023.71(Average Objective).
- September 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT)
- The USU2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 101~06(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 80%(Pct Range) off of
98~22(Month Low) to 101~30(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT) also closed
higher in May than April in 11(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 11, USU went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the USU should exceed 101~30(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 106~18(Average Objective).
- September 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
- The TYU2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 104~085(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 96%(Pct Range) off of
102~285(Month Low) to 105~160(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed
higher in May than April in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, TYU went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYU should exceed 105~160(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move
toward 108~212(Average Objective).
- September Eurodollars(IMM)
- The EDU2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 97.450(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 92%(Pct Range) off of
97.420(Month Low) to 97.720(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Eurodollars(IMM) also closed
higher in May than April in 9(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 9, EDU went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDU should exceed 97.720(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move
toward 98.234(Average Objective).
- December Eurodollars(IMM)
- The EDZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 96.880(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 98%(Pct Range) off of
96.745(Month Low) to 97.150(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Eurodollars(IMM) also closed
higher in May than April in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, EDZ went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDZ should exceed 97.150(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move
toward 97.754(Average Objective).
- September Japanese Yen(IMM)
- The JYU2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 78.42(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 94%(Pct Range) off of
78.14(Month Low) to 81.84(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Japanese Yen(IMM) also closed
higher in May than April in 10(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 10, JYU went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYU should exceed 81.84(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move
toward 84.97(Average Objective).
- September British Pound(IMM)
- The BPU2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 144.52(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 86%(Pct Range) off of
143.70(Month Low) to 145.86(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September British Pound(IMM) also closed
higher in May than April in 9(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 9, BPU went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the BPU should exceed 145.86(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move
toward 155.19(Average Objective).
- September Australian Dollar(IMM)
- The ADU2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 53.27(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 92%(Pct Range) off of
53.01(Month Low) to 56.15(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 15 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Australian Dollar(IMM) also closed
higher in May than April in 6(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 6, ADU went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the ADU should exceed 56.15(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move
toward 57.07(Average Objective).
- July Copper(CMX)
- The HGN2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 73.90(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 75%(Pct Range) off of
71.25(Month Low) to 76.55(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Copper(CMX) also closed
higher in May than April in 18(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 18, HGN went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 89%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HGN should exceed 76.55(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 84.04(Average Objective).
- September Unleaded Gas(NYM)
- The HUU2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 76.62(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 5%(Pct Range) off of
71.40(Month Low) to 80.00(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 17 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed
lower in May than April in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, HUU went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUU should penetrate 71.40(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 63.36(Average Objective).
- October Unleaded Gas(NYM)
- The HUV2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 73.02(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 0%(Pct Range) off of
68.58(Month Low) to 76.05(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 17 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed
lower in May than April in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, HUV went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUV should penetrate 68.58(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 61.65(Average Objective).
- November Unleaded Gas(NYM)
- The HUX2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 71.27(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 0%(Pct Range) off of
67.08(Month Low) to 74.30(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 16 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed
lower in May than April in 8(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 8, HUX went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUX should penetrate 67.08(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move
toward 60.54(Average Objective).
- September Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGU2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 3.848(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 3%(Pct Range) off of
3.305(Month Low) to 3.970(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 12 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
lower in May than April in 6(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 6, NGU went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGU should penetrate 3.305(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move
toward 2.814(Average Objective).
- October Natural Gas(NYM)
- The NGV2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 3.848(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 3%(Pct Range) off of
3.340(Month Low) to 3.975(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 12 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Natural Gas(NYM) also closed
lower in May than April in 5(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 5, NGV went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 5 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the NGV should penetrate 3.340(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 5 years) a potential move
toward 2.892(Average Objective).
- August Soybeans(CBOT)
- The SQ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 463.50(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 97%(Pct Range) off of
455.50(Month Low) to 505.00(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Soybeans(CBOT) also closed
higher in May than April in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, SQ went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SQ should exceed 505.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 590.14(Average Objective).
- September Soybeans(CBOT)
- The SU2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 457.25(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 96%(Pct Range) off of
450.25(Month Low) to 495.00(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Soybeans(CBOT) also closed
higher in May than April in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, SU went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SU should exceed 495.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 571.61(Average Objective).
- November Soybeans(CBOT)
- The SX2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 457.00(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 97%(Pct Range) off of
450.50(Month Low) to 488.00(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the November Soybeans(CBOT) also closed
higher in May than April in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, SX went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SX should exceed 488.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 545.72(Average Objective).
- October Feeder Cattle(CME)
- The FCV2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 77.775(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 10%(Pct Range) off of
73.750(Month Low) to 79.250(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed
lower in May than April in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, FCV went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCV should penetrate 73.750(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 69.202(Average Objective).
- August Lean Hogs(CME)
- The LEQ2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 51.225(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 19%(Pct Range) off of
45.400(Month Low) to 53.400(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
lower in May than April in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, LEQ went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEQ should penetrate 45.400(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move
toward 41.855(Average Objective).
- October Lean Hogs(CME)
- The LEV2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 43.050(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 31%(Pct Range) off of
37.600(Month Low) to 44.100(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
lower in May than April in 16(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 16, LEV went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEV should penetrate 37.600(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 34.011(Average Objective).
- December Lean Hogs(CME)
- The LEZ2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 40.300(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 31%(Pct Range) off of
36.025(Month Low) to 41.100(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 32 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Lean Hogs(CME) also closed
lower in May than April in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, LEZ went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LEZ should penetrate 36.025(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move
toward 31.914(Average Objective).
- August Pork Bellies(CME)
- The PBQ2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 67.000(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 19%(Pct Range) off of
54.750(Month Low) to 68.900(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 39 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Pork Bellies(CME) also closed
lower in May than April in 25(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 25, PBQ went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 23 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBQ should penetrate 54.750(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 23 years) a potential move
toward 44.933(Average Objective).
- February Pork Bellies(CME)
- The PBG3(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 64.400(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 11%(Pct Range) off of
59.500(Month Low) to 66.900(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 35 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Pork Bellies(CME) also closed
lower in May than April in 19(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 19, PBG went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBG should penetrate 59.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move
toward 52.616(Average Objective).
- September Coffee "C"(NYBOT)
- The KCU2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 55.35(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 67%(Pct Range) off of
51.25(Month Low) to 55.85(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Coffee "C"(NYBOT) also closed
lower in May than April in 14(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 14, KCU went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCU should penetrate 51.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move
toward 43.23(Average Objective).
- December Coffee "C"(NYBOT)
- The KCZ2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 57.80(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 61%(Pct Range) off of
54.25(Month Low) to 58.50(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Coffee "C"(NYBOT) also closed
lower in May than April in 13(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 13, KCZ went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCZ should penetrate 54.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 44.55(Average Objective).
- October Sugar #11(NYBOT)
- The SBV2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 5.29(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 92%(Pct Range) off of
5.07(Month Low) to 5.84(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the October Sugar #11(NYBOT) also closed
higher in May than April in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, SBV went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBV should exceed 5.84(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 6.72(Average Objective).
- September Cocoa(NYBOT)
- The CCU2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 1474(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 88%(Pct Range) off of
1422(Month Low) to 1600(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Cocoa(NYBOT) also closed
higher in May than April in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, CCU went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CCU should exceed 1600(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 1759(Average Objective).
- December Cocoa(NYBOT)
- The CCZ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 1419(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 87%(Pct Range) off of
1388(Month Low) to 1544(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the December Cocoa(NYBOT) also closed
higher in May than April in 15(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 15, CCZ went on to exceed the May high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CCZ should exceed 1544(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move
toward 1706(Average Objective).
- September Lumber(CME)
- The LBU2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for
May(Month). Compared to April's 286.3(Prev Close), the market ended May at (Month Close),
that being 23%(Pct Range) off of
276.7(Month Low) to 303.3(Month High).
In comparing the April/May closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the September Lumber(CME) also closed
lower in May than April in 12(Cond Years) of those years.
Of those 12, LBU went on to penetrate the May low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.
Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBU should penetrate 276.7(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of July.
If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on
normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move
toward 250.5(Average Objective).
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