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MRCI's ScenarioSM Summary

Copyright © 2001 Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Some data provided by Prophetfinance.com
ScenarioSM Summary Dec 31, 2001
Historical Data Scenario Data Current Market Data

Mkt

Cond

Month
Prev
Close
Month
High
Month
Low
Month
Close
Pct
Range
Total
Years
Cond
Years
Action
Years

Pct
Scenario
Objective
Average
Objective
Last
Price
#DJ Higher Dec 9852.00 10184.00 9704.00 10022.00 66% 45 32 30 94% 10184.00 10731.07 10022.00
#TRAN Higher Dec 2511.80 2662.10 2471.20 2640.00 88% 31 22 21 95% 2662.10 2931.80 2640.00
#YX Higher Dec 579.20 595.00 567.40 589.80 81% 18 15 15 100% 595.00 623.97 589.80
#COMPX Higher Dec 1930.60 2065.70 1899.00 1950.40 31% 6 2 2 100% 2065.70 2350.21 1950.40
#RUT Higher Dec 460.78 494.71 455.51 488.50 84% 22 18 18 100% 494.71 532.09 488.50
#MID Higher Dec 483.75 514.51 479.81 508.33 82% 20 15 14 93% 514.51 543.75 508.33
#VLE Higher Dec 1184.20 1258.00 1169.80 1247.10 88% 18 16 16 100% 1258.00 1340.16 1247.10
#SP Higher Dec 1139.45 1173.60 1114.55 1148.10 57% 45 34 29 85% 1173.60 1229.95 1148.10
SPH2 Higher Dec 1141.50 1176.00 1115.80 1149.20 55% 19 15 15 100% 1176.00 1239.71 1149.20
YXH2 Higher Dec 579.85 595.00 568.25 590.00 81% 19 15 14 93% 595.00 626.39 590.00
USH2 Lower Dec 103~22 105~06 98~01 101~17 49% 24 10 9 90% 98~01 93~27 101~17
TYH2 Lower Dec 106~305 107~265 102~160 105~045 50% 19 7 6 86% 102~160 100~031 105~045
EDH2 Higher Dec 97.950 98.095 97.695 98.025 83% 19 11 10 91% 98.095 98.590 98.025
EDM2 Higher Dec 97.500 97.680 97.115 97.660 96% 19 12 12 100% 97.680 98.250 97.660
SFH2 Lower Dec 60.91 61.48 58.90 60.20 50% 26 10 10 100% 58.90 54.85 60.20
JYH2 Lower Dec 81.41 81.42 76.16 76.29 2% 25 13 13 100% 76.16 73.24 76.29
CLH2 Higher Dec 19.84 21.60 18.45 20.11 53% 18 8 8 100% 21.60 23.06 20.11
CLJ2 Higher Dec 19.99 21.64 18.80 20.27 52% 18 7 7 100% 21.64 23.13 20.27
CLK2 Higher Dec 20.11 21.65 19.02 20.41 53% 18 6 6 100% 21.65 23.03 20.41
CLM2 Higher Dec 20.23 21.80 19.00 20.49 53% 18 6 6 100% 21.80 23.10 20.49
HOH2 Higher Dec 55.14 59.30 51.40 55.18 48% 22 11 10 91% 59.30 63.97 55.18
HOJ2 Lower Dec 54.84 58.38 52.05 54.73 42% 22 11 10 91% 52.05 45.19 54.73
HUH2 Higher Dec 56.07 62.20 53.00 58.78 63% 16 8 8 100% 62.20 66.64 58.78
HUJ2 Higher Dec 62.27 68.20 59.60 64.83 61% 16 7 7 100% 68.20 72.91 64.83
HUK2 Higher Dec 62.82 68.00 60.60 65.28 63% 16 7 7 100% 68.00 73.09 65.28
HUM2 Higher Dec 62.97 67.65 61.00 65.13 62% 16 8 8 100% 67.65 71.77 65.13
KWN2 Lower Dec 302.75 304.00 291.50 296.00 36% 25 14 12 86% 291.50 279.90 296.00
RRH2 Lower Dec 4.24 4.42 3.86 3.91 9% 15 8 7 88% 3.86 3.53 3.91
LCJ2 Higher Dec 72.300 74.000 70.025 73.675 92% 34 21 20 95% 74.000 79.048 73.675
LCM2 Higher Dec 68.975 70.625 67.000 70.275 90% 37 24 22 92% 70.625 74.048 70.275
LCQ2 Higher Dec 68.925 70.500 67.325 70.275 93% 36 25 25 100% 70.500 73.488 70.275
FCH2 Higher Dec 83.525 85.450 80.600 84.950 90% 29 17 16 94% 85.450 90.388 84.950
FCJ2 Higher Dec 83.400 84.600 80.500 84.050 87% 29 17 17 100% 84.600 89.026 84.050
FCK2 Higher Dec 82.850 84.450 80.600 84.075 90% 30 16 16 100% 84.450 88.605 84.075
FCQ2 Higher Dec 84.550 85.200 82.250 85.100 97% 27 17 16 94% 85.200 89.686 85.100
PBG2 Higher Dec 79.100 82.600 72.300 81.425 89% 36 15 13 87% 82.600 91.150 81.425
PBH2 Higher Dec 78.675 81.925 72.500 81.250 93% 38 16 15 94% 81.925 91.262 81.250
PBK2 Higher Dec 80.350 83.100 74.250 83.050 99% 37 15 15 100% 83.100 92.701 83.050
JOH2 Lower Dec 97.05 97.20 91.00 91.15 2% 34 23 21 91% Yes 81.38 91.15
JOK2 Lower Dec 98.30 98.50 92.75 92.75 0% 34 23 21 91% Yes 82.78 92.75
JON2 Lower Dec 99.30 99.50 94.05 94.05 0% 34 21 19 90% Yes 84.32 94.05
KCK2 Lower Dec 48.20 52.00 47.25 48.15 19% 28 11 11 100% Yes 43.63 48.15
SBN2 Lower Dec 6.66 6.75 6.06 6.41 51% 40 21 18 86% Yes 5.22 6.41
CCH2 Lower Dec 1339 1344 1212 1310 74% 42 22 20 91% Yes 1082 1310
CCK2 Lower Dec 1325 1334 1205 1297 71% 42 22 19 86% Yes 1078 1297
CCN2 Lower Dec 1314 1322 1192 1280 68% 42 22 19 86% Yes 1073 1280
LBH2 Higher Dec 239.6 278.0 234.4 262.5 64% 28 19 16 84% 278.0 303.6 262.5
LBK2 Higher Dec 245.5 281.0 242.0 270.5 73% 28 19 18 95% 281.0 303.1 270.5
CTN2 Lower Dec 41.55 41.00 37.40 38.65 35% 42 19 16 84% Yes 35.11 38.65


DJIA Index
The #DJ(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 9852.00(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 66%(Pct Range) off of 9704.00(Month Low) to 10184.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the DJIA Index also closed higher in December than November in 32(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 32, the #DJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 30 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #DJ should exceed 10184.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 30 years) a potential move toward 10731.07(Average Objective).

Dow Jones Transportation
The #TRAN(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 2511.80(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 88%(Pct Range) off of 2471.20(Month Low) to 2662.10(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 31 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Dow Jones Transportation also closed higher in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, the #TRAN went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #TRAN should exceed 2662.10(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 2931.80(Average Objective).

NYSE Composite Index
The #YX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 579.20(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 81%(Pct Range) off of 567.40(Month Low) to 595.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NYSE Composite Index also closed higher in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, the #YX went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #YX should exceed 595.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 623.97(Average Objective).

NASDAQ Composite Index
The #COMPX(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1930.60(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 31%(Pct Range) off of 1899.00(Month Low) to 2065.70(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 6 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the NASDAQ Composite Index also closed higher in December than November in 2(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 2, the #COMPX went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 2 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #COMPX should exceed 2065.70(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 2 years) a potential move toward 2350.21(Average Objective).

Russell 2000 Index
The #RUT(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 460.78(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 84%(Pct Range) off of 455.51(Month Low) to 494.71(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Russell 2000 Index also closed higher in December than November in 18(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 18, the #RUT went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #RUT should exceed 494.71(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 532.09(Average Objective).

S & P Midcap 400 Index
The #MID(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 483.75(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 82%(Pct Range) off of 479.81(Month Low) to 514.51(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 20 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P Midcap 400 Index also closed higher in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, the #MID went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #MID should exceed 514.51(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 543.75(Average Objective).

Value Line Index
The #VLE(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1184.20(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 88%(Pct Range) off of 1169.80(Month Low) to 1258.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the Value Line Index also closed higher in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, the #VLE went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #VLE should exceed 1258.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 1340.16(Average Objective).

S & P 500 Stock Index
The #SP(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1139.45(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 57%(Pct Range) off of 1114.55(Month Low) to 1173.60(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 45 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the S & P 500 Stock Index also closed higher in December than November in 34(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 34, the #SP went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 29 years(Action Years) or 85%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the the #SP should exceed 1173.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 29 years) a potential move toward 1229.95(Average Objective).

March S & P 500(CME)
The SPH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1141.50(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 55%(Pct Range) off of 1115.80(Month Low) to 1176.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March S & P 500(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, SPH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SPH should exceed 1176.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 1239.71(Average Objective).

March NYSE Composite(NYBOT)
The YXH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 579.85(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 81%(Pct Range) off of 568.25(Month Low) to 595.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March NYSE Composite(NYBOT) also closed higher in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, YXH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 14 years(Action Years) or 93%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the YXH should exceed 595.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 14 years) a potential move toward 626.39(Average Objective).

March 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT)
The USH2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 103~22(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 49%(Pct Range) off of 98~01(Month Low) to 105~06(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 24 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March 30-Year T-Bonds(CBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, USH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 9 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the USH should penetrate 98~01(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 9 years) a potential move toward 93~27(Average Objective).

March 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT)
The TYH2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 106~305(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 50%(Pct Range) off of 102~160(Month Low) to 107~265(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March 10-Year T-Notes(CBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 7(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 7, TYH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the TYH should penetrate 102~160(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move toward 100~031(Average Objective).

March Eurodollars(IMM)
The EDH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 97.950(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 83%(Pct Range) off of 97.695(Month Low) to 98.095(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Eurodollars(IMM) also closed higher in December than November in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, EDH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDH should exceed 98.095(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 98.590(Average Objective).

June Eurodollars(IMM)
The EDM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 97.500(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 96%(Pct Range) off of 97.115(Month Low) to 97.680(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 19 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Eurodollars(IMM) also closed higher in December than November in 12(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 12, EDM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the EDM should exceed 97.680(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 98.250(Average Objective).

March Swiss Franc(IMM)
The SFH2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 60.91(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 50%(Pct Range) off of 58.90(Month Low) to 61.48(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 26 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Swiss Franc(IMM) also closed lower in December than November in 10(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 10, SFH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SFH should penetrate 58.90(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 54.85(Average Objective).

March Japanese Yen(IMM)
The JYH2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 81.41(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 2%(Pct Range) off of 76.16(Month Low) to 81.42(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Japanese Yen(IMM) also closed lower in December than November in 13(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 13, JYH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JYH should penetrate 76.16(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 73.24(Average Objective).

March Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 19.84(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 53%(Pct Range) off of 18.45(Month Low) to 21.60(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, CLH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLH should exceed 21.60(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move toward 23.06(Average Objective).

April Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLJ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 19.99(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 52%(Pct Range) off of 18.80(Month Low) to 21.64(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 7(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 7, CLJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLJ should exceed 21.64(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move toward 23.13(Average Objective).

May Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 20.11(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 53%(Pct Range) off of 19.02(Month Low) to 21.65(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 6(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 6, CLK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLK should exceed 21.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move toward 23.03(Average Objective).

June Crude Oil(NYM)
The CLM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 20.23(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 53%(Pct Range) off of 19.00(Month Low) to 21.80(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 18 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Crude Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 6(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 6, CLM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 6 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CLM should exceed 21.80(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 6 years) a potential move toward 23.10(Average Objective).

March Heating Oil(NYM)
The HOH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 55.14(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 48%(Pct Range) off of 51.40(Month Low) to 59.30(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Heating Oil(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, HOH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOH should exceed 59.30(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 63.97(Average Objective).

April Heating Oil(NYM)
The HOJ2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 54.84(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 42%(Pct Range) off of 52.05(Month Low) to 58.38(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 22 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Heating Oil(NYM) also closed lower in December than November in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, HOJ went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 10 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HOJ should penetrate 52.05(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 10 years) a potential move toward 45.19(Average Objective).

March Unleaded Gas(NYM)
The HUH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 56.07(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 63%(Pct Range) off of 53.00(Month Low) to 62.20(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 16 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, HUH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUH should exceed 62.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move toward 66.64(Average Objective).

April Unleaded Gas(NYM)
The HUJ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 62.27(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 61%(Pct Range) off of 59.60(Month Low) to 68.20(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 16 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 7(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 7, HUJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUJ should exceed 68.20(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move toward 72.91(Average Objective).

May Unleaded Gas(NYM)
The HUK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 62.82(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 63%(Pct Range) off of 60.60(Month Low) to 68.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 16 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 7(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 7, HUK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUK should exceed 68.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move toward 73.09(Average Objective).

June Unleaded Gas(NYM)
The HUM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 62.97(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 62%(Pct Range) off of 61.00(Month Low) to 67.65(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 16 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Unleaded Gas(NYM) also closed higher in December than November in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, HUM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 8 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the HUM should exceed 67.65(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 8 years) a potential move toward 71.77(Average Objective).

July Wheat(KCBT)
The KWN2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 302.75(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 36%(Pct Range) off of 291.50(Month Low) to 304.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 25 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Wheat(KCBT) also closed lower in December than November in 14(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 14, KWN went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 12 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KWN should penetrate 291.50(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 12 years) a potential move toward 279.90(Average Objective).

March Rough Rice(MCE)
The RRH2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 4.24(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 9%(Pct Range) off of 3.86(Month Low) to 4.42(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 15 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Rough Rice(MCE) also closed lower in December than November in 8(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 8, RRH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 7 years(Action Years) or 88%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the RRH should penetrate 3.86(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 7 years) a potential move toward 3.53(Average Objective).

April Live Cattle(CME)
The LCJ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 72.300(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 92%(Pct Range) off of 70.025(Month Low) to 74.000(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, LCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCJ should exceed 74.000(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 79.048(Average Objective).

June Live Cattle(CME)
The LCM2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 68.975(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 67.000(Month Low) to 70.625(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the June Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 24(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 24, LCM went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 22 years(Action Years) or 92%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCM should exceed 70.625(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 22 years) a potential move toward 74.048(Average Objective).

August Live Cattle(CME)
The LCQ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 68.925(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 93%(Pct Range) off of 67.325(Month Low) to 70.500(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Live Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 25(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 25, LCQ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 25 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LCQ should exceed 70.500(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 25 years) a potential move toward 73.488(Average Objective).

March Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 83.525(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 80.600(Month Low) to 85.450(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, FCH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCH should exceed 85.450(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 90.388(Average Objective).

April Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCJ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 83.400(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 87%(Pct Range) off of 80.500(Month Low) to 84.600(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 29 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the April Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, FCJ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 17 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCJ should exceed 84.600(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 17 years) a potential move toward 89.026(Average Objective).

May Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 82.850(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 90%(Pct Range) off of 80.600(Month Low) to 84.450(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 30 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, FCK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCK should exceed 84.450(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 88.605(Average Objective).

August Feeder Cattle(CME)
The FCQ2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 84.550(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 97%(Pct Range) off of 82.250(Month Low) to 85.200(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 27 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the August Feeder Cattle(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 17(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 17, FCQ went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the FCQ should exceed 85.200(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 89.686(Average Objective).

February Pork Bellies(CME)
The PBG2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 79.100(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 89%(Pct Range) off of 72.300(Month Low) to 82.600(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 36 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the February Pork Bellies(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, PBG went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 13 years(Action Years) or 87%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBG should exceed 82.600(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 13 years) a potential move toward 91.150(Average Objective).

March Pork Bellies(CME)
The PBH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 78.675(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 93%(Pct Range) off of 72.500(Month Low) to 81.925(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 38 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Pork Bellies(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 16(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 16, PBH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 94%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBH should exceed 81.925(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 91.262(Average Objective).

May Pork Bellies(CME)
The PBK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 80.350(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 99%(Pct Range) off of 74.250(Month Low) to 83.100(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 37 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Pork Bellies(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 15(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 15, PBK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 15 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the PBK should exceed 83.100(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 15 years) a potential move toward 92.701(Average Objective).

March Orange Juice(NYBOT)
The JOH2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 97.05(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 2%(Pct Range) off of 91.00(Month Low) to 97.20(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Orange Juice(NYBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, JOH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JOH should penetrate 91.00(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 81.38(Average Objective).

May Orange Juice(NYBOT)
The JOK2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 98.30(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 0%(Pct Range) off of 92.75(Month Low) to 98.50(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Orange Juice(NYBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 23(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 23, JOK went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 21 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JOK should penetrate 92.75(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 21 years) a potential move toward 82.78(Average Objective).

July Orange Juice(NYBOT)
The JON2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 99.30(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 0%(Pct Range) off of 94.05(Month Low) to 99.50(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 34 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Orange Juice(NYBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, JON went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 90%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the JON should penetrate 94.05(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 84.32(Average Objective).

May Coffee "C"(NYBOT)
The KCK2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 48.20(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 19%(Pct Range) off of 47.25(Month Low) to 52.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Coffee "C"(NYBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 11(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 11, KCK went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 11 years(Action Years) or 100%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the KCK should penetrate 47.25(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 11 years) a potential move toward 43.63(Average Objective).

July Sugar #11(NYBOT)
The SBN2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 6.66(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 51%(Pct Range) off of 6.06(Month Low) to 6.75(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 40 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Sugar #11(NYBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 21(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 21, SBN went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the SBN should penetrate 6.06(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 5.22(Average Objective).

March Cocoa(NYBOT)
The CCH2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1339(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 74%(Pct Range) off of 1212(Month Low) to 1344(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Cocoa(NYBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, CCH went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 20 years(Action Years) or 91%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CCH should penetrate 1212(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 20 years) a potential move toward 1082(Average Objective).

May Cocoa(NYBOT)
The CCK2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1325(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 71%(Pct Range) off of 1205(Month Low) to 1334(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Cocoa(NYBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, CCK went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CCK should penetrate 1205(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 1078(Average Objective).

July Cocoa(NYBOT)
The CCN2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 1314(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 68%(Pct Range) off of 1192(Month Low) to 1322(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Cocoa(NYBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 22(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 22, CCN went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 19 years(Action Years) or 86%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CCN should penetrate 1192(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 19 years) a potential move toward 1073(Average Objective).

March Lumber(CME)
The LBH2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 239.6(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 64%(Pct Range) off of 234.4(Month Low) to 278.0(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the March Lumber(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, LBH went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBH should exceed 278.0(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 303.6(Average Objective).

May Lumber(CME)
The LBK2(Mkt) ended Higher(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 245.5(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 73%(Pct Range) off of 242.0(Month Low) to 281.0(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 28 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the May Lumber(CME) also closed higher in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, LBK went on to exceed the December high within the next 2 months in 18 years(Action Years) or 95%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the LBK should exceed 281.0(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 18 years) a potential move toward 303.1(Average Objective).

July Cotton(NYBOT)
The CTN2(Mkt) ended Lower(Cond) for December(Month). Compared to November's 41.55(Prev Close), the market ended December at (Month Close), that being 35%(Pct Range) off of 37.40(Month Low) to 41.00(Month High).

In comparing the November/December closes for each of the last 42 years(Total Years), Scenario found that the July Cotton(NYBOT) also closed lower in December than November in 19(Cond Years) of those years. Of those 19, CTN went on to penetrate the December low within the next 2 months in 16 years(Action Years) or 84%(Pct) of the time.

Therefore, the historical odds are high that the CTN should penetrate 37.40(Scenario Objective) by no later than the end of March. If it does so, Scenario would further project (based on normalizing those previous 16 years) a potential move toward 35.11(Average Objective).